American Airlines Group Stock Analysis

AAL Stock  USD 17.81  0.43  2.47%   
American Airlines Group is overvalued with Real Value of 13.19 and Target Price of 15.14. The main objective of American Airlines stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what American Airlines Group is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of American Airlines' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The American Airlines stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in American Airlines Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

American Stock Analysis Notes

About 57.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.2. American Airlines last dividend was issued on the 4th of February 2020. The entity had 0:1 split on the 9th of December 2013. American Airlines Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a network air carrier. American Airlines Group Inc. was founded in 1930 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas. American Airlines operates under Airlines classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 129700 people. For more info on American Airlines Group please contact Robert Isom at 682 278 9000 or go to https://www.aa.com.

American Airlines Quarterly Total Revenue

13.65 Billion

American Airlines Investment Alerts

American Airlines appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
American Airlines Group has 40.66 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 7.53, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. American Airlines has a current ratio of 0.77, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for American to invest in growth at high rates of return.
About 57.0% of American Airlines shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
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American Airlines Upcoming and Recent Events

25th of April 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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18th of July 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of March 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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23rd of January 2025
Next Fiscal Year End
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31st of December 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2023
Last Financial Announcement
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American Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact American Airlines' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2010-07-21
2010-06-30-0.01-0.03-0.02200 
2024-04-25
2024-03-31-0.29-0.34-0.0517 
2012-10-17
2012-09-300.280.330.0517 
View All Earnings Estimates

American Airlines Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

American Airlines' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates American Airlines' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of American Airlines' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect American Airlines' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

American Airlines Thematic Classifications

In addition to having American Airlines stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Airlines Idea
Airlines
Major domestic and international airlines
Transportation Idea
Transportation
USA Equities from Transportation industry as classified by Fama & French

American Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
4.5 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
4.4 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
4.3 M
Bnp Paribas Arbitrage, Sa2024-09-30
3.2 M
Jane Street Group Llc2024-06-30
3.2 M
Amvescap Plc.2024-09-30
M
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2024-09-30
M
Squarepoint Ops Llc2024-09-30
2.9 M
Schonfeld Strategic Advisors Llc2024-09-30
2.8 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
62 M
Primecap Management Company2024-09-30
57.3 M
Note, although American Airlines' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

American Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 11.42 B.

American Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.01 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.05 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.05 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.07  0.08 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity(0.16)(0.17)

Management Efficiency

American Airlines has Return on Asset of 0.0275 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0275 of profit. This is way below average. American Airlines' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well American Airlines manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, American Airlines' Return On Tangible Assets are quite stable compared to the past year. Return On Capital Employed is expected to rise to 0.08 this year, although the value of Return On Equity will most likely fall to (0.17). At this time, American Airlines' Non Currrent Assets Other are quite stable compared to the past year. Return On Tangible Assets is expected to rise to 0.02 this year, although the value of Non Current Assets Total will most likely fall to about 26.9 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share(7.96)(7.56)
Tangible Book Value Per Share(17.36)(16.49)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 9.43  9.90 
Price Book Value Ratio(1.73)(1.81)
Enterprise Value Multiple 9.43  9.90 
Price Fair Value(1.73)(1.81)
Enterprise Value15.7 B16.4 B
Evaluating the management effectiveness of American Airlines allows investors to assess its financial health and operational efficiency. Coupled with an analysis of its growth prospects and the current market dynamics, we evaluate the stock's true value and future potential. Key indicators such as revenue, earnings or debt levels are examined alongside external factors like economic trends and regulatory changes. The American Stock analysis seeks to determine whether the stock is undervalued, appropriately priced, or overvalued, thereby guiding your investment decisions.
Operating Margin
0.0491
Profit Margin
0.0051
Beta
1.399
Return On Assets
0.0275

Technical Drivers

As of the 6th of December, American Airlines shows the risk adjusted performance of 0.1971, and Mean Deviation of 2.03. American Airlines technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm American Airlines downside deviation, treynor ratio, expected short fall, as well as the relationship between the variance and potential upside to decide if American Airlines is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 17.81 per share. Given that American Airlines has jensen alpha of 0.6304, we suggest you to validate American Airlines Group's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

American Airlines Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was twenty-three with a total number of output elements of thirty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. American Airlines middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for American Airlines. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

American Airlines Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific American Airlines insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on American Airlines' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases American Airlines insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

American Airlines Outstanding Bonds

American Airlines issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. American Airlines uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most American bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when American Airlines Group has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

American Airlines Predictive Daily Indicators

American Airlines intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of American Airlines stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

American Airlines Corporate Filings

8K
5th of December 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
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F4
19th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
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13A
12th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
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13A
8th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
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13A
4th of November 2024
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
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8K
1st of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
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8K
24th of October 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
22nd of October 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify

American Airlines Forecast Models

American Airlines' time-series forecasting models are one of many American Airlines' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary American Airlines' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About American Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how American Airlines prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling American shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as American Airlines. By using and applying American Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying American entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.02  0.02 
Operating Profit Margin 0.06  0.06 
Net Profit Margin 0.02  0.02 
Gross Profit Margin 0.22  0.39 

Current American Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. American analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. American analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
15.14Buy22Odds
American Airlines Group current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most American analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand American stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of American Airlines, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to American conference calls.
American Analyst Advice Details

American Stock Analysis Indicators

American Airlines Group stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how American Airlines stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading American Airlines shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying American Airlines stock analysis, traders can identify American Airlines position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow586 M
Long Term Debt29.3 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding719.7 M
Total Stockholder Equity-5.2 B
Tax Provision299 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.463
Property Plant And Equipment Net38.7 B
Cash And Short Term Investments7.6 B
Cash578 M
Accounts Payable2.4 B
Net Debt40.1 B
50 Day M A13.137
Total Current Liabilities22.1 B
Other Operating Expenses49.8 B
Non Current Assets Total49.5 B
Forward Price Earnings6.5833
Non Currrent Assets Other2.6 B
Stock Based Compensation102 M
When determining whether American Airlines is a strong investment it is important to analyze American Airlines' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact American Airlines' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding American Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in American Airlines Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Is Passenger Airlines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Airlines. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Airlines listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.46)
Earnings Share
0.49
Revenue Per Share
81.697
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.012
Return On Assets
0.0275
The market value of American Airlines is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Airlines' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Airlines' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Airlines' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Airlines' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Airlines' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Airlines is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Airlines' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.