Aemetis Stock Analysis

AMTX
 Stock
  

USD 11.12  0.94  9.23%   

The current price rise of Aemetis could raise concerns from investors as the firm is trading at a share price of 11.12 on 1,456,314 in volume. The company executives may have good odds in positioning the firm resources to exploit market volatility in September. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 7.22. The very high volatility is mostly attributed to the latest market swings and not very good earnings reports from some of the Aemetis partners.
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The Aemetis stock analysis report makes it easy to digest most publicly released information about Aemetis and get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, and announcements. Aemetis Stock analysis module also helps to analyze the Aemetis price relationship with some important fundamental indicators such as market cap and management efficiency.

Aemetis Stock Analysis Notes

About 66.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.19. Aemetis had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:10 split on the 15th of May 2014. Aemetis, Inc. operates as a renewable natural gas and renewable fuels company in North America and India. Aemetis, Inc. was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Cupertino, California. Aemetis operates under Oil Gas Refining Marketing classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 158 people. For more info on Aemetis please contact Eric McAfee at 408 213 0940 or go to https://www.aemetis.com.

Aemetis Quarterly Cost of Revenue

55.13 Million

Aemetis Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Aemetis' investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Aemetis or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Aemetis is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Aemetis appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Aemetis has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Aemetis was previously known as AEMETIS INC and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol AEBF.
The company currently holds 262.14 M in liabilities. Aemetis has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Aemetis until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Aemetis' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Aemetis sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Aemetis to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Aemetis' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 221.19 M. Net Loss for the year was (47.33 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.94 M.
Aemetis currently holds about 5.47 M in cash with (14.73 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.16.
Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.barchart.com: Wild Ride in Grains Energy. The Corn Ethanol Report 07112022 - Barchart

Aemetis Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Aemetis to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Aemetis previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
Upcoming Quarterly Report21st of March 2022
Next Financial Report11th of May 2022
Next Fiscal Quarter End31st of December 2021
Next Fiscal Year End21st of March 2022
Last Quarter Report30th of September 2021
Last Financial Announcement31st of December 2020

Aemetis Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Aemetis' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2017-08-10
2017-06-30-0.24-0.3-0.0625 
2016-11-14
2016-09-30-0.27-0.210.0622 
2018-08-09
2018-06-30-0.34-0.270.0720 
View All Earnings Estimates

Aemetis SEC Filings

SEC filings are important regulatory documents required of all public companies to provide to potential investors. Aemetis prospectus issued under the guidelines of SEC is a legal declaration of facts and statements to ensure that Aemetis investors are not misled. SEC filings are required by law to meet strict transparency standards and other important legal constraints. Although many companies may choose careful wording to disguise some material information, SEC filings make crucial Aemetis specific information freely available to individual and institutional investors to make a timely investment decision.
4th of August 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Regulation FD Disclosure. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
View
2nd of June 2022
Other Events. Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders
View
12th of May 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Regulation FD Disclosure. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
View
11th of May 2022
Other Events
View
9th of May 2022
Unclassified Corporate Event
View
10th of March 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Regulation FD Disclosure. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
View
4th of March 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Regulation FD Disclosure. Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement
View
28th of February 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Regulation FD Disclosure
View

Aemetis Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Aemetis stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Alternative Energy
Companies, funds and ETFs that are involved in development and popularizing of alternative energy

Aemetis Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with current market capitalization of 375.17 M. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Aemetis's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Aemetis's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and these looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Aemetis Profitablity

Aemetis' profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Aemetis' ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Aemetis is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Aemetis' executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Aemetis' profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Aemetis' financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (21.4) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (7.79) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of -0.08.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Return on Average Assets(0.32) (0.34) 
Return on Average Equity 0.37  0.31 
Return on Invested Capital(0.10) (0.11) 
Return on Sales(0.13) (0.13) 

Management Efficiency

The entity has return on total asset (ROA) of (6.95) % which means that it has lost $6.95 on every $100 spent on asset. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows return on stockholders equity (ROE) of 0.28 %, meaning that it created $0.28 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Aemetis management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well aemetis manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return on Average Assets is likely to drop to -0.34 in 2022. Return on Average Equity is likely to drop to 0.31 in 2022. Aemetis Goodwill and Intangible Assets are fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Aemetis reported Goodwill and Intangible Assets of 1.24 Million in 2021. Asset Turnover is likely to rise to 1.70 in 2022, whereas Total Assets are likely to drop slightly above 139.6 M in 2022.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Book Value per Share(3.92) (4.23) 
Enterprise Value over EBIT(22.00) (22.58) 
Enterprise Value over EBITDA(27.21) (27.93) 
Price to Book Value(3.40) (3.67) 
Tangible Assets Book Value per Share 5.24  5.46 
Enterprise Value590.2 M636.8 M
Tangible Asset Value160.8 M138.9 M

