Zillow Etf Price Prediction

Z Etf  USD 46.03  1.75  3.66%   
Zillow Group Class etf price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Zillow Group shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Zillow Group's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Zillow Group and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Zillow Group's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Zillow Group Class, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.25)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.27
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.2
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.6
Wall Street Target Price
57.22
It is a matter of debate whether etf price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Zillow Group based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Zillow price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Zillow Group over a specific investment horizon. Using Zillow Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Zillow Group Class from the perspective of Zillow Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Zillow Group using Zillow Group's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Zillow using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Zillow Group's stock price.

Zillow Group Implied Volatility

    
  63.89  
Zillow Group's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Zillow Group Class stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Zillow Group's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Zillow Group stock will not fluctuate a lot when Zillow Group's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Zillow Group. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Zillow Group to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Zillow because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Zillow Group after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 46.16  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Zillow contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Zillow Group Class will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.99% per day over the life of the 2023-09-22 option contract. With Zillow Group trading at USD46.03, that is roughly USD1.84. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Zillow Group's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Zillow Group Class options at the current volatility level of 63.89%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Zillow Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Zillow Etf please use our How to Invest in Zillow Group guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Zillow Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Zillow Group in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.7945.1747.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
40.7443.1245.50
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
55.0055.0055.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
46.4550.1353.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Zillow Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Zillow Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Zillow Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Zillow Group Class.

Zillow Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Zillow Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Zillow Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Zillow Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Zillow Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Zillow Group's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Zillow Group's historical news coverage. Zillow Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 43.78 and 48.54, respectively. We have considered Zillow Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 46.03
46.16
After-hype Price
48.54
Upside
Zillow Group is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Zillow Group Class is based on 3 months time horizon.

Zillow Group Etf Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Zillow Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Zillow Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Zillow Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08  2.38   0.13    0.02  5 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
46.0346.160.28 
142.51  

Zillow Group Hype Timeline

As of September 22, 2023 Zillow Group Class is listed for 46.03. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Zillow is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 46.16 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 142.51%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.28% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Zillow Group is about 870.73% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 46.05. The company reported the annual revenue of 1.96 B. Total Loss to common stockholders was (101 M) with gross profit before all taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.59 B. Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days.
Check out Zillow Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Zillow Etf please use our How to Invest in Zillow Group guide.

Zillow Group Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Zillow Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Zillow Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Zillow Group rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Zillow Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VZVerizon Communications(0.13)9 per month 0.00 (0.0451) 1.69 (1.91) 9.19 
TRVThe Travelers Companies(0.44)9 per month 0.00 (0.0453) 1.59 (1.55) 3.64 
PFEPfizer Inc(0.11)5 per month 0.00 (0.22) 1.57 (2.27) 5.76 
AAAlcoa Corp(0.12)9 per month 0.00 (0.09) 4.66 (5.14) 11.32 
CVXChevron Corp 0.35 5 per month 1.01  0.12  1.97 (2.06) 5.94 
INTCIntel 0.13 5 per month 2.60  0.0085  3.31 (4.09) 11.13 
HDHome Depot 2.63 8 per month 1.10  0.0427  1.45 (1.73) 5.18 
XOMExxon Mobil Corp 0.44 9 per month 1.32  0.14  1.94 (1.83) 5.58 
BACBank Of America(0.29)6 per month 0.00 (0.0135) 2.08 (2.16) 7.62 

Zillow Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Zillow price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Zillow using various technical indicators. When you analyze Zillow charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Zillow Group Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Zillow Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Zillow Group Class, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Zillow Group based on analysis of Zillow Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Zillow Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Zillow Group's related companies.
 2022 2023 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.370.3
Interest Coverage0.680.54

Story Coverage note for Zillow Group

The number of cover stories for Zillow Group depends on current market conditions and Zillow Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Zillow Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Zillow Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Zillow Group Short Properties

Zillow Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Zillow Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Zillow Group Class often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Zillow Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zillow Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding242.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.4 B
Check out Zillow Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Zillow Etf please use our How to Invest in Zillow Group guide. Note that the Zillow Group Class information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Zillow Group's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

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The market value of Zillow Group Class is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Zillow that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Zillow Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Zillow Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Zillow Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Zillow Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Zillow Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Zillow Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Zillow Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.