Aemetis Stock Analysis

AMTX Stock  USD 3.90  0.27  7.44%   
Aemetis is undervalued with Real Value of 5.86 and Target Price of 12.14. The main objective of Aemetis stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Aemetis is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Aemetis' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Aemetis' performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Aemetis' stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Aemetis stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Aemetis is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Aemetis Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Aemetis' ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Aemetis. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
For more information on how to buy Aemetis Stock please use our How to Invest in Aemetis guide.

Aemetis Stock Analysis Notes

About 25.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.22. Aemetis had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 4:1 split on the 15th of June 2016. Aemetis, Inc. operates as a renewable natural gas and renewable fuels company in North America and India. Aemetis, Inc. was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Cupertino, California. Aemetis operates under Oil Gas Refining Marketing classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 158 people. For more info on Aemetis please contact Eric McAfee at 408 213 0940 or go to https://www.aemetis.com.

Aemetis Quarterly Total Revenue

70.76 Million

Aemetis Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Aemetis' investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Aemetis or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Aemetis had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Aemetis has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company currently holds 41.55 M in liabilities. Aemetis has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Aemetis until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Aemetis' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Aemetis sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Aemetis to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Aemetis' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 186.72 M. Net Loss for the year was (43.39 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (5.54 M).
Aemetis currently holds about 3.56 M in cash with (26.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1.
Aemetis has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Aemetis Allocated 10.5 Million IRA Section 48C Tax Credits by DOE and IRS for Biofuels Plant Efficiency Projects

Aemetis Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Aemetis to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Aemetis previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
14th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
14th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Aemetis Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Aemetis' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2017-08-10
2017-06-30-0.24-0.3-0.0625 
2016-11-14
2016-09-30-0.27-0.210.0622 
2018-08-09
2018-06-30-0.34-0.270.0720 
View All Earnings Estimates

Aemetis Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Aemetis stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Alternative Energy Idea
Alternative Energy
Companies, funds and ETFs that are involved in development and popularizing of alternative energy

Aemetis Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Aemetis is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aemetis backward and forwards among themselves. Aemetis' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Aemetis' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Exoduspoint Capital Management, Lp2023-12-31
156.9 K
Citigroup Inc2023-12-31
142.3 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2023-12-31
133.6 K
State Street Corporation2023-12-31
132.2 K
Man Group Plc2023-12-31
126.5 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
123.3 K
Captrust Financial Advisors2023-12-31
121.2 K
Qube Research & Technologies2023-12-31
100.9 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
90 K
Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co., Llc2023-12-31
1.8 M
Encompass Capital Advisors Llc2023-12-31
1.7 M
Note, although Aemetis' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Aemetis Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 154.46 M. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Aemetis's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Aemetis's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Aemetis Profitablity

Aemetis' profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Aemetis' ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Aemetis is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Aemetis' executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Aemetis' profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Aemetis' financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.25) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.13) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.13.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.19)(0.20)
Return On Capital Employed(0.24)(0.25)
Return On Assets(0.19)(0.20)
Return On Equity 0.21  0.22 

Management Efficiency

Aemetis has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.1038) % which means that it has lost $0.1038 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Aemetis' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Aemetis manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Equity is likely to rise to 0.22 in 2024, whereas Return On Tangible Assets are likely to drop (0.20) in 2024. At this time, Aemetis' Total Assets are fairly stable compared to the past year. Total Current Assets is likely to rise to about 38.2 M in 2024, despite the fact that Net Tangible Assets are likely to grow to (172.6 M).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share(5.70)(5.42)
Net Current Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Book Value Per Share(5.70)(5.42)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(7.84)(8.23)
Price Book Value Ratio(0.92)(0.87)
Enterprise Value Multiple(7.84)(8.23)
Price Fair Value(0.92)(0.87)
Enterprise Value91.9 M96.5 M
The analysis of Aemetis' management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Aemetis' future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Aemetis Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Beta
1.038

Technical Drivers

As of the 24th of April, Aemetis shows the Downside Deviation of 4.6, mean deviation of 4.46, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0495. Aemetis technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate and analyze data for nineteen technical drivers for Aemetis, which can be compared to its peers. Please confirm Aemetis downside deviation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the Treynor Ratio and expected short fall to decide if Aemetis is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 3.9 per share. Given that Aemetis has jensen alpha of 0.1227, we suggest you to validate Aemetis's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Aemetis Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was seven with a total number of output elements of fifty-four. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Aemetis middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Aemetis. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Aemetis Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Aemetis insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Aemetis' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Aemetis insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Aemetis Predictive Daily Indicators

Aemetis intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Aemetis stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Aemetis Corporate Filings

19th of April 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
10K
29th of March 2024
Annual report required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of a company financial performance
ViewVerify
15th of March 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
7th of March 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
20th of February 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
16th of February 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
14th of February 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
13A
13th of February 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify

Aemetis Forecast Models

Aemetis' time-series forecasting models are one of many Aemetis' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Aemetis' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Aemetis Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Aemetis prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Aemetis shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Aemetis. By using and applying Aemetis Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Aemetis entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.54)(0.56)
Operating Profit Margin(0.20)(0.21)
Net Loss(0.25)(0.26)
Gross Profit Margin 0.01  0.01 

Current Aemetis Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Aemetis analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Aemetis analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
12.14Buy7Odds
Aemetis current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Aemetis analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Aemetis stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Aemetis, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Aemetis conference calls.
Aemetis Analyst Advice Details

Aemetis Stock Analysis Indicators

Aemetis stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Aemetis stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Aemetis shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Aemetis stock analysis, traders can identify Aemetis position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow251 K
Long Term Debt257.7 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding38.1 M
Total Stockholder Equity-217 M
Tax Provision-53.5 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net207 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.7 M
Cash2.7 M
Accounts Payable32.1 M
Net Debt38.9 M
50 Day M A4.057
Total Current Liabilities84.4 M
Other Operating Expenses224.1 M
Non Current Assets Total207 M
Non Currrent Assets Other9.8 M
Stock Based Compensation7.7 M
When determining whether Aemetis offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Aemetis' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Aemetis Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Aemetis Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Aemetis. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
For more information on how to buy Aemetis Stock please use our How to Invest in Aemetis guide.
You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

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When running Aemetis' price analysis, check to measure Aemetis' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aemetis is operating at the current time. Most of Aemetis' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aemetis' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aemetis' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aemetis to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Aemetis' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aemetis. If investors know Aemetis will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aemetis listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.22)
Revenue Per Share
4.906
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.06
Return On Assets
(0.10)
The market value of Aemetis is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aemetis that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aemetis' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aemetis' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aemetis' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aemetis' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aemetis' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aemetis is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aemetis' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.