Technical Drivers

As of the 8th of August, Aemetis shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0706, mean deviation of 5.75, and Downside Deviation of 6.25. Aemetis technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate and analyze data for nineteen technical drivers for Aemetis, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm Aemetis downside deviation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the Treynor Ratio and expected short fall to decide if Aemetis is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 11.12 per share. Given that Aemetis has jensen alpha of 0.5267, we suggest you to validate Aemetis's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Aemetis Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was thirty-five with a total number of output elements of twenty-six. The Mid-point over period is an average of Aemetis highest and lowest values attained during the given period.
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Aemetis Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Aemetis insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Aemetis' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Aemetis insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Andrew Foster over two months ago via Macroaxis 
Sale by Andrew Foster of 213 shares of Aemetis
John Block over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Sale by John Block of 10371 shares of Aemetis
John Block over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by John Block of 35000 shares of Aemetis subject to Rule 16b-3
Todd Waltz over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Todd Waltz of 100000 shares of Aemetis subject to Rule 16b-3
Simon Timothy Alan over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Simon Timothy Alan of 10371 shares of Aemetis subject to Rule 16b-3
Eric McAfee over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Eric McAfee of 55588 shares of Aemetis subject to Rule 16b-3
Simon Timothy Alan over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Simon Timothy Alan of 10000 shares of Aemetis subject to Rule 16b-3
Andrew Foster over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by Andrew Foster of 10833 shares of Aemetis subject to Rule 16b-3
Andrew Foster over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by Andrew Foster of 11630 shares of Aemetis subject to Rule 16b-3
Andrew Foster over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by Andrew Foster of 15000 shares of Aemetis subject to Rule 16b-3
Andrew Foster over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by Andrew Foster of 25000 shares of Aemetis subject to Rule 16b-3
Sanjeev Gupta over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by Sanjeev Gupta of 24800 shares of Aemetis subject to Rule 16b-3

Aemetis Technical and Predictive Indicators

Aemetis Forecast Models

Aemetis time-series forecasting models is one of many Aemetis' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Aemetis' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Aemetis Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Aemetis stock is reacting to, or reflecting on a current stock market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Aemetis shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas, a specific sector, or an individual stock such as Aemetis. By using and applying Aemetis Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Aemetis entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
EBITDA Margin(0.10) (0.10) 
Gross Margin 0.037  0.05 
Profit Margin(0.22) (0.24) 
Aemetis, Inc. operates as a renewable natural gas and renewable fuels company in North America and India. Aemetis, Inc. was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Cupertino, California. Aemetis operates under Oil Gas Refining Marketing classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 158 people.

Current Aemetis Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Aemetis analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Aemetis analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
30.0Strong Buy4Odds
Aemetis current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Aemetis analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Aemetis stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Aemetis, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Aemetis conference calls.
Aemetis Analyst Advice Details

Aemetis Stock Analysis Indicators

Aemetis stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Aemetis stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Aemetis shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Aemetis stock analysis, traders can identify Aemetis position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Quick Ratio0.10
Fifty Two Week Low4.45
Revenue Growth21.60%
Shares Short Prior Month5.84M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day991.5k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month841.22k
Shares Percent Shares Out16.68%
Gross Margins3.83%
Short Percent Of Float18.42%
Forward Price Earnings-27.49
Float Shares29.26M
Fifty Two Week High23.33
Enterprise Value To Ebitda-43.31
Fifty Day Average6.43
Two Hundred Day Average11.28
Enterprise Value To Revenue2.31
Please continue to Trending Equities. Note that the Aemetis information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Aemetis' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Fund Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.

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When running Aemetis price analysis, check to measure Aemetis' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aemetis is operating at the current time. Most of Aemetis' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aemetis' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aemetis' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aemetis to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Aemetis' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aemetis. If investors know Aemetis will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aemetis listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
352 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.2
Return On Assets
-0.0886
The market value of Aemetis is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aemetis that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aemetis' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aemetis' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aemetis' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aemetis' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aemetis' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Aemetis value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aemetis' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.