National Fuel Return On Equity vs. Shares Owned By Insiders

NFG Stock  USD 57.16  1.79  3.23%   
Taking into consideration National Fuel's profitability measurements, National Fuel Gas is yielding more profit at this time then in previous quarter. It has a moderate probability of reporting better profitability numbers in July. Profitability indicators assess National Fuel's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Return On Equity  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
0.19
Current Value
0.12
Quarterly Volatility
0.13727025
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
At this time, National Fuel's Days Of Sales Outstanding is most likely to slightly grow in the upcoming years. At this time, National Fuel's Income Before Tax is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The National Fuel's current Total Other Income Expense Net is estimated to increase to about 17.1 M, while Operating Income is projected to decrease to roughly 365.8 M.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.550.45
Fairly Up
Pretty Stable
For National Fuel profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of National Fuel to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well National Fuel Gas utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between National Fuel's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of National Fuel Gas over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.
  

National Fuel's Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

Check out Correlation Analysis.
Is National Fuel's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Fuel. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National Fuel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.176
Dividend Share
1.98
Earnings Share
5.12
Revenue Per Share
21.248
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.12)
The market value of National Fuel Gas is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National Fuel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National Fuel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National Fuel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National Fuel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between National Fuel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if National Fuel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National Fuel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

National Fuel Gas Shares Owned By Insiders vs. Return On Equity Fundamental Analysis

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining National Fuel's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare National Fuel value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth.
National Fuel Gas is considered to be number one stock in return on equity category among related companies. It is considered to be number one stock in shares owned by insiders category among related companies making about  8.17  of Shares Owned By Insiders per Return On Equity. At this time, National Fuel's Return On Equity is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years.Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all model that can be used if you cannot value National Fuel by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. This model doesn't attempt to find an intrinsic value for National Fuel's Stock. Still, instead, it compares the stock's price multiples to a benchmark or nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued. The reason why the comparable model can be used in almost all circumstances is due to the vast number of multiples that can be utilized, such as the price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-book (P/B), price-to-sales (P/S), price-to-cash flow (P/CF), and many others. The P/E ratio is the most commonly used of these ratios because it focuses on the National Fuel's earnings, one of the primary drivers of an investment's value.

National Shares Owned By Insiders vs. Return On Equity

Return on Equity or ROE tells company stockholders how effectually their money is being utilized or reinvested. It is a useful ratio when analyzing company profitability or the management effectiveness given the capital invested by the shareholders. ROE shows how efficiently a company utilizes investments to generate income.

National Fuel

Return On Equity

 = 

Net Income

Total Equity

 = 
0.15
For most industries, Return on Equity between 10% and 30% are considered desirable to provide dividends to owners and have funds for the future growth of the company. Investors should be very careful using ROE as the only efficiency indicator because ROE can be high if a company is heavily leveraged.
Shares Owned by Insiders show the percentage of outstanding shares owned by insiders (such as principal officers or members of the board of directors) or private individuals and entities with over 5% of the total shares outstanding. Company executives or private individuals with access to insider information share information about a firm's operations that is not available to the general public.

National Fuel

Insiders Shares

 = 

Executives Shares

+

Employees

 = 
1.23 %
Although the research on effects of insider trading on prices and volatility is still relatively inconclusive, and investors are advised to pay close attention to the distribution of equities among company's stakeholders to avoid many problems associated with the disclosure of price-sensitive information.

National Fuel Profitability Projections

The most important aspect of a successful company is its ability to generate a profit. For investors in National Fuel, profitability is also one of the essential criteria for including it into their portfolios because, without profit, National Fuel will eventually generate negative long term returns. The profitability progress is the general direction of National Fuel's change in net profit over the period of time. It can combine multiple indicators of National Fuel, where stable trends show no significant progress. An accelerating trend is seen as positive, while a decreasing one is unfavorable. A rising trend means that profits are rising, and operational efficiency may be rising as well. A decreasing trend is a sign of poor performance and may indicate upcoming losses.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income-63.3 M-66.5 M
Operating Income679.6 M365.8 M
Net Income548.4 M575.8 M
Income Tax Expense189.2 M198.7 M
Income Before Tax737.6 M774.5 M
Total Other Income Expense Net16.3 M17.1 M
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares548.4 M575.8 M
Net Income From Continuing Ops548.4 M575.8 M
Non Operating Income Net Other-1.4 M-1.3 M
Interest Income151.7 M90.8 M
Net Interest Income-118.7 M-124.6 M
Change To Netincome220.4 M231.5 M
Net Income Per Share 4.68  4.91 
Income Quality 2.98  2.38 
Net Income Per E B T 0.67  0.54 

National Profitability Driver Comparison

Profitability drivers are factors that can directly affect your investment outlook on National Fuel. Investors often realize that things won't turn out the way they predict. There are maybe way too many unforeseen events and contingencies during the holding period of National Fuel position where the market behavior may be hard to predict, tax policy changes, gold or oil price hikes, calamities change, and many others. The question is, are you prepared for these unexpected events? Although some of these situations are obviously beyond your control, you can still follow the important profit indicators to know where you should focus on when things like this occur. Below are some of the National Fuel's important profitability drivers and their relationship over time.

Use National Fuel in pair-trading

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if National Fuel position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in National Fuel will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

National Fuel Pair Trading

National Fuel Gas Pair Trading Analysis

The ability to find closely correlated positions to National Fuel could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace National Fuel when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back National Fuel - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling National Fuel Gas to buy it.
The correlation of National Fuel is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as National Fuel moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if National Fuel Gas moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for National Fuel can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Use Investing Themes to Complement your National Fuel position

In addition to having National Fuel in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Marijuana Thematic Idea Now

Marijuana
Marijuana Theme
Small and mid-cap equities that are involved in production and delivery of Marijuana products. This theme is designed for investors that are willing to accept higher levels of market risk inherited by Marijuana production in the United States. The Marijuana theme has 49 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Marijuana Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
When determining whether National Fuel Gas is a strong investment it is important to analyze National Fuel's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact National Fuel's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding National Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Correlation Analysis.
Note that the National Fuel Gas information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other National Fuel's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.

Complementary Tools for National Stock analysis

When running National Fuel's price analysis, check to measure National Fuel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National Fuel is operating at the current time. Most of National Fuel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National Fuel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National Fuel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National Fuel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Competition Analyzer
Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
Financial Widgets
Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets
Sectors
List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
FinTech Suite
Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities
To fully project National Fuel's future profitability, investors should examine all historical financial statements. These statements provide investors with a comprehensive snapshot of the financial position of National Fuel Gas at a specified time, usually calculated after every quarter, six months, or one year. Three primary documents fall into the category of financial statements. These documents include National Fuel's income statement, its balance sheet, and the statement of cash flows.
Potential National Fuel investors and stakeholders can use historical trends found within financial statements to determine how well the company is positioned for the future. Although National Fuel investors may work on each financial statement separately, they are all related. The changes in National Fuel's assets and liabilities, for example, are also reflected in the revenues and expenses that we see on National Fuel's income statement, which results in the company's gains or losses. Cash flows can provide more information regarding cash listed on a balance sheet but not equivalent to net income shown on the income statement. Please read more on our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.