American Financial Group Stock Analysis

AFG Stock  USD 136.48  0.32  0.23%   
American Financial Group is undervalued with Real Value of 142.89 and Target Price of 131.0. The main objective of American Financial stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what American Financial Group is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of American Financial's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect American Financial's performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of American Financial's stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The American Financial stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. American Financial is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. American Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and American Financial's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in American Financial Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

American Stock Analysis Notes

About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of American Financial was presently reported as 50.91. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.78. American Financial recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.05. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of February 2024. The firm had 3:2 split on the 18th of December 2006. American Financial Group, Inc., an insurance holding company, provides specialty property and casualty insurance products in the United States. American Financial Group, Inc. was founded in 1872 and is headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio. American Financial operates under InsuranceProperty Casualty classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 6600 people. For more info on American Financial Group please contact S Lindner at 513 579 2121 or go to https://www.afginc.com.

American Financial Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. American Financial's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding American Financial Group or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
American Financial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 63.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 28th of February 2024 American Financial paid $ 2.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investors.com: American Financial Group Getting Closer To Key Technical Measure

American Financial Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by American Financial to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to American Financial previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
6th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
7th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
6th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

American Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact American Financial's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2001-11-02
2001-09-300.140.11-0.0321 
2000-02-16
1999-12-310.30.27-0.0310 
2003-10-29
2003-09-300.430.480.0511 
View All Earnings Estimates

American Financial Thematic Classifications

In addition to having American Financial stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
ESG Investing Idea
ESG Investing
Companies that promote environmental, social, and governance factors during their day-to-day operations
Insurance Idea
Insurance
USA Equities from Insurance industry as classified by Fama & French

American Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as American Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American Financial Group backward and forwards among themselves. American Financial's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase American Financial's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Norges Bank2023-12-31
818.4 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
723.6 K
Alliancebernstein L.p.2023-12-31
705 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
689.3 K
Amvescap Plc.2023-12-31
604.8 K
Fort Washington Investment Advisors Inc2023-12-31
604.1 K
Johnson Investment Counsel Inc2023-12-31
585.9 K
Jarislowsky Fraser Ltd2023-12-31
504.7 K
Point72 Asset Management, L.p.2023-09-30
444.7 K
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
8.2 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
M
Note, although American Financial's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

American Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 11.21 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate American Financial's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by American Financial's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

American Profitablity

American Financial's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase American Financial's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, American Financial is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, American Financial's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of American Financial's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of American Financial's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.11 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.2 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.2 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for 2024
Return On Capital Employed 0.06  0.05 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.20  0.21 

Management Efficiency

American Financial has Return on Asset of 0.0256 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0256 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.205 %, implying that it generated $0.205 on every 100 dollars invested. American Financial's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well American Financial manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The American Financial's current Return On Equity is estimated to increase to 0.21, while Return On Capital Employed is projected to decrease to 0.05. At this time, American Financial's Non Currrent Assets Other are most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The American Financial's current Other Assets is estimated to increase to about 12.4 B, while Intangible Assets are projected to decrease to roughly 223.4 M.
Last ReportedProjected for 2024
Price Book Value Ratio 2.36  2.48 
Enterprise Value Multiple 12.35  7.14 
Price Fair Value 2.36  2.48 
The analysis of American Financial's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze American Financial's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of American Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Dividend Yield
0.0212
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0212
Forward Dividend Rate
2.84
Beta
0.775

Technical Drivers

As of the 28th of March, American Financial shows the risk adjusted performance of 0.1419, and Mean Deviation of 0.809. American Financial technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to analyze and collect data for nineteen technical drivers for American Financial Group, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm American Financial downside deviation, treynor ratio, expected short fall, as well as the relationship between the variance and potential upside to decide if American Financial is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 136.48 per share. Given that American Financial has jensen alpha of 0.1631, we suggest you to validate American Financial Group's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

American Financial Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. American Financial middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for American Financial. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

American Financial Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific American Financial insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on American Financial's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases American Financial insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

American Financial Outstanding Bonds

American Financial issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. American Financial uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most American bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when American Financial Group has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

American Financial Predictive Daily Indicators

American Financial intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of American Financial stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

American Financial Corporate Filings

F4
25th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
13th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
7th of March 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
4th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F3
1st of March 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
8K
28th of February 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
27th of February 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10K
23rd of February 2024
Annual report required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of a company financial performance
ViewVerify

American Financial Forecast Models

American Financial's time-series forecasting models are one of many American Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary American Financial's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About American Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how American Financial prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling American shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as American Financial. By using and applying American Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying American entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for 2024
Pretax Profit Margin 0.14  0.13 
Operating Profit Margin 0.11  0.10 
Net Profit Margin 0.11  0.06 
Gross Profit Margin 0.91  0.96 

Current American Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. American analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. American analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
131.0Buy7Odds
American Financial Group current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most American analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand American stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of American Financial, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to American conference calls.
American Analyst Advice Details

American Stock Analysis Indicators

American Financial Group stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how American Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading American Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying American Financial stock analysis, traders can identify American Financial position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow872 M
Total Stockholder Equity4.3 B
Total Liab20.4 B
Property Plant And Equipment Net176 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.7 B
Cash1.2 B
50 Day M A124.9134
Net Interest Income-77 M
Total Current Liabilities9.8 B
Forward Price Earnings12.2399
Investments470 M
Interest Expense76 M
Long Term Debt1.5 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding84.8 M
Tax Provision219 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.033
Free Cash Flow1.9 B
Other Current Assets4.4 B
Accounts Payable1.2 B
Net Debt448 M
Other Operating Expenses-6.7 B
Non Current Assets Total20.2 B
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity24.6 B
Non Currrent Assets Other17.4 B
When determining whether American Financial is a strong investment it is important to analyze American Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact American Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding American Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in American Financial Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
Note that the American Financial information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other American Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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When running American Financial's price analysis, check to measure American Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Financial is operating at the current time. Most of American Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is American Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Financial. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.03)
Dividend Share
2.68
Earnings Share
10.05
Revenue Per Share
87.981
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.087
The market value of American Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.