Aspen Stock Analysis

ASPN -  USA Stock  

USD 38.24  2.57  6.30%

The latest Aspen Aerogels price slide could raise concerns from institutional investors as the firm it trading at a share price of 38.24 on very low momentum in volume. The company executives were unable to exploit market volatilities in December. However, diversifying your overall positions with Aspen Aerogels can protect your principal portfolio during market swings. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 4.32. This high volatility is attributed to the latest market swings and not so good earnings reports for some of the Aspen Aerogels partners.
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Aspen Stock Analysis 

 
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The Aspen Aerogels stock analysis report makes it easy to digest most publicly released information about Aspen Aerogels and get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, and announcements. Aspen Stock analysis module also helps to analyze the Aspen Aerogels price relationship with some important fundamental indicators such as market cap and management efficiency.

Aspen Stock Analysis Notes

About 85.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.93. Aspen Aerogels had not issued any dividends in recent years. Aspen Aerogels, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells aerogel insulation products primarily for use in the energy infrastructure and building materials markets in the United States, Asia, Canada, Europe, and Latin America. Aspen Aerogels, Inc. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Northborough, Massachusetts. Aspen Aerogels operates under Building Products Equipment classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 290 people. For more info on Aspen Aerogels please contact Donald Young at 508 691 1111 or go to https://www.aerogel.com.

Aspen Aerogels Quarterly Cost of Revenue

27.28 MillionShare

Aspen Aerogels Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Aspen Aerogels' investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Aspen Aerogels or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Aspen Aerogels generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Aspen Aerogels has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 113.17 M. Net Loss for the year was (26.93 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 14.59 M.
Aspen Aerogels currently holds about 95.53 M in cash with (11.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.89.
Aspen Aerogels has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 85.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Aspen Aerogels Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Aspen Aerogels to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Aspen Aerogels previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
Upcoming Quarterly Report17th of February 2022
Next Earnings Report5th of May 2022
Next Fiscal Quarter End31st of December 2021
Next Fiscal Year End17th of February 2022
Last Quarter Report30th of September 2021
Last Earning Announcement31st of December 2020

Aspen Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Aspen Aerogels' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2016-08-04
2016-06-30-0.0474-0.06-0.012626 
2017-11-02
2017-09-30-0.1473-0.130.017311 
2018-02-22
2017-12-31-0.0892-0.070.019221 
View All Earnings Estimates

Aspen Aerogels SEC Filings

SEC filings are important regulatory documents required of all public companies to provide to potential investors. Aspen Aerogels prospectus issued under the guidelines of SEC is a legal declaration of facts and statements to ensure that Aspen Aerogels investors are not misled. SEC filings are required by law to meet strict transparency standards and other important legal constraints. Although many companies may choose careful wording to disguise some material information, SEC filings make crucial Aspen Aerogels specific information freely available to individual and institutional investors to make a timely investment decision.
4th of January 2022
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers: Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers
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3rd of January 2022
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement
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27th of December 2021
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement. Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement
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28th of October 2021
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Regulation FD Disclosure. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
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1st of October 2021
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement
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9th of September 2021
Unclassified Corporate Event
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29th of July 2021
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Regulation FD Disclosure. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
View
9th of July 2021
Unclassified Corporate Event
View

Aspen Aerogels Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Aspen Aerogels stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Wholesale IdeaWholesale
USA Equities from Wholesale industry as classified by Fama & French

Aspen Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with current market capitalization of 1.26 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Aspen Aerogels's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Aspen Aerogels's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and these looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Aspen Profitablity

Aspen Aerogels' profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Aspen Aerogels' ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Aspen Aerogels is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Aspen Aerogels' executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Aspen Aerogels' profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Aspen Aerogels' financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (23.8) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (26.88) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of -0.27.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Return on Average Assets(0.20) (0.22) 
Return on Average Equity(0.38) (0.41) 
Return on Invested Capital(0.25) (0.26) 
Return on Sales(0.25) (0.27) 

