Alico Inc Stock Analysis

ALCO Stock  USD 27.66  0.57  2.02%   
Alico Inc is undervalued with Real Value of 30.08 and Target Price of 32.0. The main objective of Alico stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Alico Inc is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Alico's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Alico's performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Alico's stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Alico stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Alico is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Alico Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Alico's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Alico Inc. Also, note that the market value of any Company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.

Alico Stock Analysis Notes

About 31.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.75. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Alico Inc recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.29. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of December 2023. The firm had 4:1 split on the 23rd of February 1987. Alico, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an agribusiness and land management company in the United States. The company was founded in 1960 and is headquartered in Fort Myers, Florida. Alico operates under Farm Products classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 222 people. For more info on Alico Inc please contact Clayton Wilson at 239 226 2000 or go to https://www.alicoinc.com.

Alico Quarterly Total Revenue

13.98 Million

Alico Inc Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Alico's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Alico Inc or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Alico Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Alico Inc currently holds about 6.87 M in cash with (6.25 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.9.
Roughly 31.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
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Alico Inc Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Alico to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Alico previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
5th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
4th of December 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
30th of September 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View

Alico Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Alico's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-05-09
2022-03-310.010.060.05500 
2022-02-03
2021-12-31-0.29-0.240.0517 
2010-08-09
2010-06-300.370.31-0.0616 
View All Earnings Estimates

Alico Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Alico stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Agriculture Idea
Agriculture
USA Equities from Agriculture industry as classified by Fama & French

Alico Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Alico is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alico Inc backward and forwards among themselves. Alico's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Alico's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
84.5 K
Acuitas Investments, Llc2023-12-31
66.1 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
60.7 K
Naples Global Advisors, Llc2023-12-31
54.9 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
53.6 K
Allen Investment Management Llc2023-12-31
40.4 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
38.1 K
Monaco Asset Management2023-12-31
35 K
Rodgers Brothers Inc.2023-12-31
30.4 K
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
500.9 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
401.4 K
Note, although Alico's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Alico Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 215.13 M. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Alico's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Alico's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Alico Profitablity

Alico's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Alico's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Alico is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Alico's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Alico's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Alico's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 1.11 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (1.25) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $1.25.
Last ReportedProjected for 2024
Return On Capital Employed 0.06  0.08 
Return On Assets(0.05)(0.05)
Return On Equity(0.12)(0.11)

Management Efficiency

Alico Inc has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0202) % which means that it has lost $0.0202 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.1757 %, meaning that it created $0.1757 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Alico's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Alico manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of the 18th of March 2024, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to 0.08, though Return On Assets are likely to grow to (0.05). At this time, Alico's Total Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 18th of March 2024, Non Current Assets Total is likely to grow to about 446.2 M, while Total Current Assets are likely to drop about 61.3 M.
Last ReportedProjected for 2024
Price Book Value Ratio 3.17  2.44 
Enterprise Value Multiple 20.35  30.51 
Price Fair Value 3.17  2.44 
The analysis of Alico's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Alico's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Alico Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Dividend Yield
0.0071
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0071
Forward Dividend Rate
0.2
Beta
0.868

Technical Drivers

As of the 18th of March 2024, Alico shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), standard deviation of 1.95, and Mean Deviation of 1.44. Alico Inc technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to break down thirteen technical drivers for Alico Inc, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm Alico Inc coefficient of variation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the Treynor Ratio and skewness to decide if Alico Inc is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 27.66 per share. Given that Alico has information ratio of (0.11), we suggest you to validate Alico Inc's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Alico Inc Price Movement Analysis

null. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Alico middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Alico Inc. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Alico Inc Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Alico insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Alico's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Alico insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Alico Predictive Daily Indicators

Alico intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Alico stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Alico Corporate Filings

8K
14th of March 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
23rd of February 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
14th of February 2024
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
ViewVerify
13A
9th of February 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
8K
7th of February 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
29th of January 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
8K
16th of January 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
12th of January 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify

Alico Forecast Models

Alico's time-series forecasting models are one of many Alico's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Alico's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Alico Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Alico prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Alico shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Alico. By using and applying Alico Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Alico entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for 2024
Pretax Profit Margin 0.14  0.28 
Operating Profit Margin 0.12  0.20 
Net Loss(0.10)(0.1)
Gross Profit Margin 0.22  0.34 

Current Alico Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Alico analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Alico analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
32.0Buy1Odds
Alico Inc current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Alico analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Alico stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Alico Inc, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Alico conference calls.
Alico Analyst Advice Details

Alico Stock Analysis Indicators

Alico Inc stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Alico stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Alico shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Alico stock analysis, traders can identify Alico position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow865 K
Long Term Debt126.1 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.6 M
Total Stockholder Equity245 M
Tax Provision801 K
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y3.352
Property Plant And Equipment Net361.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.1 M
Cash1.1 M
Accounts Payable6.3 M
Net Debt127.6 M
50 Day M A28.4442
Total Current Liabilities15.1 M
Other Operating Expenses44 M
Non Current Assets Total369.5 M
Forward Price Earnings41.4938
Non Currrent Assets Other5.5 M
Stock Based Compensation935 K
When determining whether Alico Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Alico's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Alico Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Alico Inc Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Alico Inc. Also, note that the market value of any Company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
Note that the Alico Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Alico's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

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When running Alico's price analysis, check to measure Alico's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alico is operating at the current time. Most of Alico's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alico's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alico's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alico to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Alico's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alico. If investors know Alico will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alico listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.352
Dividend Share
0.2
Earnings Share
6.29
Revenue Per Share
5.684
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.321
The market value of Alico Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alico that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alico's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alico's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alico's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alico's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alico's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alico is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alico's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.