Avalonbay Stock Analysis

AVB -  USA Stock  

USD 208.47  1.22  0.58%

The current bullish price patterns experienced by current Avalonbay Communities shareholders could raise concerns from investors as the firm it trading at a share price of 208.47 on 134,849 in volume. The company executives have been very successful in rebalancing the firm assets at opportune times to take advantage of market volatility in May. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 0.96. The very small Stock volatility is a good signal to investors with longer-term investment horizons.
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The Avalonbay Communities stock analysis report makes it easy to digest most publicly released information about Avalonbay Communities and get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, and announcements. Avalonbay stock analysis module also helps to analyze the Avalonbay Communities price relationship with some important fundamental indicators such as market cap and management efficiency.

Avalonbay Stock Analysis Notes

About 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Avalonbay Communities was presently reported as 76.57. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.72. Avalonbay Communities next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 30th of March 2021. The entity had 9:8 split on the 7th of January 2013. As of December 31, 2020, the Company owned or held a direct or indirect ownership interest in 291 apartment communities containing 86,025 apartment homes in 11 states and the District of Columbia, of which 18 communities were under development and one community was under redevelopment. The Company is an equity REIT in the business of developing, redeveloping, acquiring and managing apartment communities in leading metropolitan areas in New England, the New YorkNew Jersey Metro area, the Mid-Atlantic, the Pacific Northwest, and Northern and Southern California, as well as in the Companys expansion markets consisting of Southeast Florida and Denver, Colorado . Avalonbay Communities operates under REITResidential classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 2966 people. For more info on Avalonbay Communities please contact Timothy Naughton at 703 329-9130 or go to www.avalonbay.com.

Avalonbay Communities Quarterly Cost of Revenue

209.46 MillionShare

Avalonbay Communities Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Avalonbay Communities' investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Avalonbay Communities or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
The company has 7.54 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.71, which is OK given its current industry classification. Avalonbay Communities has a current ratio of 0.67, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due.
Avalonbay Communities has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 93.0% of Avalonbay Communities shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.marketwatch.com: Mid-America Apartment Communities Inc. stock underperforms Thursday when compared to competitors despite daily gains - MarketWatch

Avalonbay Communities Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Avalonbay Communities to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Avalonbay Communities previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
Upcoming Quarterly Report4th of August 2021
Next Earnings Report27th of October 2021
Next Fiscal Quarter End30th of June 2021
Next Fiscal Year End2nd of February 2022
Last Quarter Report31st of March 2021
Last Earning Announcement30th of June 2020

Avalonbay Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Avalonbay Communities' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2011-02-02
2010-12-310.280.310.0310 
2013-10-23
2013-09-30-0.13-0.080.0538 
2009-02-04
2008-12-31-0.08-0.020.0675 
View All Earnings Estimates

Avalonbay Communities SEC Filings

SEC filings are important regulatory documents required of all public companies to provide to potential investors. Avalonbay Communities prospectus issued under the guidelines of SEC is a legal declaration of facts and statements to ensure that Avalonbay Communities investors are not misled. SEC filings are required by law to meet strict transparency standards and other important legal constraints. Although many companies may choose careful wording to disguise some material information, SEC filings make crucial Avalonbay Communities specific information freely available to individual and institutional investors to make a timely investment decision.
24th of May 2021
Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders
View
29th of April 2021
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
View
26th of February 2021
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers: Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers
View
10th of February 2021
Unclassified Corporate Event
View
5th of February 2021
Unclassified Corporate Event
View
4th of February 2021
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
View
27th of January 2021
Unclassified Corporate Event
View
10th of December 2020
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Regulation FD Disclosure. Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers: Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers
View

Avalonbay Communities Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Avalonbay Communities stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Millennials Best IdeaMillennials Best
Firms that are involved in making products or providing services to millennials
Top FinTech IdeaTop FinTech
A collection of large financial service, investment, and banking companies
Trading IdeaTrading
USA Equities from Trading industry as classified by Fama & French
Real Estate IdeaReal Estate
USA Equities from Real Estate industry as classified by Fama & French

Avalonbay Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with total capitalization of 29.45 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Avalonbay Communities's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Avalonbay Communities's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and these looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Avalonbay Profitablity

Avalonbay Communities' profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Avalonbay Communities' ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Avalonbay Communities is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Avalonbay Communities' executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Avalonbay Communities' profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Avalonbay Communities' financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Net Profit Margin of 35.64 %, which may imply that it executes well on its competitive polices and has reasonable control over its expenses and variable costs. This is very large. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 59.99 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated 0.6 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for 2021
Return on Investment 3.76  3.68 
Return on Average Assets 0.043  0.0478 
Return on Average Equity 0.08  0.09 
Return on Invested Capital 0.039  0.0445 
Return on Sales 0.45  0.45 

