Aar Corp Stock Analysis

AIR Stock  USD 59.87  0.31  0.52%   
AAR Corp is overvalued with Real Value of 25.94 and Target Price of 0.15. The main objective of AAR Corp stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what AAR Corp is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of AAR Corp's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect AAR Corp's performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of AAR Corp's stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The AAR Corp stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. AAR Corp is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. AAR Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and AAR Corp's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in AAR Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
To learn how to invest in AAR Stock, please use our How to Invest in AAR Corp guide.

AAR Stock Analysis Notes

About 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.82. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. AAR Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.41. The entity last dividend was issued on the 27th of March 2020. The firm had 3:2 split on the 24th of February 1998. AAR Corp. provides products and services to commercial aviation, government, and defense markets worldwide. AAR Corp. was founded in 1951 and is headquartered in Wood Dale, Illinois. AAR Corp operates under Aerospace Defense classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 4500 people. For more info on AAR Corp please contact John Holmes at 630 227 2000 or go to https://www.aarcorp.com.

AAR Corp Quarterly Total Revenue

567.3 Million

AAR Corp Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. AAR Corp's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding AAR Corp or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
AAR Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
AAR Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Q3 2024 AAR Corp Earnings Call Transcript

AAR Corp Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by AAR Corp to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to AAR Corp previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
19th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
16th of July 2024
Next Financial Report
View
29th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
16th of July 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of November 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of May 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View

AAR Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact AAR Corp's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2004-09-22
2004-08-310.060.070.0116 
2004-06-29
2004-05-310.070.080.0114 
2003-03-27
2003-02-280.010.020.01100 
View All Earnings Estimates

AAR Corp Thematic Classifications

In addition to having AAR Corp stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Aircraft Idea
Aircraft
USA Equities from Aircraft industry as classified by Fama & French
Aggressive Defence Idea
Aggressive Defence
Small capitalization, high growth potential companies
Military Industrial Idea
Military Industrial
Active national defense contractors that are involved either directly or indirectly in support of the US military operations

AAR Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as AAR Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AAR Corp backward and forwards among themselves. AAR Corp's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase AAR Corp's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Lord, Abbett & Co Llc2023-12-31
553.5 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2023-12-31
531.8 K
Principal Financial Group Inc2023-12-31
494 K
Hhg Plc2023-12-31
466.4 K
Segall Bryant & Hamill2023-12-31
434.3 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
430 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
428.2 K
Emerald Advisers, Llc2023-12-31
394.7 K
Norges Bank2023-12-31
344.7 K
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
6.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
3.8 M
Note, although AAR Corp's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

AAR Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 2.12 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate AAR Corp's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by AAR Corp's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

AAR Profitablity

AAR Corp's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase AAR Corp's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, AAR Corp is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, AAR Corp's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of AAR Corp's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of AAR Corp's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.03 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.06 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.06 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for 2024
Return On Capital Employed 0.10  0.09 
Return On Assets 0.06  0.04 
Return On Equity 0.09  0.07 

Management Efficiency

AAR Corp has Return on Asset of 0.0538 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0538 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.054 %, implying that it generated $0.054 on every 100 dollars invested. AAR Corp's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well AAR Corp manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of 03/28/2024, Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to 0.09. In addition to that, Return On Assets is likely to drop to 0.04. At this time, AAR Corp's Other Current Assets are relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 03/28/2024, Other Assets is likely to grow to about 91.1 M, while Total Assets are likely to drop slightly above 1.1 B.
Last ReportedProjected for 2024
Price Book Value Ratio 1.82  1.60 
Enterprise Value Multiple 14.20  8.27 
Price Fair Value 1.82  1.60 
The analysis of AAR Corp's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze AAR Corp's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of AAR Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Beta
1.685

Technical Drivers

As of the 28th of March, AAR Corp shows the Variance of 5.01, mean deviation of 1.46, and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,014). AAR Corp technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the entity's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the entity will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to collect and analyze data for thirteen technical drivers for AAR Corp, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm AAR Corp information ratio and skewness to decide if AAR Corp is priced adequately, providing market reflects its regular price of 59.87 per share. Given that AAR Corp has information ratio of (0.16), we suggest you to validate AAR Corp's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself in the future.

AAR Corp Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. AAR Corp middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for AAR Corp. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

AAR Corp Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific AAR Corp insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on AAR Corp's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases AAR Corp insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

AAR Corp Predictive Daily Indicators

AAR Corp intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of AAR Corp stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

AAR Corp Corporate Filings

F3
21st of March 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
8K
20th of March 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
11th of March 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
F4
1st of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
13A
14th of February 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
13A
13th of February 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
13A
9th of February 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
13A
24th of January 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify

AAR Corp Forecast Models

AAR Corp's time-series forecasting models are one of many AAR Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary AAR Corp's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About AAR Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how AAR Corp prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling AAR shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as AAR Corp. By using and applying AAR Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying AAR entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for 2024
Pretax Profit Margin 0.07  0.05 
Operating Profit Margin 0.08  0.06 
Net Profit Margin 0.05  0.03 
Gross Profit Margin 0.21  0.20 

Current AAR Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. AAR analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. AAR analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
0.15Strong Buy5Odds
AAR Corp current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most AAR analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand AAR stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of AAR Corp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to AAR conference calls.
AAR Analyst Advice Details

AAR Stock Analysis Indicators

AAR Corp stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how AAR Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading AAR Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying AAR Corp stock analysis, traders can identify AAR Corp position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow58.9 M
Total Stockholder Equity1.1 B
Capital Lease Obligations48.2 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net189.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments68.4 M
Cash68.4 M
50 Day M A62.8012
Net Interest Income-11.2 M
Total Current Liabilities351.5 M
Forward Price Earnings13.8889
Common Stock Total Equity45.3 M
Stock Based Compensation13.5 M
Long Term Debt269.7 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding34.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-138 M
Tax Provision31.4 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.371
Accounts Payable158.5 M
Net Debt249.5 M
Other Operating Expenses1.9 B
Non Current Assets Total735.2 M
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity1.8 B
Non Currrent Assets Other305.9 M
When determining whether AAR Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze AAR Corp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact AAR Corp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding AAR Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in AAR Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
To learn how to invest in AAR Stock, please use our How to Invest in AAR Corp guide.
You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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When running AAR Corp's price analysis, check to measure AAR Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AAR Corp is operating at the current time. Most of AAR Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AAR Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AAR Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AAR Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is AAR Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AAR Corp. If investors know AAR will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AAR Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.37)
Earnings Share
1.69
Revenue Per Share
63.442
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.089
Return On Assets
0.0538
The market value of AAR Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AAR that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AAR Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AAR Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AAR Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AAR Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AAR Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AAR Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AAR Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.