Assured Stock Analysis

AGO -  USA Stock  

USD 51.36  1.33  2.52%

The small slide in market price for the last few months could raise concerns from institutional investors as the firm it trading at a share price of 51.36 on 236,227 in volume. The company executives did not add much value to Assured Guaranty investors in December. However, diversifying your holdings with Assured Guaranty or similar stocks can still protect your portfolio during high-volatility market scenarios. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 1.68. The below-average Stock volatility is a good sign for longer-term investment options and for buy-and-hold investors.
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Assured Stock Analysis 

The Assured Guaranty stock analysis report makes it easy to digest most publicly released information about Assured Guaranty and get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, and announcements. Assured Stock analysis module also helps to analyze the Assured Guaranty price relationship with some important fundamental indicators such as market cap and management efficiency.

Assured Stock Analysis Notes

About 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.63. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Assured Guaranty next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 16th of November 2021. The entity had 1:5 split on the December 3, 2010. Assured Guaranty Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides credit protection products to public finance, infrastructure, and structured finance markets in the United States and internationally. Assured Guaranty Ltd. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda. Assured Guaranty operates under InsuranceSpecialty classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 412 people. For more info on Assured Guaranty please contact Dominic Frederico at 441-279-5700 or go to

Assured Guaranty Quarterly Cost of Revenue

(68 Million)Share

Assured Guaranty Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Assured Guaranty's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Assured Guaranty or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Assured Guaranty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has 1.96 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.31, which is OK given its current industry classification. Assured Guaranty has a current ratio of 0.84, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due.
Assured Guaranty has about 1.18 B in cash with (1.98 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 16.98.
Assured Guaranty has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 96.0% of Assured Guaranty shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from Where Does Assured Guaranty Ltd. Stock Fall in the Insurance - Specialty Field - InvestorsObserver

Assured Guaranty Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Assured Guaranty to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Assured Guaranty previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
Upcoming Quarterly Report24th of February 2022
Next Fiscal Quarter End31st of December 2021

Assured Guaranty SEC Filings

SEC filings are important regulatory documents required of all public companies to provide to potential investors. Assured Guaranty prospectus issued under the guidelines of SEC is a legal declaration of facts and statements to ensure that Assured Guaranty investors are not misled. SEC filings are required by law to meet strict transparency standards and other important legal constraints. Although many companies may choose careful wording to disguise some material information, SEC filings make crucial Assured Guaranty specific information freely available to individual and institutional investors to make a timely investment decision.
3rd of January 2022
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers: Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers
15th of December 2021
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Regulation FD Disclosure
24th of November 2021
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
4th of November 2021
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
13th of September 2021
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Other Events. Regulation FD Disclosure. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
20th of August 2021
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Other Events. Regulation FD Disclosure
9th of August 2021
Unclassified Corporate Event
5th of August 2021
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Results of Operations and Financial Condition

Assured Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Assured Guaranty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Assured Guaranty backward and forwards among themselves. Assured Guaranty's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Assured Guaranty's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
State Of Alaska Department Of RevenueCommon Shares49.4 K2.5 M
Louisiana State Employees Retirement SystemCommon Shares33.8 K1.7 M
Symmetry Partners LlcCommon Shares10.2 K514 K
Crossmark Global Holdings IncCommon Shares6.7 K334 K
Mraz Amerine Associates IncCommon Shares5.8 K293 K
Soa Wealth Advisors LlcCommon Shares2.5 K124 K
Ifp Advisors IncCommon Shares1.4 K69 K
Note, although Assured Guaranty's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Assured Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with total capitalization of 3.89 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Assured Guaranty's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Assured Guaranty's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and these looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Assured Profitablity

Assured Guaranty's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Assured Guaranty's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Assured Guaranty is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Assured Guaranty's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Assured Guaranty's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Assured Guaranty's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Net Profit Margin of 31.75 %, which may imply that it executes well on its competitive polices and has reasonable control over its expenses and variable costs. This is very large. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 48.55 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated 0.49 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Return on Average Assets 0.0225  0.0304 
Return on Average Equity 0.05  0.08 
Return on Invested Capital 0.0288  0.0401 
Return on Sales 0.40  0.47 

