Welltower Stock Price Prediction

WELL Stock  USD 103.98  0.11  0.11%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Welltower's share price is above 70 as of now. This entails that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Welltower, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

73

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Welltower's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Welltower and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Welltower's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Welltower, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Welltower's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.231
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.3
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.32
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.71
Wall Street Target Price
107.35
Using Welltower hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Welltower from the perspective of Welltower response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Welltower using Welltower's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Welltower using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Welltower's stock price.

Welltower Short Interest

An investor who is long Welltower may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Welltower and may potentially protect profits, hedge Welltower with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
90.1915
Short Percent
0.0183
Short Ratio
3.57
Shares Short Prior Month
8.5 M
50 Day MA
97.3866

Welltower Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Welltower's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Welltower. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Welltower can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Welltower. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Welltower's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Welltower.

Welltower Implied Volatility

    
  29.68  
Welltower's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Welltower stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Welltower's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Welltower stock will not fluctuate a lot when Welltower's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Welltower to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Welltower because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Welltower after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 103.78  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Welltower contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Welltower will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.86% per day over the life of the 2024-06-21 option contract. With Welltower trading at USD 103.98, that is roughly USD 1.93 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Welltower's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Welltower options at the current volatility level of 29.68%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Welltower Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Welltower Stock please use our How to buy in Welltower Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Welltower's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
102.78103.73104.68
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
81.2789.3199.13
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.310.350.44
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Welltower. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Welltower's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Welltower's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Welltower.

Welltower After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Welltower at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Welltower or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Welltower, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Welltower Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Welltower's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Welltower's historical news coverage. Welltower's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 102.83 and 104.73, respectively. We have considered Welltower's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
103.98
102.83
Downside
103.78
After-hype Price
104.73
Upside
Welltower is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Welltower is based on 3 months time horizon.

Welltower Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Welltower is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Welltower backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Welltower, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.20 
0.94
  0.19 
  0.31 
10 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
103.98
103.78
0.19 
98.95  
Notes

Welltower Hype Timeline

Welltower is at this time traded for 103.98. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.19, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.31. Welltower is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 103.78. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 98.95%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.19%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Welltower is about 60.96%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 103.67. About 97.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Welltower was at this time reported as 46.62. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.13. Welltower last dividend was issued on the 10th of May 2024. The entity had 3:2 split on the 4th of September 1985. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Welltower Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Welltower Stock please use our How to buy in Welltower Stock guide.

Welltower Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Welltower's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Welltower's future price movements. Getting to know how Welltower's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Welltower may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PEAKPEAK Old(16.22)9 per month 10.01  0.12  4.76 (3.61) 102.41 
HRHealthcare Realty Trust 0.35 10 per month 1.05  0.22  3.09 (1.95) 7.98 
SBRASabra Healthcare REIT(0.40)10 per month 1.24  0.04  1.93 (2.11) 5.64 
NHINational Health Investors 1.05 8 per month 1.06  0.15  1.86 (1.72) 6.22 
GMREGlobal Medical REIT(0.03)6 per month 1.72  0.03  2.77 (2.59) 7.67 
DOCHealthpeak Properties(0.08)10 per month 1.12  0.15  2.44 (1.89) 7.64 
VTRVentas Inc(0.02)10 per month 0.97  0.17  2.57 (1.63) 8.14 
CTRECareTrust REIT(0.32)9 per month 0.76  0.14  1.50 (1.19) 5.24 
CHCTCommunity Healthcare Trust 0.27 10 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.32 (3.46) 8.60 
GMRE-PAGlobal Medical REIT(0.02)32 per month 0.55  0.03  1.02 (0.93) 2.95 

Welltower Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Welltower price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Welltower using various technical indicators. When you analyze Welltower charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Welltower Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Welltower stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Welltower, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Welltower based on analysis of Welltower hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Welltower's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Welltower's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02840.03730.02710.0258
Price To Sales Ratio7.695.177.018.37

Story Coverage note for Welltower

The number of cover stories for Welltower depends on current market conditions and Welltower's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Welltower is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Welltower's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Welltower Short Properties

Welltower's future price predictability will typically decrease when Welltower's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Welltower often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Welltower's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Welltower's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding518.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.1 B

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Welltower Stock

When determining whether Welltower is a strong investment it is important to analyze Welltower's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Welltower's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Welltower Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Welltower Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Welltower Stock please use our How to buy in Welltower Stock guide.
You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Welltower. If investors know Welltower will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Welltower listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.231
Dividend Share
2.44
Earnings Share
0.86
Revenue Per Share
12.939
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.192
The market value of Welltower is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Welltower that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Welltower's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Welltower's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Welltower's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Welltower's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Welltower's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Welltower is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Welltower's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.