American Express Profitability Analysis

AXP Stock  USD 233.00  1.96  0.85%   
Based on American Express' profitability indicators, American Express' profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average chance of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess American Express' ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1990-03-31
Previous Quarter
1.9 B
Current Value
2.4 B
Quarterly Volatility
614.9 M
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
At this time, American Express' Days Sales Outstanding is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 04/23/2024, EV To Sales is likely to grow to 2.62, while Operating Cash Flow Sales Ratio is likely to drop 0.22. At this time, American Express' Net Income is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 04/23/2024, Net Income Per Share is likely to grow to 11.96, while Income Tax Expense is likely to drop slightly above 1.3 B.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.690.5717
Fairly Up
Pretty Stable
Net Profit Margin0.0960.1387
Way Down
Very volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.290.1742
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Pretax Profit Margin0.140.1742
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Return On Assets0.01770.0321
Way Down
Very volatile
Return On Equity0.180.2985
Way Down
Pretty Stable
For American Express profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of American Express to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well American Express utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between American Express's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of American Express over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.
  
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To learn how to invest in American Stock, please use our How to Invest in American Express guide.
Is American Express' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Express. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Express listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.388
Dividend Share
2.5
Earnings Share
12.13
Revenue Per Share
77.996
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.099
The market value of American Express is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Express' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Express' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Express' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Express' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Express' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Express is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Express' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

American Express Return On Asset vs. Return On Equity Fundamental Analysis

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining American Express's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare American Express value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth.
American Express is number one stock in return on equity category among related companies. It is number one stock in return on asset category among related companies reporting about  0.11  of Return On Asset per Return On Equity. The ratio of Return On Equity to Return On Asset for American Express is roughly  9.23 . At this time, American Express' Return On Equity is relatively stable compared to the past year.Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all model that can be used if you cannot value American Express by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. This model doesn't attempt to find an intrinsic value for American Express' Stock. Still, instead, it compares the stock's price multiples to a benchmark or nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued. The reason why the comparable model can be used in almost all circumstances is due to the vast number of multiples that can be utilized, such as the price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-book (P/B), price-to-sales (P/S), price-to-cash flow (P/CF), and many others. The P/E ratio is the most commonly used of these ratios because it focuses on the American Express' earnings, one of the primary drivers of an investment's value.

American Return On Asset vs. Return On Equity

Return on Equity or ROE tells company stockholders how effectually their money is being utilized or reinvested. It is a useful ratio when analyzing company profitability or the management effectiveness given the capital invested by the shareholders. ROE shows how efficiently a company utilizes investments to generate income.

American Express

Return On Equity

 = 

Net Income

Total Equity

 = 
0.33
For most industries, Return on Equity between 10% and 30% are considered desirable to provide dividends to owners and have funds for the future growth of the company. Investors should be very careful using ROE as the only efficiency indicator because ROE can be high if a company is heavily leveraged.
Return on Asset or ROA shows how effective is the management of the company in generating income from utilizing all of the assets at their disposal. It is a useful ratio to evaluate the performance of different departments of a company as well as to understand management performance over time.

American Express

Return On Asset

 = 

Net Income

Total Assets

 = 
0.0356
Return on Asset measures overall efficiency of a company in generating profits from its total assets. It is expressed as the percentage of profits earned per dollar of Asset. A low ROA typically means that a company is asset-intensive and therefore will needs more money to continue generating revenue in the future.

American Return On Asset Comparison

American Express is currently under evaluation in return on asset category among related companies.

American Express Profitability Projections

The most important aspect of a successful company is its ability to generate a profit. For investors in American Express, profitability is also one of the essential criteria for including it into their portfolios because, without profit, American Express will eventually generate negative long term returns. The profitability progress is the general direction of American Express' change in net profit over the period of time. It can combine multiple indicators of American Express, where stable trends show no significant progress. An accelerating trend is seen as positive, while a decreasing one is unfavorable. A rising trend means that profits are rising, and operational efficiency may be rising as well. A decreasing trend is a sign of poor performance and may indicate upcoming losses.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income-3.1 B-2.9 B
Operating Income10.5 B6.7 B
Net Income8.4 B8.8 B
Income Tax Expense2.1 B1.3 B
Income Before Tax10.5 B5.4 B
Total Other Income Expense Net-7.1 B-6.7 B
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares8.5 B4.7 B
Net Income From Continuing Ops8.4 B6.2 B
Net Interest Income13.1 B9.2 B
Interest Income20 B12.4 B
Change To Netincome2.3 B2.3 B
Net Income Per Share 11.39  11.96 
Income Quality 2.22  2.72 
Net Income Per E B T 0.80  0.57 

American Profitability Driver Comparison

Profitability drivers are factors that can directly affect your investment outlook on American Express. Investors often realize that things won't turn out the way they predict. There are maybe way too many unforeseen events and contingencies during the holding period of American Express position where the market behavior may be hard to predict, tax policy changes, gold or oil price hikes, calamities change, and many others. The question is, are you prepared for these unexpected events? Although some of these situations are obviously beyond your control, you can still follow the important profit indicators to know where you should focus on when things like this occur. Below are some of the American Express' important profitability drivers and their relationship over time.

American Express Profitability Trends

American Express profitability trend refers to the progression of profit or loss within a business. An upward trend means that American Express' profit has generally increased over time, and a downward profitability trend means profits are declining. Recognizing problems early in profitability trends allows investors to address revenue and cost issues in advance. Investors and analysts usually monitor three types of profitability trends: gross, operating, and net. Gross profit is the difference between revenue and costs of goods sold. Operating profit is American Express' gross profit minus its overhead. After you account for other unusual revenue, expenses, and costs, you get net profit. Gross profit trends are often a good indicator of future profitability. If you have high gross profit margins, you have a better chance to cover overhead and make money.

American Express Profitability Drivers Correlations

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize and read into endless financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties. Understanding the correlation between American Express different financial indicators related to revenue and profit generation helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards American Express in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between profit drivers that are directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to break down American Express' future profitability.

Use American Express in pair-trading

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if American Express position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in American Express will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

American Express Pair Trading

American Express Pair Trading Analysis

The ability to find closely correlated positions to American Express could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace American Express when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back American Express - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling American Express to buy it.
The correlation of American Express is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as American Express moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if American Express moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for American Express can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Use Investing Themes to Complement your American Express position

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When determining whether American Express is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if American Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about American Express Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about American Express Stock:
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To learn how to invest in American Stock, please use our How to Invest in American Express guide.
You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.

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When running American Express' price analysis, check to measure American Express' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Express is operating at the current time. Most of American Express' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Express' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Express' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Express to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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To fully project American Express' future profitability, investors should examine all historical financial statements. These statements provide investors with a comprehensive snapshot of the financial position of American Express at a specified time, usually calculated after every quarter, six months, or one year. Three primary documents fall into the category of financial statements. These documents include American Express' income statement, its balance sheet, and the statement of cash flows.
Potential American Express investors and stakeholders can use historical trends found within financial statements to determine how well the company is positioned for the future. Although American Express investors may work on each financial statement separately, they are all related. The changes in American Express's assets and liabilities, for example, are also reflected in the revenues and expenses that we see on American Express's income statement, which results in the company's gains or losses. Cash flows can provide more information regarding cash listed on a balance sheet but not equivalent to net income shown on the income statement. Please read more on our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.