Zai Lab Stock Price Prediction
| ZLAB Stock | USD 15.12 0.13 0.87% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
38
Oversold | Overbought |
Zai Lab stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Zai Lab shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Zai Lab's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Zai Lab and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Zai Lab's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Zai Lab, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Zai Lab's stock price prediction:EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.77) | EPS Estimate Current Year (2.40) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.75) | Wall Street Target Price 54.12 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.86) |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Zai Lab based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Zai stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Zai Lab over a specific investment horizon. Using Zai Lab hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Zai Lab from the perspective of Zai Lab response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Zai Lab using Zai Lab's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Zai using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Zai Lab's stock price.
Zai Lab Implied Volatility | 80.92 |
Zai Lab's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Zai Lab stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Zai Lab's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Zai Lab stock will not fluctuate a lot when Zai Lab's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Zai Lab. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Zai Lab to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Zai because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Zai Lab after-hype prediction price | USD 14.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Zai contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Zai Lab will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 5.06% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With Zai Lab trading at USD 15.12, that is roughly USD 0.76 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Zai Lab's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Zai Lab options at the current volatility level of 80.92%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Zai |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Zai Lab's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Zai Lab After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Zai Lab at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Zai Lab or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Zai Lab, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Zai Lab Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Zai Lab's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Zai Lab's historical news coverage. Zai Lab's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.11 and 18.79, respectively. We have considered Zai Lab's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Zai Lab is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Zai Lab is based on 3 months time horizon.
Zai Lab Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Zai Lab is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Zai Lab backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Zai Lab, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.60 | 3.84 | 0.17 | 1.24 | 9 Events / Month | 12 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.12 | 14.95 | 1.12 |
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Zai Lab Hype Timeline
Zai Lab is at this time traded for 15.12. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.17, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -1.24. Zai is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 14.95. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.12%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.6%. The volatility of related hype on Zai Lab is about 185.06%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.88. About 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.78. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Zai Lab recorded a loss per share of 3.5. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Zai Lab Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Zai Lab Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Zai Lab's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Zai Lab's future price movements. Getting to know how Zai Lab's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Zai Lab may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Zai Lab Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Zai price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Zai using various technical indicators. When you analyze Zai charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Zai Lab Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Zai Lab stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Zai Lab, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Zai Lab based on analysis of Zai Lab hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Zai Lab's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Zai Lab's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.004913 | 0.004367 | Price To Sales Ratio | 9.9 | 9.41 |
Story Coverage note for Zai Lab
The number of cover stories for Zai Lab depends on current market conditions and Zai Lab's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Zai Lab is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Zai Lab's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Zai Lab Short Properties
Zai Lab's future price predictability will typically decrease when Zai Lab's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Zai Lab often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Zai Lab's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zai Lab's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 96.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 806.5 M |
Check out Zai Lab Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Zai Stock refer to our How to Trade Zai Stock guide.Note that the Zai Lab information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Zai Lab's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Complementary Tools for Zai Stock analysis
When running Zai Lab's price analysis, check to measure Zai Lab's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Zai Lab is operating at the current time. Most of Zai Lab's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Zai Lab's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Zai Lab's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Zai Lab to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Zai Lab's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Zai Lab. If investors know Zai will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Zai Lab listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (3.50) | Revenue Per Share 2.76 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.052 | Return On Assets (0.21) | Return On Equity (0.36) |
The market value of Zai Lab is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Zai that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Zai Lab's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Zai Lab's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Zai Lab's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Zai Lab's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Zai Lab's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Zai Lab is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Zai Lab's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.