Xinyuan Real Estate Stock Price Prediction
| XIN Stock | USD 2.70 0.10 3.85% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
Xinyuan Real Estate stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Xinyuan Real shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Xinyuan Real's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Xinyuan Real and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Xinyuan Real's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Xinyuan Real Estate, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Xinyuan Real's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.927 | Wall Street Target Price 7.16 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.909 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Xinyuan Real based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Xinyuan stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Xinyuan Real over a specific investment horizon. Using Xinyuan Real hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Xinyuan Real Estate from the perspective of Xinyuan Real response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Xinyuan Real. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Xinyuan Real to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Xinyuan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Xinyuan Real after-hype prediction price | USD 2.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Xinyuan |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Xinyuan Real's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Xinyuan Real After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Xinyuan Real at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Xinyuan Real or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Xinyuan Real, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Xinyuan Real Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Xinyuan Real's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Xinyuan Real's historical news coverage. Xinyuan Real's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.37 and 5.03, respectively. We have considered Xinyuan Real's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Xinyuan Real is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Xinyuan Real Estate is based on 3 months time horizon.
Xinyuan Real Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Xinyuan Real is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Xinyuan Real backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Xinyuan Real, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 2.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.70 | 2.70 | 0.00 |
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Xinyuan Real Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of April Xinyuan Real Estate is traded for 2.70. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Xinyuan is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Xinyuan Real is about 5682.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.70. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.64. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Xinyuan Real Estate recorded a loss per share of 52.52. The entity last dividend was issued on the 17th of December 2020. The firm had 1:10 split on the 28th of November 2022. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Xinyuan Real Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Xinyuan Real Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Xinyuan Real's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Xinyuan Real's future price movements. Getting to know how Xinyuan Real's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Xinyuan Real may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ICMB | Investcorp Credit Management | (0.11) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.96 | (3.54) | 12.39 | |
| MDRR | Medalist Diversified Reit | (0.05) | 7 per month | 1.58 | 0.05 | 4.22 | (2.84) | 11.98 | |
| YGMZ | Mingzhu Logistics HoldingsLtd | 0.01 | 3 per month | 6.51 | 0.01 | 11.11 | (8.51) | 80.54 | |
| AQUI | Aquagold International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.00 | |
| MSTSX | Morningstar Unconstrained Allocation | (0.26) | 2 per month | 0.61 | (0.05) | 0.98 | (1.06) | 3.20 | |
| LBHIX | Thrivent High Yield | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.22 | (0.35) | 0.48 | (0.48) | 1.21 | |
| VIASP | Via Renewables | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.92 | 0.07 | 3.60 | (2.72) | 13.41 | |
| RRTLX | T Rowe Price | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.26 | (0.18) | 0.51 | (0.51) | 1.46 | |
| OSHDF | Oshidori International Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 70082LAB3 | US70082LAB36 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.52 | (1.89) | 17.58 |
Xinyuan Real Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Xinyuan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Xinyuan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Xinyuan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Xinyuan Real Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Xinyuan Real stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Xinyuan Real Estate, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Xinyuan Real based on analysis of Xinyuan Real hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Xinyuan Real's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Xinyuan Real's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.22 | 0.19 | 0.2 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.0228 | 0.0262 | 0.0249 |
Story Coverage note for Xinyuan Real
The number of cover stories for Xinyuan Real depends on current market conditions and Xinyuan Real's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Xinyuan Real is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Xinyuan Real's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Xinyuan Real Short Properties
Xinyuan Real's future price predictability will typically decrease when Xinyuan Real's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Xinyuan Real Estate often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Xinyuan Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xinyuan Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 511.6 M |
Check out Xinyuan Real Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Complementary Tools for Xinyuan Stock analysis
When running Xinyuan Real's price analysis, check to measure Xinyuan Real's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xinyuan Real is operating at the current time. Most of Xinyuan Real's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xinyuan Real's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xinyuan Real's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xinyuan Real to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Xinyuan Real's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Xinyuan Real. If investors know Xinyuan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Xinyuan Real listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.927 | Earnings Share (52.52) | Revenue Per Share 176.174 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.909 | Return On Assets 0.0006 |
The market value of Xinyuan Real Estate is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Xinyuan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Xinyuan Real's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Xinyuan Real's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Xinyuan Real's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Xinyuan Real's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Xinyuan Real's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xinyuan Real is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Xinyuan Real's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.