Full Truck Alliance Stock Price Prediction
| YMM Stock | USD 7.66 0.10 1.32% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
64
Oversold | Overbought |
Full Truck Alliance stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Full Truck shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Full Truck's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Full Truck and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Full Truck's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Full Truck Alliance, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Full Truck's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.187 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.09 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.46 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.6 | Wall Street Target Price 10.19 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Full Truck based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Full stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Full Truck over a specific investment horizon. Using Full Truck hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Full Truck Alliance from the perspective of Full Truck response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Full Truck using Full Truck's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Full using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Full Truck's stock price.
Full Truck Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Full Truck's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Full. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Full Truck stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Full Truck may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Full Truck and may potentially protect profits, hedge Full Truck with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 6.9249 | Short Percent 0.0472 | Short Ratio 3.83 | Shares Short Prior Month 31.2 M | 50 Day MA 6.9702 |
Full Truck Alliance Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Full Truck's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Full. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Full can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Full Truck Alliance. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Full Truck's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Full Truck.
Full Truck Implied Volatility | 100.18 |
Full Truck's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Full Truck Alliance stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Full Truck's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Full Truck stock will not fluctuate a lot when Full Truck's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Full Truck. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Full Truck to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Full because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Full Truck after-hype prediction price | USD 7.73 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Full |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Full Truck's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Full Truck After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Full Truck at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Full Truck or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Full Truck, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Full Truck Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Full Truck's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Full Truck's historical news coverage. Full Truck's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.72 and 10.74, respectively. We have considered Full Truck's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Full Truck is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Full Truck Alliance is based on 3 months time horizon.
Full Truck Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Full Truck is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Full Truck backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Full Truck, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 3.01 | 0.07 | 0.02 | 8 Events / Month | 14 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.66 | 7.73 | 0.91 |
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Full Truck Hype Timeline
On the 19th of April Full Truck Alliance is traded for 7.66. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Full is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 7.73 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.91%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.37%. The volatility of related hype on Full Truck is about 5907.48%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.64. The company reported the last year's revenue of 8.44 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 2.21 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 5.56 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Full Truck Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Full Truck Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Full Truck's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Full Truck's future price movements. Getting to know how Full Truck's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Full Truck may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Full Truck Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Full price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Full using various technical indicators. When you analyze Full charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Full Truck Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Full Truck stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Full Truck Alliance, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Full Truck based on analysis of Full Truck hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Full Truck's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Full Truck's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 1.14 | 1.76 | 2.03 | 1.93 | Price To Sales Ratio | 7.7 | 8.82 | 10.14 | 9.63 |
Story Coverage note for Full Truck
The number of cover stories for Full Truck depends on current market conditions and Full Truck's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Full Truck is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Full Truck's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Full Truck Short Properties
Full Truck's future price predictability will typically decrease when Full Truck's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Full Truck Alliance often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Full Truck's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Full Truck's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.9 B |
Check out Full Truck Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
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When running Full Truck's price analysis, check to measure Full Truck's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Full Truck is operating at the current time. Most of Full Truck's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Full Truck's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Full Truck's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Full Truck to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Full Truck's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Full Truck. If investors know Full will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Full Truck listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.187 | Earnings Share 0.28 | Revenue Per Share 7.992 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.253 | Return On Assets 0.0176 |
The market value of Full Truck Alliance is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Full that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Full Truck's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Full Truck's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Full Truck's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Full Truck's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Full Truck's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Full Truck is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Full Truck's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.