Applovin Stock Analysis

APP -  USA Stock  

USD 86.68  0.87  1.01%

The recent price roll up of Applovin Cl could raise concerns from insiders as the firm it trading at a share price of 86.68 on 652,590 in volume. The company directors and management may have good odds in positioning the firm resources to exploit market volatility in July. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 129.1. The very high volatility is mostly attributed to the latest market swings and not very good earnings reports from some of the Applovin partners.
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The Applovin stock analysis report makes it easy to digest most publicly released information about Applovin and get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, and announcements. Applovin stock analysis module also helps to analyze the Applovin price relationship with some important fundamental indicators such as market cap and management efficiency.

Applovin Stock Analysis Notes

About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.56. Applovin Cl had not issued any dividends in recent years. AppLovin Corporation engages in building a software-based platform for mobile app developers to enhance the marketing and monetization of their apps worldwide. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Palo Alto, California. Applovin operates under SoftwareApplication classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 902 people. For more info on Applovin Cl please contact Johan Lindqvist at 800-839-9646 or go to http://www.applovin.com.

Applovin Cl Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Applovin's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Applovin Cl or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Applovin Cl is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Applovin Cl appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.45 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (125.19 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 895.51 M.
Applovin Cl has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Applovin Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Applovin's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2021-05-12
2021-03-310.10810.36210.254234 
View All Earnings Estimates

Applovin SEC Filings

SEC filings are important regulatory documents required of all public companies to provide to potential investors. Applovin prospectus issued under the guidelines of SEC is a legal declaration of facts and statements to ensure that Applovin investors are not misled. SEC filings are required by law to meet strict transparency standards and other important legal constraints. Although many companies may choose careful wording to disguise some material information, SEC filings make crucial Applovin Cl specific information freely available to individual and institutional investors to make a timely investment decision.
12th of May 2021
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
View
23rd of April 2021
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Regulation FD Disclosure. Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities. Completion of Acquisition or Disposition of Assets
View

Applovin Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with total capitalization of 29.31 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Applovin's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Applovin's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and these looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Applovin Profitablity

Applovin's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Applovin's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Applovin is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Applovin's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Applovin's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Applovin's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Net Profit Margin of (8.63) %, which means that it does not effectively control expenditures or properly executes on its pricing strategies. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 1.42 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated 0.01 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for 2021
Return on Average Assets(0.07) (0.07) 
Return on Average Equity 0.54  0.54 
Return on Invested Capital(0.0369) (0.0398) 
Return on Sales(0.039) (0.04) 

Management Efficiency

The entity has Return on Asset of 0.77 % which means that on every $100 spent on asset, it made $0.77 of profit. This is way below average. Applovin management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well applovin cl manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of 17th of June 2021, Return on Average Assets is likely to drop to -0.07. In addition to that, Return on Invested Capital is likely to drop to -0.04. As of 17th of June 2021, Liabilities Non Current is likely to grow to about 1.8 B, while Total Liabilities is likely to drop about 2.3 B.
Last ReportedProjected for 2021
Book Value per Share(0.74) (0.79) 
Enterprise Value over EBIT(4.77) (4.89) 
Enterprise Value over EBITDA(10.79) (11.07) 
Price to Book Value 1.05  1.32 
Tangible Assets Book Value per Share 3.81  3.96 
Enterprise Value382 M333.7 M
Tangible Asset Value818.5 M848.5 M

Technical Drivers

As of the 17th of June 2021, Applovin shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0871, coefficient of variation of 811.29, and Mean Deviation of 522.9. Applovin Cl technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate data for eighteen technical drivers for Applovin Cl, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm Applovin Cl standard deviation, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and expected short fall to decide if Applovin Cl is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 86.68 per share. Given that Applovin has treynor ratio of (1.42), we suggest you to validate Applovin Cl's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Applovin Cl Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was fourty-nine with a total number of output elements of twelve. The Exponential Moving Average is calculated by weighting recent values of Applovin Cl more heavily than older values. View also all equity analysis or get more info about exponential moving average overlap studies indicator.

Applovin Cl Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Applovin insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Applovin's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Applovin insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Vivas Eduardo over three weeks ago via Macroaxis 
Applovin exotic insider transaction detected
Jansen Katie Kihorany over a month ago via Macroaxis 
Applovin exotic insider transaction detected
Kkr Denali Holdings Lp over a month ago via Macroaxis 
Conversion by Kkr Denali Holdings Lp of 2500000 shares of Applovin
Karam Andrew over a month ago via Macroaxis 
Conversion by Karam Andrew of 8100000 shares of Applovin
Hontai App Fund Limited Partnership over two months ago via Macroaxis 
Applovin exotic insider transaction detected

Applovin Outstanding Bonds

Applovin issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Applovin Cl uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Applovin bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Applovin Cl has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
MaturityCouponRating
023850AC4 15.0%04/15/202015.0
CC

Applovin Predictive Daily Indicators

Applovin intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Applovin stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Applovin Forecast Models

Applovin time-series forecasting models is one of many Applovin's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Applovin's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Applovin Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Applovin stock is reacting to, or reflecting on a current stock market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Applovin shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas, a specific sector, or an individual stock such as Applovin. By using and applying Applovin Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Applovin entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for 2021
EBITDA Margin 0.14  0.17 
Gross Margin 0.62  0.61 
Profit Margin(0.09) (0.09) 
AppLovin Corporation engages in building a software-based platform for mobile app developers to enhance the marketing and monetization of their apps worldwide. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Palo Alto, California. Applovin operates under SoftwareApplication classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 902 people.

Current Applovin Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Applovin analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Applovin analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
72.63Buy8Odds
Applovin Cl current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Applovin analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Applovin stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Applovin Cl, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Applovin conference calls.
Applovin Analyst Advice Details

Applovin Stock Analysis Indicators

Applovin Cl stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Applovin stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Applovin shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Applovin stock analysis, traders can identify Applovin position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Quick Ratio1.03
Fifty Two Week Low49.41
Gross Margins61.71%
Float Shares51.27M
Fifty Two Week High84.46
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day806.76k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.42M
Enterprise Value To Ebitda48.09
Fifty Day Average65.28
Two Hundred Day Average64.56
Enterprise Value To Revenue9.13
Please continue to Trending Equities. Note that the Applovin Cl information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Applovin's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

Complementary Tools for Applovin Stock analysis

When running Applovin Cl stock analysis, check to measure Applovin's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Applovin is operating at the current time. Most of Applovin's stock examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Applovin's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Applovin's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Applovin to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Applovin Cl is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Applovin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Applovin stock's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Applovin's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Applovin's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Applovin Cl underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Applovin's stock value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Applovin value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Applovin's stock price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.