Big Lots Stock Analysis

BIG
 Stock
  

USD 17.50  0.69  3.79%   

Big Lots price dip over the last few months could raise concerns from shareholders as the firm is trading at a share price of 17.50 on 1,490,835 in volume. The company management teams were not very successful in positioning the firm resources to exploit market volatility in November. However, diversifying your holdings with Big Lots or similar stocks can still protect your portfolio during high-volatility market scenarios. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 4.81. This high volatility is attributed to the latest market swings and not-so-good earnings reports for some of the Big Lots partners.
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The Big Lots stock analysis report makes it easy to digest most publicly released information about Big Lots and get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, and announcements. Big Lots Stock analysis module also helps to analyze the Big Lots price relationship with some important fundamental indicators such as market cap and management efficiency.

Big Lots Stock Analysis Notes

About 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.62. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Big Lots has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.88. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 2022. The firm had 5:4 split on the 25th of June 1997. Big Lots, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a home discount retailer in the United States. Big Lots, Inc. was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Columbus, Ohio. Big Lots operates under Discount Stores classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 10500 people. For more info on Big Lots please contact Bruce Thorn at 614 278 6800 or go to https://www.biglots.com.

Big Lots Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Big Lots' investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Big Lots or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Big Lots generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Big Lots has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Big Lots has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Telsey Advisory Adjusts Big Lots Price Target to 20 From 23, Keeps Market Perform Rating - Marketscreener.com

Big Lots Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Big Lots to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Big Lots previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
Upcoming Quarterly Report4th of March 2022
Next Financial Report27th of May 2022
Next Fiscal Quarter End31st of January 2022
Next Fiscal Year End4th of March 2022
Last Quarter Report31st of October 2021
Last Financial Announcement31st of January 2021

Big Lots Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Big Lots' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2014-12-05
2014-10-31-0.05-0.06-0.0120 
2004-08-18
2004-07-31-0.07-0.060.0114 
2003-08-20
2003-07-31-0.02-0.010.0150 
View All Earnings Estimates

Big Lots SEC Filings

SEC filings are important regulatory documents required of all public companies to provide to potential investors. Big Lots prospectus issued under the guidelines of SEC is a legal declaration of facts and statements to ensure that Big Lots investors are not misled. SEC filings are required by law to meet strict transparency standards and other important legal constraints. Although many companies may choose careful wording to disguise some material information, SEC filings make crucial Big Lots specific information freely available to individual and institutional investors to make a timely investment decision.
1st of September 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
View
25th of August 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Other Events
View
29th of July 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Other Events
View
1st of June 2022
Unclassified Corporate Event
View
31st of May 2022
Unclassified Corporate Event. Unclassified Corporate Event. Unclassified Corporate Event. Unclassified Corporate Event. Completion of Acquisition or Disposition of Assets
View
15th of March 2022
Unclassified Corporate Event
View
11th of March 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers: Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers
View
10th of March 2022
Unclassified Corporate Event
View

Big Lots Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Big Lots is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Big Lots backward and forwards among themselves. Big Lots' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Big Lots' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon SharesK46 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon SharesK62 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares4.7 K162 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares4.7 K211 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares3.6 K155 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares3.6 K236 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares4.5 K310 K
Note, although Big Lots' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Big Lots Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with total capitalization of 526.45 M. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Big Lots's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Big Lots's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and these looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Big Lots Profitablity

Big Lots' profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Big Lots' ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Big Lots is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Big Lots' executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Big Lots' profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Big Lots' financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Net Profit Margin of (0.03) %, which means that it does not effectively control expenditures or properly executes on its pricing strategies. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of (0.03) %, which entails that for every $100 of revenue, it lost 0.0.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Return on Investment 20.63  23.77 
Return on Average Assets 4.46  5.91 
Return on Average Equity 15.56  15.31 
Return on Invested Capital 0.06  0.12 
Return on Sales 0.0448  0.06 

Management Efficiency

The entity has Return on Asset of (0.0279) % which means that on every $100 spent on asset, it lost $0.0279. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows return on shareholders equity (ROE) of (0.162) %, meaning that it generated no profit with money invested by stockholders. Big Lots management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well big lots manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Big Lots Return on Average Assets are projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Return on Average Assets were at 4.46. The current year Return on Invested Capital is expected to grow to 0.12, whereas Return on Average Equity is forecasted to decline to 15.31. Big Lots Tax Assets are projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Tax Assets were at 10.97 Million. The current year Revenue to Assets is expected to grow to 2.49, whereas Current Assets are forecasted to decline to about 1.3 B.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Book Value per Share 32.98  25.13 
Enterprise Value over EBIT 12.00  13.16 
Enterprise Value over EBITDA 4.55  6.97 
Price to Book Value 1.21  2.27 
Tangible Assets Book Value per Share 128.59  83.79 
Enterprise ValueBB
Tangible Asset Value3.9 B2.9 B

Technical Drivers

As of the 5th of December, Big Lots shows the mean deviation of 3.51, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.009368). Big Lots technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to collect and analyze data for nineteen technical drivers for Big Lots, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm Big Lots coefficient of variation, maximum drawdown, skewness, as well as the relationship between the information ratio and downside variance to decide if Big Lots is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 17.5 per share. Given that Big Lots has jensen alpha of (0.28), we suggest you to validate Big Lots's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Big Lots Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Big Lots middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Big Lots. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.
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Big Lots Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Big Lots insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Big Lots' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Big Lots insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Big Lots Predictive Daily Indicators

Big Lots intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Big Lots stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Big Lots Forecast Models

Big Lots time-series forecasting models is one of many Big Lots' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Big Lots' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Big Lots Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Big Lots prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Big Lots shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas, a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Big Lots. By using and applying Big Lots Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Big Lots entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Operating Margin 3.90  4.34 
EBITDA Margin 6.24  6.78 
Gross Margin 38.97  41.29 
Profit Margin 2.89  2.68 

Current Big Lots Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Big Lots analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Big Lots analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
46.0Sell6Odds
Big Lots current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Big Lots analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Big Lots stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Big Lots, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Big Lots conference calls.
Big Lots Analyst Advice Details

Big Lots Stock Analysis Indicators

Big Lots stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Big Lots stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Big Lots shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Big Lots stock analysis, traders can identify Big Lots position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow559556000.00
Logo U R LimglogosUSBIG.png
Common Stock Shares Outstanding33355000.00
Total Stockholder Equity1007363000.00
DescriptionBig Lots, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a home discount retailer in the United States. The company offers products under various merchandising categories, such as furniture category that includes uphols
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-159686000.00
Tax Provision54033000.00
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.373
Property Plant And Equipment Net2467821000.00
Retained Earnings3487268000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments53722000.00
Retained Earnings Total Equity3487268000.00
Cash53722000.00
CodeBIG
Accounts Payable587496000.00
Net Debt1762635000.00
50 Day M A17.8354
Total Current Liabilities1124587000.00
Currency CodeUSD
Other Operating Expenses5910850000.00
Non Current Assets Total2516285000.00
Common Stock Total Equity1175000.00
Non Currrent Assets Other37491000.00
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Is Big Lots' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Big Lots. If investors know Big Lots will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Big Lots listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.37) 
Market Capitalization
526.5 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.1) 
Return On Assets
(0.0279) 
Return On Equity
(0.16) 
The market value of Big Lots is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Big Lots that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Big Lots' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Big Lots' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Big Lots' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Big Lots' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Big Lots' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Big Lots value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Big Lots' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.