Alpha Stock Analysis

AMR -  USA Stock  

USD 20.83  0.23  1.09%

The latest price spike of Alpha Metallurgical could raise concerns from retail investors as the firm it trading at a share price of 20.83 on 256,924 in volume. The company directors and management may have good odds in positioning the firm resources to exploit market volatility in July. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 4.77. This high volatility is attributed to the latest market swings and not so good earnings reports for some of the Alpha Metallurgical partners.
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The Alpha Metallurgical stock analysis report makes it easy to digest most publicly released information about Alpha Metallurgical and get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, and announcements. Alpha stock analysis module also helps to analyze the Alpha Metallurgical price relationship with some important fundamental indicators such as market cap and management efficiency.

Alpha Stock Analysis Notes

About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Alpha Metallurgical was presently reported as 9.25. The company recorded a loss per share of 24.01. Alpha Metallurgical next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 30th of June 2017. Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. operates as a mining company. Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. was incorporated in 2016 and is based in Bristol, Tennessee. Alpha Metallurgical operates under Coking Coal classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 3280 people. For more info on Alpha Metallurgical Resources please contact James Hackett at 423 573 0300 or go to http://www.alphametresources.com.

Alpha Metallurgical Quarterly Cost of Revenue

347.43 MillionShare

Alpha Metallurgical Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Alpha Metallurgical's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Alpha Metallurgical Resources or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Alpha Metallurgical appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.4 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (237.98 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 135.18 M.
About 69.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Alpha Metallurgical Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Alpha Metallurgical to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Alpha Metallurgical previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
Upcoming Quarterly Report6th of August 2021
Next Earnings Report8th of November 2021
Next Fiscal Quarter End30th of June 2021
Next Fiscal Year End21st of March 2022
Last Quarter Report31st of March 2021
Last Earning Announcement30th of June 2020

Alpha Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Alpha Metallurgical's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2017-11-27
2017-09-301.411.57970.169712 
2020-05-11
2020-03-31-1.97-2.18-0.2110 
2021-05-10
2021-03-31-2.06-1.790.2713 
View All Earnings Estimates

Alpha Metallurgical SEC Filings

SEC filings are important regulatory documents required of all public companies to provide to potential investors. Alpha Metallurgical prospectus issued under the guidelines of SEC is a legal declaration of facts and statements to ensure that Alpha Metallurgical investors are not misled. SEC filings are required by law to meet strict transparency standards and other important legal constraints. Although many companies may choose careful wording to disguise some material information, SEC filings make crucial Alpha Metallurgical specific information freely available to individual and institutional investors to make a timely investment decision.
19th of May 2021
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Regulation FD Disclosure
View
10th of May 2021
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
View
4th of May 2021
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders. Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers: Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers
View
15th of March 2021
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Regulation FD Disclosure. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
View
17th of February 2021
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers: Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers
View
16th of February 2021
Unclassified Corporate Event
View
12th of February 2021
Unclassified Corporate Event
View
10th of February 2021
Unclassified Corporate Event
View

Alpha Metallurgical Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Alpha Metallurgical stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Coal IdeaCoal
USA Equities from Coal industry as classified by Fama & French

Alpha Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Alpha Metallurgical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alpha Metallurgical Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Alpha Metallurgical's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Alpha Metallurgical's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Blackrock IncCommon Shares1.5 M19.3 M
Davidson Kempner Capital Management LpCommon Shares1.4 M18.3 M
Alta Fundamental Advisers LlcCommon Shares1.1 M13.3 M
Gendell Jeffrey LCommon Shares894 K11.3 M
Highbridge Capital Management LlcCommon Shares875 K11.1 M
Morgan StanleyCommon Shares870.6 K11 M
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares842.4 K10.6 M
Susquehanna International Group LlpCall Options308.2 K3.9 M
Note, although Alpha Metallurgical's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Alpha Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with total capitalization of 434.19 M. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Alpha Metallurgical's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Alpha Metallurgical's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and these looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Alpha Profitablity

Alpha Metallurgical's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Alpha Metallurgical's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Alpha Metallurgical is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Alpha Metallurgical's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Alpha Metallurgical's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Alpha Metallurgical's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Net Profit Margin of (31.44) %, which means that it does not effectively control expenditures or properly executes on its pricing strategies. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 5.63 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated 0.06 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for 2021
Return on Average Assets(0.23) (0.23) 
Return on Average Equity(1.11) (1.14) 
Return on Invested Capital(0.24) (0.25) 
Return on Sales(0.26) (0.27) 