Management Efficiency

The entity has Return on Asset of 2.06 % which means that on every $100 spent on asset, it made $2.06 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows return on shareholders equity (ROE) of 7.43 %, implying that it generated $7.43 on every 100 dollars invested. Avalonbay Communities management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well avalonbay communities manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Avalonbay Communities Return on Average Assets are projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Return on Average Assets were at 0.043. The current year Return on Average Equity is expected to grow to 0.09, whereas Return on Investment is forecasted to decline to 3.68. Avalonbay Communities Current Assets are projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Current Assets were at 344.34 Million. The current year Net Current Assets as percentage of Total Assets is expected to grow to 0.08, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 19 B.
Last ReportedProjected for 2021
Book Value per Share 77.01  79.68 
Enterprise Value over EBIT 29.00  28.35 
Enterprise Value over EBITDA 17.16  17.29 
Price to Book Value 2.08  2.10 
Tangible Assets Book Value per Share 137.52  142.41 
Enterprise Value30 B30.8 B
Tangible Asset Value19.2 B19 B

Technical Drivers

As of the 17th of June 2021, Avalonbay Communities shows the risk adjusted performance of 0.0989, and Mean Deviation of 0.8011. Avalonbay Communities technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate and analyze data for nineteen technical drivers for Avalonbay Communities, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm Avalonbay Communities jensen alpha, semi variance, and the relationship between the standard deviation and value at risk to decide if Avalonbay Communities is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 208.47 per share. Given that Avalonbay Communities has jensen alpha of 0.1003, we suggest you to validate Avalonbay Communities's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Avalonbay Communities Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was fourty-nine with a total number of output elements of twelve. The Exponential Moving Average is calculated by weighting recent values of Avalonbay Communities more heavily than older values. View also all equity analysis or get more info about exponential moving average overlap studies indicator.

Avalonbay Communities Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Avalonbay Communities insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Avalonbay Communities' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Avalonbay Communities insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Avalonbay Communities Outstanding Bonds

Avalonbay Communities issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Avalonbay Communities uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Avalonbay bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Avalonbay Communities has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
MaturityCouponRating
05348EAL3 5.75%09/15/20165.75
BBB+
05348EAM1 5.7%03/15/20175.7
BBB+
05348EAN9 6.1%03/15/20206.1
BBB+
05348EAP4 3.95%01/15/20213.95
BBB+
05348EAQ2 2.95%09/15/20222.95
BBB+
05348EAR0 2.85%03/15/20232.85
BBB+
05348EAS8 3.625%10/01/20203.625
BBB+
05348EAT6 4.2%12/15/20234.2
BBB+

Avalonbay Communities Predictive Daily Indicators

Avalonbay Communities intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Avalonbay Communities stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Avalonbay Communities Forecast Models

Avalonbay Communities time-series forecasting models is one of many Avalonbay Communities' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Avalonbay Communities' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Avalonbay Communities Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Avalonbay Communities stock is reacting to, or reflecting on a current stock market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Avalonbay shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas, a specific sector, or an individual stock such as Avalonbay Communities. By using and applying Avalonbay Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Avalonbay entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for 2021
Operating Margin 29.93  29.69 
EBITDA Margin 0.76  0.73 
Gross Margin 0.64  0.72 
Profit Margin 0.36  0.41 
As of December 31, 2020, the Company owned or held a direct or indirect ownership interest in 291 apartment communities containing 86,025 apartment homes in 11 states and the District of Columbia, of which 18 communities were under development and one community was under redevelopment. The Company is an equity REIT in the business of developing, redeveloping, acquiring and managing apartment communities in leading metropolitan areas in New England, the New YorkNew Jersey Metro area, the Mid-Atlantic, the Pacific Northwest, and Northern and Southern California, as well as in the Companys expansion markets consisting of Southeast Florida and Denver, Colorado . Avalonbay Communities operates under REITResidential classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 2966 people.

Current Avalonbay Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Avalonbay analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Avalonbay analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
196.5Hold14Odds
Avalonbay Communities current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Avalonbay analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Avalonbay stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Avalonbay Communities, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Avalonbay conference calls.
Avalonbay Analyst Advice Details

Avalonbay Stock Analysis Indicators

Avalonbay Communities stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Avalonbay Communities stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Avalonbay Communities shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Avalonbay Communities stock analysis, traders can identify Avalonbay Communities position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate6.36
Fifty Two Week Low131.38
Revenue Growth-8.70%
Payout Ratio111.19%
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.25M
Shares Short Prior Month2.61M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month764.61k
Earnings Growth-14.60%
Shares Percent Shares Out1.48%
Earnings Quarterly Growth-15.30%
Gross Margins63.13%
Forward Price Earnings65.32
Short Percent Of Float2.00%
Float Shares138.8M
Fifty Two Week High216.64
Fifty Day Average200.99
Enterprise Value To Ebitda25.15
Two Hundred Day Average181.04
Enterprise Value To Revenue15.09
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.97%
Please continue to Trending Equities. Note that the Avalonbay Communities information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Avalonbay Communities' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

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When running Avalonbay Communities stock analysis, check to measure Avalonbay Communities' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Avalonbay Communities is operating at the current time. Most of Avalonbay Communities' stock examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Avalonbay Communities' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Avalonbay Communities' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Avalonbay Communities to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Avalonbay Communities is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Avalonbay that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Avalonbay Communities stock's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Avalonbay Communities' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Avalonbay Communities' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Avalonbay Communities underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Avalonbay Communities' stock value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Avalonbay Communities value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Avalonbay Communities' stock price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.