John Wiley Sons Stock Price Prediction
| WLYB Stock | USD 38.20 0.30 0.78% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
69
Oversold | Overbought |
John Wiley Sons stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of John Wiley shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of John Wiley's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of John Wiley and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from John Wiley's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with John Wiley Sons, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting John Wiley's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.599 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of John Wiley based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The John stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on John Wiley over a specific investment horizon. Using John Wiley hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of John Wiley Sons from the perspective of John Wiley response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in John Wiley. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in John Wiley to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying John because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
John Wiley after-hype prediction price | USD 38.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of John Wiley's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
John Wiley After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of John Wiley at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in John Wiley or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of John Wiley, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
John Wiley Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting John Wiley's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on John Wiley's historical news coverage. John Wiley's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 36.04 and 40.96, respectively. We have considered John Wiley's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
John Wiley is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of John Wiley Sons is based on 3 months time horizon.
John Wiley Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as John Wiley is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading John Wiley backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with John Wiley, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 2.46 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 6 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
38.20 | 38.50 | 0.00 |
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John Wiley Hype Timeline
John Wiley Sons is at this time traded for 38.20. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.14. John is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.29%. %. The volatility of related hype on John Wiley is about 521.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.06. About 91.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The book value of John Wiley was at this time reported as 13.67. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.47. John Wiley Sons recorded a loss per share of 2.87. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of April 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 1st of June 1999. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out John Wiley Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.John Wiley Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to John Wiley's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict John Wiley's future price movements. Getting to know how John Wiley's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how John Wiley may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WLY | John Wiley Sons | (1.01) | 7 per month | 1.27 | 0.08 | 2.64 | (2.10) | 15.51 | |
| PSO | Pearson PLC ADR | 0.1 | 12 per month | 0.96 | 0 | 2.12 | (1.57) | 6.40 | |
| SCHL | Scholastic | (1.36) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.61 | (3.06) | 7.00 | |
| PSORF | Pearson plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.96 | (0.05) | 0.59 | (1.61) | 17.19 | |
| NYT | New York Times | (0.96) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.29 | (2.56) | 9.13 | |
| LEE | Lee Enterprises Incorporated | (0.20) | 10 per month | 3.63 | 0.08 | 9.09 | (6.30) | 31.91 | |
| GCI | Gannett Co | 0.13 | 10 per month | 3.22 | 0.07 | 5.60 | (5.46) | 14.80 |
John Wiley Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine John price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for John using various technical indicators. When you analyze John charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About John Wiley Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of John Wiley stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as John Wiley Sons, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of John Wiley based on analysis of John Wiley hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to John Wiley's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to John Wiley's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0272 | 0.0364 | 0.0328 | 0.0344 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.36 | 1.05 | 0.95 | 1.17 |
Story Coverage note for John Wiley
The number of cover stories for John Wiley depends on current market conditions and John Wiley's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that John Wiley is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about John Wiley's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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John Wiley Short Properties
John Wiley's future price predictability will typically decrease when John Wiley's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of John Wiley Sons often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential John Wiley's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. John Wiley's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 56.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 106.7 M |
Check out John Wiley Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Complementary Tools for John Stock analysis
When running John Wiley's price analysis, check to measure John Wiley's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy John Wiley is operating at the current time. Most of John Wiley's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of John Wiley's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move John Wiley's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of John Wiley to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is John Wiley's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of John Wiley. If investors know John will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about John Wiley listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.599 | Dividend Share 1.398 | Earnings Share (2.87) | Revenue Per Share 35.017 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
The market value of John Wiley Sons is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of John that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of John Wiley's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is John Wiley's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because John Wiley's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect John Wiley's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between John Wiley's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if John Wiley is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, John Wiley's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.