Arvinas Stock Analysis

ARVN Stock  USD 34.72  0.43  1.25%   
Arvinas is undervalued with Real Value of 41.77 and Target Price of 65.0. The main objective of Arvinas stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Arvinas is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Arvinas' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Arvinas' performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Arvinas' stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Arvinas stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Arvinas is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Arvinas Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Arvinas' ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Arvinas. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
To learn how to invest in Arvinas Stock, please use our How to Invest in Arvinas guide.

Arvinas Stock Analysis Notes

About 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Arvinas was presently reported as 9.71. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.28. Arvinas recorded a loss per share of 6.62. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Arvinas, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapies to degrade disease-causing proteins. Arvinas, Inc. was founded in 2013 and is based in New Haven, Connecticut. Arvinas operates under Biotechnology classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 280 people. For more info on Arvinas please contact John Houston at 203 535 1456 or go to https://www.arvinas.com.

Arvinas Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Arvinas' investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Arvinas or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Arvinas generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Arvinas has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 78.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (367.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 131.4 M.
Arvinas currently holds about 1.27 B in cash with (347.8 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 23.87.
Arvinas has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Multiple Insiders Sold Arvinas Shares Presenting Weak Signs For Investors

Arvinas Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Arvinas to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Arvinas previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
22nd of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
3rd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
22nd of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Arvinas Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Arvinas' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-08-04
2020-06-30-0.59-0.65-0.0610 
2019-03-26
2018-12-31-0.61-0.520.0914 
2020-11-05
2020-09-30-0.68-0.79-0.1116 
View All Earnings Estimates

Arvinas Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Arvinas is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Arvinas backward and forwards among themselves. Arvinas' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Arvinas' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
New Leaf Venture Partners, L.l.c.2023-12-31
1.3 M
State Street Corporation2023-12-31
1.2 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
1.1 M
Commodore Capital Lp2023-12-31
1000 K
Paradigm Biocapital Advisors Lp2023-12-31
931.3 K
Norges Bank2023-12-31
877.7 K
Adage Capital Partners Gp Llc2023-12-31
789.5 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
693.5 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
658.9 K
Ecor1 Capital, Llc2023-12-31
6.7 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
5.4 M
Note, although Arvinas' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Arvinas Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 2.34 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Arvinas's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Arvinas's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Arvinas Profitablity

Arvinas' profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Arvinas' ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Arvinas is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Arvinas' executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Arvinas' profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Arvinas' financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.28)(0.30)
Return On Capital Employed(0.38)(0.40)
Return On Assets(0.28)(0.30)
Return On Equity(0.56)(0.58)

Management Efficiency

Arvinas has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.195) % which means that it has lost $0.195 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.5997) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Arvinas' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Arvinas manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of the 19th of April 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -0.3. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to -0.4. At this time, Arvinas' Non Currrent Assets Other are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 19th of April 2024, Other Current Assets is likely to grow to about 8.4 M, while Total Assets are likely to drop about 753.2 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 11.89  7.71 
Net Current Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 11.89  7.71 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(4.99)(5.24)
Price Book Value Ratio 3.46  3.29 
Enterprise Value Multiple(4.99)(5.24)
Price Fair Value 3.46  3.29 
Enterprise Value2.5 B2.6 B
The analysis of Arvinas' management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Arvinas' future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Arvinas Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Beta
1.894

Technical Drivers

As of the 19th of April, Arvinas shows the Standard Deviation of 3.18, mean deviation of 2.43, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01). Arvinas technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate and analyze data for thirteen technical drivers for Arvinas, which can be compared to its peers. Please confirm Arvinas market risk adjusted performance, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the Information Ratio and skewness to decide if Arvinas is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 34.72 per share. Given that Arvinas has information ratio of (0.06), we suggest you to validate Arvinas's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Arvinas Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Arvinas middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Arvinas. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Arvinas Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Arvinas insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Arvinas' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Arvinas insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Arvinas Predictive Daily Indicators

Arvinas intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Arvinas stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Arvinas Corporate Filings

17th of April 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
16th of April 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
11th of April 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F3
21st of March 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
F3
19th of March 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
8K
18th of March 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
27th of February 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
20th of February 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

Arvinas Forecast Models

Arvinas' time-series forecasting models are one of many Arvinas' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Arvinas' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Arvinas Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Arvinas prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Arvinas shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Arvinas. By using and applying Arvinas Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Arvinas entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(4.64)(4.87)
Operating Profit Margin(5.11)(5.37)
Net Loss(4.68)(4.91)
Gross Profit Margin 0.91  0.73 

Current Arvinas Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Arvinas analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Arvinas analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
65.0Strong Buy20Odds
Arvinas current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Arvinas analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Arvinas stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Arvinas, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Arvinas conference calls.
Arvinas Analyst Advice Details

Arvinas Stock Analysis Indicators

Arvinas stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Arvinas stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Arvinas shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Arvinas stock analysis, traders can identify Arvinas position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow86.8 M
Long Term Debt800 K
Common Stock Shares Outstanding55.5 M
Total Stockholder Equity660 M
Tax Provision10.1 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net14 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.3 B
Cash317.2 M
Accounts Payable17.6 M
Net Debt-313.8 M
50 Day M A43.6216
Total Current Liabilities257.1 M
Other Operating Expenses480 M
Non Current Assets Total24.4 M
Forward Price Earnings17.6991
Non Currrent Assets Other10.4 M
Stock Based Compensation71.6 M
When determining whether Arvinas offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Arvinas' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Arvinas Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Arvinas Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Arvinas. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
To learn how to invest in Arvinas Stock, please use our How to Invest in Arvinas guide.
You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.

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Is Arvinas' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arvinas. If investors know Arvinas will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Arvinas listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(6.62)
Revenue Per Share
1.414
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.042
Return On Assets
(0.20)
Return On Equity
(0.60)
The market value of Arvinas is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Arvinas that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Arvinas' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Arvinas' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Arvinas' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Arvinas' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Arvinas' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Arvinas is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arvinas' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.