Ardelyx Stock Analysis

ARDX -  USA Stock  

USD 0.60  0.03  4.76%

The modest gains experienced by current holders of Ardelyx could raise concerns from investors as the firm is trading at a share price of 0.6 on 2,021,216 in volume. The company management teams have been quite successful in maneuvering the stock at opportune times to take advantage of all market conditions in April. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 7.25. The very high volatility is mostly attributed to the latest market swings and not very good earnings reports from some of the Ardelyx partners.
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The Ardelyx stock analysis report makes it easy to digest most publicly released information about Ardelyx and get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, and announcements. Ardelyx Stock analysis module also helps to analyze the Ardelyx price relationship with some important fundamental indicators such as market cap and management efficiency.

Ardelyx Stock Analysis Notes

About 28.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.86. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ardelyx recorded a loss per share of 1.54. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Ardelyx, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, discovers, develops, and commercializes medicines to treat gastrointestinal and cardiorenal therapeutic areas in the United States and internationally. Ardelyx, Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts. Ardelyx operates under Biotechnology classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 86 people. For more info on Ardelyx please contact Michael Raab at 510 745 1700 or go to https://www.ardelyx.com.

Ardelyx Quarterly Cost of Revenue

85,000

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Ardelyx Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Ardelyx's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Ardelyx or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Ardelyx has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Ardelyx has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Ardelyx has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 10.1 M. Net Loss for the year was (158.16 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.98 M.
Ardelyx currently holds about 116.69 M in cash with (152.55 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.9, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Ardelyx has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from www.marketscreener.com: Ardelyx Announces Additional Data Supporting the Efficacy and Safety of First-In-Class IBSRELA for Adults with IBS-C, to be Presented at DDW 2022 - Marketscreener.com

Ardelyx Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Ardelyx to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Ardelyx previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
Upcoming Quarterly Report14th of March 2022
Next Financial Report5th of May 2022
Next Fiscal Quarter End31st of December 2021
Next Fiscal Year End14th of March 2022
Last Quarter Report30th of September 2021
Last Financial Announcement31st of December 2020

Ardelyx Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Ardelyx's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-08-06
2020-06-30-0.2517-0.28-0.028311 
2019-03-06
2018-12-31-0.3985-0.45-0.051512 
2021-03-08
2020-12-31-0.2678-0.32-0.052219 
View All Earnings Estimates

Ardelyx SEC Filings

SEC filings are important regulatory documents required of all public companies to provide to potential investors. Ardelyx prospectus issued under the guidelines of SEC is a legal declaration of facts and statements to ensure that Ardelyx investors are not misled. SEC filings are required by law to meet strict transparency standards and other important legal constraints. Although many companies may choose careful wording to disguise some material information, SEC filings make crucial Ardelyx specific information freely available to individual and institutional investors to make a timely investment decision.
5th of May 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
View
25th of April 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Other Events
View
11th of April 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement
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31st of March 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Other Events
View
14th of March 2022
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers: Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers
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28th of February 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
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24th of February 2022
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement
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14th of February 2022
Unclassified Corporate Event
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Ardelyx Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Micro-Cap' category with current market capitalization of 73.64 M. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Ardelyx's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Ardelyx's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and these looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Ardelyx Profitablity

Ardelyx's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Ardelyx's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Ardelyx is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Ardelyx's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Ardelyx's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Ardelyx's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Return on Investment(50.49) (54.47) 
Return on Average Assets(0.77) (0.79) 
Return on Average Equity(1.38) (1.42) 
Return on Invested Capital(1.30) (1.33) 
Return on Sales(13.70) (14.78) 

Management Efficiency

The entity has return on total asset (ROA) of (54.89) % which means that it has lost $54.89 on every $100 spent on asset. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows return on stockholders equity (ROE) of (151.55) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Ardelyx management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well ardelyx manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return on Investment is likely to drop to -54.47 in 2022. Return on Average Assets is likely to drop to -0.79 in 2022. Ardelyx Total Assets are fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Ardelyx reported Total Assets of 172.4 Million in 2021. Current Assets is likely to rise to about 159.2 M in 2022, whereas Net Current Assets as percentage of Total Assets are likely to drop 72.12 in 2022.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Book Value per Share 0.91  0.98 
Enterprise Value over EBIT(1.15) (1.24) 
Enterprise Value over EBITDA(0.88) (0.95) 
Price to Book Value 1.35  1.96 
Tangible Assets Book Value per Share 1.30  1.33 
Enterprise Value102.8 M105.5 M
Tangible Asset Value172.4 M172.8 M

Technical Drivers

As of the 24th of May, Ardelyx shows the mean deviation of 4.84, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0233. Ardelyx technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to break down nineteen technical drivers for Ardelyx, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm Ardelyx standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and expected short fall to decide if Ardelyx is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 0.6 per share. As Ardelyx is a penny stock we also strongly suggest to validate its total risk alpha numbers.

Ardelyx Price Movement Analysis

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Ardelyx Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Ardelyx insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Ardelyx's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Ardelyx insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Ardelyx Predictive Daily Indicators

Ardelyx intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Ardelyx stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Ardelyx Forecast Models

Ardelyx time-series forecasting models is one of many Ardelyx's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Ardelyx's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Ardelyx Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Ardelyx stock is reacting to, or reflecting on a current stock market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Ardelyx shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas, a specific sector, or an individual stock such as Ardelyx. By using and applying Ardelyx Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Ardelyx entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Operating Margin(4.45) (4.80) 
EBITDA Margin(13.29) (14.34) 
Gross Margin 0.81  0.82 
Profit Margin(14.10) (15.21) 
Ardelyx, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, discovers, develops, and commercializes medicines to treat gastrointestinal and cardiorenal therapeutic areas in the United States and internationally. Ardelyx, Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts. Ardelyx operates under Biotechnology classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 86 people.

Current Ardelyx Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Ardelyx analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Ardelyx analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
5.5Buy6Odds
Ardelyx current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Ardelyx analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Ardelyx stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Ardelyx, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Ardelyx conference calls.
Ardelyx Analyst Advice Details

Ardelyx Stock Analysis Indicators

Ardelyx stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Ardelyx stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Ardelyx shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Ardelyx stock analysis, traders can identify Ardelyx position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Quick Ratio2.22
Fifty Two Week Low0.5770
Revenue Growth-43.10%
Shares Short Prior Month9.76M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.13M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month3.62M
Shares Percent Shares Out8.01%
Gross Margins49.33%
Short Percent Of Float8.09%
Forward Price Earnings-1.72
Float Shares128.34M
Fifty Two Week High8.2470
Enterprise Value To Ebitda-0.24
Fifty Day Average0.8960
Two Hundred Day Average1.0753
Enterprise Value To Revenue3.57
Please continue to Trending Equities. Note that the Ardelyx information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Ardelyx's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

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When running Ardelyx price analysis, check to measure Ardelyx's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ardelyx is operating at the current time. Most of Ardelyx's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ardelyx's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ardelyx's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ardelyx to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Ardelyx's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ardelyx. If investors know Ardelyx will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ardelyx listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Ardelyx is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ardelyx that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ardelyx's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ardelyx's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ardelyx's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ardelyx's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ardelyx's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Ardelyx value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ardelyx's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.