Management Efficiency

The entity has return on total asset (ROA) of (13.48) % which means that it has lost $13.48 on every $100 spent on asset. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows return on stockholders equity (ROE) of (26.49) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Aspen Aerogels management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well aspen aerogels manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The value of Return on Average Assets is estimated to slide to -0.22. The value of Return on Average Equity is estimated to slide to -0.41. Aspen Aerogels Average Assets are quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Average Assets is estimated at 94.73 Million. Tangible Asset Value is expected to rise to about 94.3 M this year, although the value of Return on Average Assets will most likely fall to (0.22) .
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Book Value per Share 2.96  3.19 
Enterprise Value over EBIT(18.90) (19.40) 
Enterprise Value over EBITDA(38.57) (39.58) 
Price to Book Value 7.60  8.20 
Tangible Assets Book Value per Share 3.32  3.41 
Enterprise Value512.5 M553 M
Tangible Asset Value87.7 M94.3 M

Technical Drivers

As of the 17th of January 2022, Aspen Aerogels shows the risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Mean Deviation of 2.9. Aspen Aerogels technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate data for nineteen technical drivers for Aspen Aerogels, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm Aspen Aerogels coefficient of variation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the Treynor Ratio and semi variance to decide if Aspen Aerogels is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 38.24 per share. Given that Aspen Aerogels has jensen alpha of (0.44), we suggest you to validate Aspen Aerogels's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Aspen Aerogels Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was twenty-three with a total number of output elements of thirty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Aspen Aerogels middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Aspen Aerogels. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target. View also all equity analysis or get more info about bollinger bands overlap studies indicator.

Aspen Aerogels Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Aspen Aerogels insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Aspen Aerogels' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Aspen Aerogels insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Mark Noetzel over three weeks ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by Mark Noetzel of 10228 shares of Aspen Aerogels subject to Rule 16b-3
Kelley Conte over a month ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by Kelley Conte of 20000 shares of Aspen Aerogels subject to Rule 16b-3
Robert Gervis over a month ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by Robert Gervis of 9817 shares of Aspen Aerogels subject to Rule 16b-3
Robert Gervis over a month ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by Robert Gervis of 9817 shares of Aspen Aerogels subject to Rule 16b-3
Corby Whitaker over two months ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by Corby Whitaker of 10000 shares of Aspen Aerogels subject to Rule 16b-3
Donald Young over two months ago via Macroaxis 
Sale by Donald Young of 17399 shares of Aspen Aerogels
Kelley Conte over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by Kelley Conte of 36717 shares of Aspen Aerogels subject to Rule 16b-3
Spring Creek Capital Llc over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Aspen Aerogels exotic insider transaction detected
Donald Young over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Donald Young of 461616 shares of Aspen Aerogels subject to Rule 16b-3
Rebecca Blalock over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Rebecca Blalock of 3088 shares of Aspen Aerogels subject to Rule 16b-3
Gregg Landes over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Payment of 2529 shares by Gregg Landes of Aspen Aerogels subject to Rule 16b-3
Gregg Landes over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Gregg Landes of 15671 shares of Aspen Aerogels subject to Rule 16b-3

Aspen Aerogels Technical and Predictive Indicators

Aspen Aerogels Forecast Models

Aspen Aerogels time-series forecasting models is one of many Aspen Aerogels' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Aspen Aerogels' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Aspen Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Aspen Aerogels stock is reacting to, or reflecting on a current stock market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Aspen shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas, a specific sector, or an individual stock such as Aspen Aerogels. By using and applying Aspen Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Aspen entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
EBITDA Margin(0.12) (0.12) 
Gross Margin 0.17  0.16 
Profit Margin(0.25) (0.27) 
Aspen Aerogels, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells aerogel insulation products primarily for use in the energy infrastructure and building materials markets in the United States, Asia, Canada, Europe, and Latin America. Aspen Aerogels, Inc. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Northborough, Massachusetts. Aspen Aerogels operates under Building Products Equipment classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 290 people.

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Is Aspen Aerogels' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aspen Aerogels. If investors know Aspen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aspen Aerogels listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Aspen Aerogels is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aspen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aspen Aerogels' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aspen Aerogels' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aspen Aerogels' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aspen Aerogels' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aspen Aerogels' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Aspen Aerogels value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aspen Aerogels' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.