Arch Capital Group Stock Analysis

ACGL Stock  USD 92.93  1.54  1.69%   
Arch Capital Group is undervalued with Real Value of 98.93 and Target Price of 92.29. The main objective of Arch Capital stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Arch Capital Group is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Arch Capital's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Arch Capital's performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Arch Capital's stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Arch Capital stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Arch Capital is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Arch Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Arch Capital's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Arch Capital Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Arch Stock Analysis Notes

About 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.93. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Arch Capital Group has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.24. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 11.62. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Arch Capital had 3:1 split on the 21st of June 2018. Arch Capital Group Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage insurance products worldwide. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Pembroke, Bermuda. Arch Capital operates under InsuranceDiversified classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 5200 people. For more info on Arch Capital Group please contact Constantine Iordanou at 441 278 9250 or go to https://www.archgroup.com.

Arch Capital Group Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Arch Capital's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Arch Capital Group or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Over 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Top 15 Cities Where Gen Z is Moving in the US

Arch Capital Group Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Arch Capital to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Arch Capital previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
14th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
24th of April 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
14th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Arch Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Arch Capital's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2002-11-06
2002-09-300.030.040.0133 
2002-08-09
2002-06-300.020.030.0150 
2002-05-14
2002-03-310.010.020.01100 
View All Earnings Estimates

Arch Capital Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Arch Capital stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Insurance Providers Idea
Insurance Providers
All types of insurance and insurance brokerages

Arch Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Arch Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Arch Capital Group backward and forwards among themselves. Arch Capital's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Arch Capital's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Allspring Global Investments Holdings, Llc2023-12-31
5.8 M
Marshfield Associates2023-09-30
5.7 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
5.3 M
Wellington Management Company Llp2023-12-31
5.2 M
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
4.5 M
Norges Bank2023-12-31
4.2 M
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2023-12-31
3.7 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
3.7 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
3.5 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
40.8 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
27.3 M
Note, although Arch Capital's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Arch Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 34.09 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Arch Capital's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Arch Capital's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Arch Profitablity

Arch Capital's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Arch Capital's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Arch Capital is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Arch Capital's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Arch Capital's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Arch Capital's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.33 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.32 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.32.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.09  0.1 
Return On Capital Employed 0.01  0.01 
Return On Assets 0.09  0.09 
Return On Equity 0.24  0.25 

Management Efficiency

Arch Capital Group has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0419 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0419 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.2841 %, meaning that it created $0.2841 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Arch Capital's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Arch Capital manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Arch Capital's Return On Tangible Assets are quite stable compared to the past year. Return On Assets is expected to rise to 0.09 this year, although the value of Return On Capital Employed will most likely fall to 0.01. At this time, Arch Capital's Other Current Assets are quite stable compared to the past year. Return On Tangible Assets is expected to rise to 0.1 this year, although the value of Net Tangible Assets will most likely fall to about 8.9 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 49.78  52.27 
Net Current Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 47.80  50.19 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 156.34  164.16 
Price Book Value Ratio 1.49  0.86 
Enterprise Value Multiple 156.34  164.16 
Price Fair Value 1.49  0.86 
Enterprise Value22.5 B23.6 B
The analysis of Arch Capital's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Arch Capital's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Arch Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Beta
0.573

Technical Drivers

As of the 19th of April, Arch Capital shows the risk adjusted performance of 0.1261, and Mean Deviation of 0.9407. Arch Capital Group technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to analyze and collect data for nineteen technical drivers for Arch Capital Group, which can be compared to its peers. Please confirm Arch Capital Group information ratio, and the relationship between the downside deviation and value at risk to decide if Arch Capital Group is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 92.93 per share. Given that Arch Capital has jensen alpha of 0.2176, we suggest you to validate Arch Capital Group's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Arch Capital Group Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Arch Capital middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Arch Capital Group. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Arch Capital Group Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Arch Capital insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Arch Capital's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Arch Capital insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Arch Capital Predictive Daily Indicators

Arch Capital intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Arch Capital stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Arch Capital Corporate Filings

8K
5th of April 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
28th of March 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
12th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
8th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
7th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
6th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
29th of February 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
27th of February 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Arch Capital Forecast Models

Arch Capital's time-series forecasting models are one of many Arch Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Arch Capital's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Arch Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Arch Capital prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Arch shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Arch Capital. By using and applying Arch Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Arch entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.23  0.12 
Operating Profit Margin 0.01  0.01 
Net Profit Margin 0.33  0.35 
Gross Profit Margin 0.90  0.97 

Current Arch Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Arch analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Arch analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
92.29Strong Buy15Odds
Arch Capital Group current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Arch analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Arch stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Arch Capital Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Arch conference calls.
Arch Analyst Advice Details

Arch Stock Analysis Indicators

Arch Capital Group stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Arch Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Arch Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Arch Capital stock analysis, traders can identify Arch Capital position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow1.3 B
Long Term Debt2.7 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding378.8 M
Total Stockholder Equity18.4 B
Tax Provision264 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y1.708
Property Plant And Equipment Net125 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB
Cash1.5 B
Accounts Payable3.8 B
Net Debt1.4 B
50 Day M A88.8344
Total Current Liabilities20 B
Other Operating Expenses-10.1 B
Non Current Assets Total38.9 B
Forward Price Earnings10.9051
Non Currrent Assets Other29.4 B
Stock Based Compensation93 M
When determining whether Arch Capital Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Arch Capital's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Arch Capital's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Arch Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Arch Capital Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
Note that the Arch Capital Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Arch Capital's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.

Complementary Tools for Arch Stock analysis

When running Arch Capital's price analysis, check to measure Arch Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arch Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Arch Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arch Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arch Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arch Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Cryptocurrency Center
Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
My Watchlist Analysis
Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
Is Arch Capital's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arch Capital. If investors know Arch will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Arch Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.708
Earnings Share
11.62
Revenue Per Share
36.979
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.294
Return On Assets
0.0419
The market value of Arch Capital Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Arch that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Arch Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Arch Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Arch Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Arch Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Arch Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Arch Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arch Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.