Axsome Therapeutics Stock Analysis

AXSM Stock  USD 73.08  1.98  2.78%   
Axsome Therapeutics is undervalued with Real Value of 85.03 and Target Price of 116.45. The main objective of Axsome Therapeutics stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Axsome Therapeutics is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Axsome Therapeutics' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Axsome Therapeutics' performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Axsome Therapeutics' stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Axsome Therapeutics stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Axsome Therapeutics is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Axsome Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Axsome Therapeutics' ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Axsome Therapeutics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
To learn how to invest in Axsome Stock, please use our How to Invest in Axsome Therapeutics guide.

Axsome Stock Analysis Notes

About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 5.27. Axsome Therapeutics had not issued any dividends in recent years. Axsome Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the development of novel therapies for central nervous system disorders in the United States. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is based in New York, New York. Axsome Thera operates under Biotechnology classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 198 people. For more info on Axsome Therapeutics please contact Herriot Tabuteau at 212 332 3241 or go to https://www.axsome.com.

Axsome Therapeutics Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Axsome Therapeutics' investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Axsome Therapeutics or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Axsome Therapeutics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Axsome Therapeutics has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 270.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (239.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 45.94 M.
Axsome Therapeutics currently holds about 73.39 M in cash with (145.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.82.
Axsome Therapeutics has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 84.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: AXSOME ALERT Bragar Eagel Squire, P.C. is Investigating - GlobeNewswire

Axsome Therapeutics Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Axsome Therapeutics to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Axsome Therapeutics previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
20th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
13th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
20th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Axsome Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Axsome Therapeutics' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2018-08-08
2018-06-30-0.29-0.32-0.0310 
2016-05-11
2016-03-31-0.28-0.31-0.0310 
2017-08-09
2017-06-30-0.34-0.30.0411 
View All Earnings Estimates

Axsome Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Axsome Therapeutics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Axsome Therapeutics backward and forwards among themselves. Axsome Therapeutics' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Axsome Therapeutics' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Fmr Inc2023-12-31
882 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
822.3 K
Alethea Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
752 K
Pictet Asset Manangement Sa2023-12-31
698.9 K
Bellevue Group Ag2023-12-31
635.4 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
619.4 K
Jefferies Financial Group Inc2023-12-31
563.3 K
Woodline Partners Lp2023-12-31
562.2 K
Point72 Asset Management, L.p.2023-09-30
531.9 K
Rtw Investments, Llc2023-12-31
4.5 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
3.7 M
Note, although Axsome Therapeutics' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Axsome Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 3.34 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Axsome Therapeutics's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Axsome Therapeutics's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Axsome Profitablity

Axsome Therapeutics' profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Axsome Therapeutics' ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Axsome Therapeutics is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Axsome Therapeutics' executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Axsome Therapeutics' profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Axsome Therapeutics' financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.88) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.78) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.78.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.46)(0.48)
Return On Capital Employed(0.41)(0.43)
Return On Assets(0.41)(0.43)
Return On Equity(1.25)(1.19)

Management Efficiency

Axsome Therapeutics has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.2486) % which means that it has lost $0.2486 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (1.5921) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Axsome Therapeutics' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Axsome Therapeutics manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of the 25th of April 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -0.48. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to -0.43. At this time, Axsome Therapeutics' Other Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 25th of April 2024, Intangibles To Total Assets is likely to grow to 0.18, while Return On Tangible Assets are likely to drop (0.48).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 4.20  4.41 
Net Current Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 2.77  2.90 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(19.40)(20.37)
Price Book Value Ratio 18.93  19.88 
Enterprise Value Multiple(19.40)(20.37)
Price Fair Value 18.93  19.88 
Enterprise Value3.4 B3.6 B
The analysis of Axsome Therapeutics' management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Axsome Therapeutics' future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Axsome Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Beta
1.096

Technical Drivers

As of the 25th of April, Axsome Therapeutics shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), standard deviation of 3.32, and Mean Deviation of 2.45. Axsome Therapeutics technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We are able to interpolate and collect thirteen technical drivers for Axsome Therapeutics, which can be compared to its peers. Please confirm Axsome Therapeutics information ratio and skewness to decide if Axsome Therapeutics is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 73.08 per share. Given that Axsome Therapeutics has information ratio of (0.08), we suggest you to validate Axsome Therapeutics's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Axsome Therapeutics Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Axsome Therapeutics middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Axsome Therapeutics. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Axsome Therapeutics Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Axsome Therapeutics insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Axsome Therapeutics' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Axsome Therapeutics insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Axsome Therapeutics Predictive Daily Indicators

Axsome Therapeutics intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Axsome Therapeutics stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Axsome Therapeutics Corporate Filings

8K
1st of April 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
25th of March 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
19th of March 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
15th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
29th of February 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10K
23rd of February 2024
Annual report required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of a company financial performance
ViewVerify
8K
20th of February 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
14th of February 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify

Axsome Therapeutics Forecast Models

Axsome Therapeutics' time-series forecasting models are one of many Axsome Therapeutics' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Axsome Therapeutics' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Axsome Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Axsome Therapeutics prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Axsome shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Axsome Therapeutics. By using and applying Axsome Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Axsome entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.88)(0.92)
Operating Profit Margin(0.68)(0.71)
Net Loss(0.88)(0.93)
Gross Profit Margin 0.88  0.98 

Current Axsome Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Axsome analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Axsome analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
116.45Strong Buy16Odds
Axsome Therapeutics current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Axsome analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Axsome stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Axsome Therapeutics, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Axsome conference calls.
Axsome Analyst Advice Details

Axsome Stock Analysis Indicators

Axsome Therapeutics stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Axsome Therapeutics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Axsome Therapeutics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Axsome Therapeutics stock analysis, traders can identify Axsome Therapeutics position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow200.8 M
Long Term Debt178.1 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding45.4 M
Total Stockholder Equity191 M
Tax Provision960 K
Property Plant And Equipment Net7.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments386.2 M
Cash386.2 M
Accounts Payable40.7 M
Net Debt-199.8 M
50 Day M A76.411
Total Current Liabilities138.9 M
Other Operating Expenses453.5 M
Non Current Assets Total84 M
Non Currrent Assets Other11 M
Stock Based Compensation62.6 M
When determining whether Axsome Therapeutics is a strong investment it is important to analyze Axsome Therapeutics' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Axsome Therapeutics' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Axsome Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Axsome Therapeutics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
To learn how to invest in Axsome Stock, please use our How to Invest in Axsome Therapeutics guide.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

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Is Axsome Therapeutics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Axsome Therapeutics. If investors know Axsome will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Axsome Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(5.27)
Revenue Per Share
5.957
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.935
Return On Assets
(0.25)
Return On Equity
(1.59)
The market value of Axsome Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Axsome that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Axsome Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Axsome Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Axsome Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Axsome Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Axsome Therapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Axsome Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Axsome Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.