Ardelyx Stock Analysis

ARDX Stock  USD 6.43  0.04  0.63%   
Ardelyx is undervalued with Real Value of 7.61 and Target Price of 9.81. The main objective of Ardelyx stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Ardelyx is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Ardelyx's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Ardelyx's performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Ardelyx's stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Ardelyx stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Ardelyx is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Ardelyx Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Ardelyx's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Ardelyx. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.
For more information on how to buy Ardelyx Stock please use our How to Invest in Ardelyx guide.

Ardelyx Stock Analysis Notes

About 60.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.3. Ardelyx had not issued any dividends in recent years. Ardelyx, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, discovers, develops, and commercializes medicines to treat gastrointestinal and cardiorenal therapeutic areas in the United States and internationally. Ardelyx, Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts. Ardelyx operates under Biotechnology classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 86 people. For more info on Ardelyx please contact Michael Raab at 510 745 1700 or go to https://www.ardelyx.com.

Ardelyx Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Ardelyx's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Ardelyx or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Ardelyx generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ardelyx has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 124.46 M. Net Loss for the year was (66.07 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.54 M.
Ardelyx currently holds about 90.62 M in cash with (89.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.48.
Ardelyx has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 60.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Ardelyxs investors will be pleased with their favorable 91 percent return over the last five years

Ardelyx Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Ardelyx to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Ardelyx previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
7th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
1st of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
7th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Ardelyx Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Ardelyx's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-02-22
2023-12-31-0.09-0.12-0.0333 
2023-08-02
2023-06-30-0.11-0.080.0327 
2023-05-03
2023-03-31-0.1-0.13-0.0330 
View All Earnings Estimates

Ardelyx Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Ardelyx is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ardelyx backward and forwards among themselves. Ardelyx's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Ardelyx's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2023-12-31
2.3 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
2.2 M
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
2.2 M
Barclays Plc2023-12-31
2.2 M
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2023-12-31
2.1 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2023-12-31
1.8 M
J. Goldman & Co Lp2023-12-31
1.6 M
Rafferty Asset Management, Llc2023-12-31
1.4 M
Lion Point Capital, Lp2023-12-31
1.2 M
Hhg Plc2023-12-31
24.7 M
State Street Corporation2023-12-31
17.1 M
Note, although Ardelyx's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Ardelyx Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 1.49 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Ardelyx's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Ardelyx's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Ardelyx Profitablity

Ardelyx's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Ardelyx's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Ardelyx is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Ardelyx's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Ardelyx's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Ardelyx's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.53) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.81) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.81.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.22)(0.23)
Return On Capital Employed(0.26)(0.27)
Return On Assets(0.22)(0.23)
Return On Equity(0.40)(0.38)

Management Efficiency

Ardelyx has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.1622) % which means that it has lost $0.1622 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.4984) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Ardelyx's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Ardelyx manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -0.23 in 2024. Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to -0.27 in 2024. At this time, Ardelyx's Non Current Assets Total are fairly stable compared to the past year. Non Currrent Assets Other is likely to rise to about 47.1 M in 2024, whereas Total Assets are likely to drop slightly above 180.1 M in 2024.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 0.76  0.72 
Net Current Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 0.76  0.72 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(25.19)(23.93)
Price Book Value Ratio 8.15  8.56 
Enterprise Value Multiple(25.19)(23.93)
Price Fair Value 8.15  8.56 
Enterprise Value1.4 B1.5 B
The analysis of Ardelyx's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Ardelyx's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Ardelyx Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Beta
0.824

Technical Drivers

As of the 25th of April, Ardelyx shows the mean deviation of 2.66, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05). Ardelyx technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to break down thirteen technical drivers for Ardelyx, which can be compared to its peers. Please confirm Ardelyx market risk adjusted performance, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the Information Ratio and skewness to decide if Ardelyx is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 6.43 per share. Given that Ardelyx has information ratio of (0.13), we suggest you to validate Ardelyx's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Ardelyx Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was two with a total number of output elements of fifty-nine. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Ardelyx middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Ardelyx. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Ardelyx Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Ardelyx insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Ardelyx's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Ardelyx insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Ardelyx Predictive Daily Indicators

Ardelyx intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Ardelyx stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Ardelyx Corporate Filings

F4
17th of April 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
2nd of April 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F3
27th of March 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
F4
22nd of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
5th of March 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
28th of February 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
22nd of February 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
13th of February 2024
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
ViewVerify

Ardelyx Forecast Models

Ardelyx's time-series forecasting models are one of many Ardelyx's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Ardelyx's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Ardelyx Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Ardelyx prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Ardelyx shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Ardelyx. By using and applying Ardelyx Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Ardelyx entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.53)(0.55)
Operating Profit Margin(0.51)(0.53)
Net Loss(0.53)(0.56)
Gross Profit Margin 0.86  0.70 

Current Ardelyx Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Ardelyx analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Ardelyx analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
9.81Strong Buy10Odds
Ardelyx current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Ardelyx analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Ardelyx stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Ardelyx, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Ardelyx conference calls.
Ardelyx Analyst Advice Details

Ardelyx Stock Analysis Indicators

Ardelyx stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Ardelyx stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Ardelyx shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Ardelyx stock analysis, traders can identify Ardelyx position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow96.1 M
Long Term Debt49.8 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding219.3 M
Total Stockholder Equity166.8 M
Tax Provision547 K
Property Plant And Equipment Net6.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments184.3 M
Cash21.5 M
Accounts Payable11.1 M
Net Debt34.5 M
50 Day M A8.061
Total Current Liabilities50.4 M
Other Operating Expenses187.7 M
Non Current Assets Total51.5 M
Non Currrent Assets Other44.9 M
Stock Based Compensation13.5 M
When determining whether Ardelyx offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Ardelyx's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ardelyx Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ardelyx Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Ardelyx. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.
For more information on how to buy Ardelyx Stock please use our How to Invest in Ardelyx guide.
Note that the Ardelyx information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Ardelyx's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the AI Investment Finder module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.

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When running Ardelyx's price analysis, check to measure Ardelyx's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ardelyx is operating at the current time. Most of Ardelyx's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ardelyx's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ardelyx's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ardelyx to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Ardelyx's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ardelyx. If investors know Ardelyx will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ardelyx listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.30)
Revenue Per Share
0.567
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.22)
Return On Assets
(0.16)
Return On Equity
(0.50)
The market value of Ardelyx is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ardelyx that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ardelyx's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ardelyx's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ardelyx's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ardelyx's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ardelyx's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ardelyx is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ardelyx's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.