Management Efficiency

The entity has Return on Asset of (2.3) % which means that on every $100 spent on asset, it lost $2.3. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows return on shareholders equity (ROE) of (57.76) %, meaning that it generated no profit with money invested by stockholders. Alpha Metallurgical management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well alpha metallurgical manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of 06/20/2021, Return on Average Assets is likely to drop to -0.23. In addition to that, Return on Average Equity is likely to drop to -1.14. Alpha Metallurgical Average Assets are relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Alpha Metallurgical reported last year Average Assets of 1.98 Billion. As of 06/20/2021, Tangible Asset Value is likely to grow to about 1.4 B, while Return on Average Assets are likely to drop (0.23) .
Last ReportedProjected for 2021
Book Value per Share 10.94  11.22 
Enterprise Value over EBIT(1.80) (1.85) 
Enterprise Value over EBITDA(2.89) (2.96) 
Price to Book Value 1.04  0.91 
Tangible Assets Book Value per Share 61.68  75.36 
Enterprise Value644.3 M625.5 M
Tangible Asset Value1.1 B1.4 B

Technical Drivers

As of the 20th of June, Alpha Metallurgical shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1375, downside deviation of 4.54, and Mean Deviation of 3.84. Alpha Metallurgical technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We have collected data for nineteen technical drivers for Alpha Metallurgical Resources, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm Alpha Metallurgical coefficient of variation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the Treynor Ratio and semi variance to decide if Alpha Metallurgical is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 20.83 per share. Given that Alpha Metallurgical has jensen alpha of 0.9537, we suggest you to validate Alpha Metallurgical Resources's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Alpha Metallurgical Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was twenty-nine with a total number of output elements of thirty-two. View also all equity analysis or get more info about mavp overlap studies indicator.

Alpha Metallurgical Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Alpha Metallurgical insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Alpha Metallurgical's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Alpha Metallurgical insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Alpha Metallurgical Technical and Predictive Indicators

Alpha Metallurgical Forecast Models

Alpha Metallurgical time-series forecasting models is one of many Alpha Metallurgical's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Alpha Metallurgical's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Alpha Metallurgical Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Alpha Metallurgical stock is reacting to, or reflecting on a current stock market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Alpha shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas, a specific sector, or an individual stock such as Alpha Metallurgical. By using and applying Alpha Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Alpha entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for 2021
EBITDA Margin(0.16) (0.16) 
Gross Margin 0.1  0.12 
Profit Margin(0.32) (0.32) 
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. operates as a mining company. Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. was incorporated in 2016 and is based in Bristol, Tennessee. Alpha Metallurgical operates under Coking Coal classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 3280 people.

Current Alpha Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Alpha analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Alpha analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
15.0Hold1Odds
Alpha Metallurgical Resources current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Alpha analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Alpha stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Alpha Metallurgical, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Alpha conference calls.
Alpha Analyst Advice Details

Alpha Stock Analysis Indicators

Alpha Metallurgical Resources stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Alpha Metallurgical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Alpha Metallurgical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Alpha Metallurgical stock analysis, traders can identify Alpha Metallurgical position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Quick Ratio1.06
Fifty Two Week Low11.13
Revenue Growth-4.10%
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day224.3k
Shares Short Prior Month839.33k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month224.53k
Shares Percent Shares Out5.54%
Gross Margins7.53%
Forward Price Earnings15.13
Short Percent Of Float5.88%
Float Shares13.66M
Fifty Two Week High24.65
Fifty Day Average16.49
Enterprise Value To Ebitda11.70
Two Hundred Day Average15.04
Enterprise Value To Revenue0.66
Please continue to Trending Equities. Note that the Alpha Metallurgical information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Alpha Metallurgical's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

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When running Alpha Metallurgical price analysis, check to measure Alpha Metallurgical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alpha Metallurgical is operating at the current time. Most of Alpha Metallurgical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alpha Metallurgical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alpha Metallurgical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alpha Metallurgical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Alpha Metallurgical is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alpha that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alpha Metallurgical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alpha Metallurgical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alpha Metallurgical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alpha Metallurgical underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alpha Metallurgical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Alpha Metallurgical value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alpha Metallurgical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.