Management Efficiency

The entity has Return on Asset of 1.58 % which means that on every $100 spent on asset, it made $1.58 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows return on shareholders equity (ROE) of 4.4 %, implying that it generated $4.4 on every 100 dollars invested. Assured Guaranty management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well assured guaranty manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return on Average Assets is expected to rise to 0.0304 this year. Return on Average Equity is expected to rise to 0.08 this year. Assured Guaranty Tax Assets are quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Tax Assets is estimated at 477.88 Million. Asset Turnover is expected to rise to 0.08 this year, although the value of Total Assets will most likely fall to about 13.7 B.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Book Value per Share 95.12  77.87 
Enterprise Value over EBIT 8.05  7.88 
Enterprise Value over EBITDA 8.28  8.09 
Price to Book Value 0.34  0.44 
Tangible Assets Book Value per Share 215.34  180.82 
Enterprise Value4.1 B4.9 B
Tangible Asset Value13.6 B13.6 B

Technical Drivers

As of the 21st of January, Assured Guaranty shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0112, mean deviation of 1.27, and Downside Deviation of 1.91. Assured Guaranty technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to analyze and collect data for nineteen technical drivers for Assured Guaranty, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm Assured Guaranty treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and kurtosis to decide if Assured Guaranty is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 51.36 per share. Given that Assured Guaranty has jensen alpha of 0.0429, we suggest you to validate Assured Guaranty's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Assured Guaranty Price Movement Analysis

Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Triple Exponential Moving Average (T3) indicator is developed by Tim Tillson as Assured Guaranty price series composite of a single exponential moving average, a double exponential moving average and a triple exponential moving average. View also all equity analysis or get more info about triple exponential moving average t3 overlap studies indicator.

Assured Guaranty Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Assured Guaranty insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Assured Guaranty's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Assured Guaranty insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Assured Guaranty Outstanding Bonds

Assured Guaranty issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Assured Guaranty uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Assured bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Assured Guaranty has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
ASSURED GTY US06/01/20347.0
ASSURED GTY US07/01/20245.0

Assured Guaranty Predictive Daily Indicators

Assured Guaranty intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Assured Guaranty stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Assured Guaranty Forecast Models

Assured Guaranty time-series forecasting models is one of many Assured Guaranty's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Assured Guaranty's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Assured Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Assured Guaranty stock is reacting to, or reflecting on a current stock market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Assured shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas, a specific sector, or an individual stock such as Assured Guaranty. By using and applying Assured Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Assured entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
EBITDA Margin 0.40  0.47 
Gross Margin 0.94  0.96 
Profit Margin 0.37  0.44 
Assured Guaranty Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides credit protection products to public finance, infrastructure, and structured finance markets in the United States and internationally. Assured Guaranty Ltd. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda. Assured Guaranty operates under InsuranceSpecialty classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 412 people.

Current Assured Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Assured analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Assured analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
65.0Strong Buy1Odds
Assured Guaranty current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Assured analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Assured stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Assured Guaranty, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Assured conference calls.
Assured Analyst Advice Details

Assured Stock Analysis Indicators

Assured Guaranty stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Assured Guaranty stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Assured Guaranty shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Assured Guaranty stock analysis, traders can identify Assured Guaranty position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Quick Ratio0.84
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.86
Fifty Two Week Low35.31
Revenue Growth6.20%
Payout Ratio25.15%
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day422.86k
Shares Short Prior Month1.32M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month453.45k
Earnings Growth-78.40%
Shares Percent Shares Out2.24%
Earnings Quarterly Growth-80.20%
Gross Margins96.06%
Forward Price Earnings15.60
Short Percent Of Float3.75%
Float Shares66.89M
Fifty Two Week High56.95
Fifty Day Average51.29
Enterprise Value To Ebitda11.26
Two Hundred Day Average49.00
Enterprise Value To Revenue5.47
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.56%
Please continue to Trending Equities. Note that the Assured Guaranty information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Assured Guaranty's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..

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Is Assured Guaranty's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Assured Guaranty. If investors know Assured will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Assured Guaranty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Assured Guaranty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Assured that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Assured Guaranty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Assured Guaranty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Assured Guaranty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Assured Guaranty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Assured Guaranty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Assured Guaranty value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Assured Guaranty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.