Chipotle Stock Analysis

CMG
 Stock
  

USD 1,508  62.21  3.96%   

Chipotle Mexican Grill price dip over the last few months could raise concerns from shareholders as the firm is trading at a share price of 1508.40 on 460,716 in volume. The company directors and management were not very successful in positioning the firm resources to exploit market volatility in November. However, diversifying your holdings with Chipotle Mexican Grill or similar stocks can still protect your portfolio during high-volatility market scenarios. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 2.16. The current volatility is consistent with the ongoing market swings in November 2022 as well as with Chipotle Mexican unsystematic, company-specific events.
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The Chipotle Mexican stock analysis report makes it easy to digest most publicly released information about Chipotle Mexican and get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, and announcements. Chipotle Stock analysis module also helps to analyze the Chipotle Mexican price relationship with some important fundamental indicators such as market cap and management efficiency.

Chipotle Stock Analysis Notes

About 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.27. Chipotle Mexican Grill recorded earning per share (EPS) of 29.66. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 10:10 split on the September 20, 2011. Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates Chipotle Mexican Grill restaurants. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Newport Beach, California. Chipotle Mexican operates under Restaurants classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 100000 people. For more info on Chipotle Mexican Grill please contact Brian Niccol at 949 524 4000 or go to https://www.chipotle.com.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Chipotle Mexican's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Chipotle Mexican Grill or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Chipotle Mexican generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Chipotle Mexican is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Chipotle Stock Gains On Ability To Withstand Inflation, Cut Costs Chipmaking Robot Gets A Look - Investors Business Daily

Chipotle Mexican Grill Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Chipotle Mexican to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Chipotle Mexican previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
Upcoming Quarterly Report8th of February 2022
Next Financial Report20th of April 2022
Next Fiscal Quarter End31st of December 2021
Next Fiscal Year End8th of February 2022
Last Quarter Report30th of September 2021
Last Financial Announcement31st of December 2020

Chipotle Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Chipotle Mexican's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-07-22
2020-06-300.350.40.0514 
2007-02-15
2006-12-310.280.330.0517 
2006-03-13
2005-12-310.110.160.0545 
View All Earnings Estimates

Chipotle Mexican SEC Filings

SEC filings are important regulatory documents required of all public companies to provide to potential investors. Chipotle Mexican prospectus issued under the guidelines of SEC is a legal declaration of facts and statements to ensure that Chipotle Mexican investors are not misled. SEC filings are required by law to meet strict transparency standards and other important legal constraints. Although many companies may choose careful wording to disguise some material information, SEC filings make crucial Chipotle Mexican Grill specific information freely available to individual and institutional investors to make a timely investment decision.
26th of July 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Other Events. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
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20th of May 2022
Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders
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26th of April 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Other Events. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
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14th of February 2022
Unclassified Corporate Event
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Chipotle Mexican Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Chipotle Mexican stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Restaurants
Restaurants, Coffee Shops and other eateries
Macroaxis Picks
Macroaxis daily picks
SRI Sustainable Growth
Large and mid-sized companies that operate under the guidelines of socially responsible investing - SRI

Chipotle Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 41.81 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Chipotle Mexican's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Chipotle Mexican's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Chipotle Profitablity

Chipotle Mexican's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Chipotle Mexican's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Chipotle Mexican is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Chipotle Mexican's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Chipotle Mexican's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Chipotle Mexican's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.1 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.12 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated 0.0 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Return on Investment 37.29  36.59 
Return on Average Assets 10.34  12.75 
Return on Average Equity 30.25  27.56 
Return on Invested Capital 0.1  0.15 
Return on Sales 0.11  0.10 

Management Efficiency

The entity has Return on Asset of 0.0974 % which means that on every $100 spent on asset, it made $0.0974 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows return on shareholders equity (ROE) of 0.3488 %, implying that it generated $0.3488 on every 100 dollars invested. Chipotle Mexican management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well chipotle mexican grill manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Chipotle Mexican Return on Invested Capital is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Return on Invested Capital was at 0.1. Chipotle Mexican Current Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Current Assets were at 1.38 Billion. The current year Assets Non Current is expected to grow to about 5.7 B, whereas Tax Assets are forecasted to decline to about 80.5 M.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Book Value per Share 81.66  75.52 
Enterprise Value over EBIT 64.00  72.47 
Enterprise Value over EBITDA 48.65  45.23 
Price to Book Value 21.41  17.71 
Tangible Assets Book Value per Share 235.71  186.25 
Enterprise Value51.9 B56 B
Tangible Asset Value6.6 B5.3 B
long Term Debt Total
0.00
non Current Liabilities Total
3.5 B
short Long Term Debt Total
3.5 B
interest Expense
0.00
total Operating Expenses
882.8 M
Beta
1.2256

Technical Drivers

As of the 7th of December, Chipotle Mexican shows the risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Mean Deviation of 1.57. Chipotle Mexican Grill technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We have collected data for nineteen technical drivers for Chipotle Mexican Grill, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm Chipotle Mexican Grill standard deviation, value at risk, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and semi variance to decide if Chipotle Mexican Grill is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 1508.4 per share. Given that Chipotle Mexican has jensen alpha of (0.16), we suggest you to validate Chipotle Mexican Grill's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was thirty-five with a total number of output elements of twenty-six. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Chipotle Mexican middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Chipotle Mexican Grill. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.
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Chipotle Mexican Grill Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Chipotle Mexican insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Chipotle Mexican's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Chipotle Mexican insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Chipotle Mexican Technical and Predictive Indicators

Chipotle Mexican Forecast Models

Chipotle Mexican time-series forecasting models is one of many Chipotle Mexican's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Chipotle Mexican's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Chipotle Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Chipotle Mexican prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Chipotle shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas, a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Chipotle Mexican. By using and applying Chipotle Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Chipotle entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Operating Margin 10.67  12.10 
EBITDA Margin 14.14  16.28 
Gross Margin 22.62  24.86 
Profit Margin 8.65  8.90 

Current Chipotle Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Chipotle analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Chipotle analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
1951.43Buy23Odds
Chipotle Mexican Grill current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Chipotle analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Chipotle stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Chipotle Mexican Grill, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Chipotle conference calls.
Chipotle Analyst Advice Details

Chipotle Stock Analysis Indicators

Chipotle Mexican Grill stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Chipotle Mexican stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Chipotle Mexican shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Chipotle Mexican stock analysis, traders can identify Chipotle Mexican position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow635836000.00
Logo U R LimglogosUSCMG.png
Common Stock Shares Outstanding28416000.00
Total Stockholder Equity2297374000.00
DescriptionChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates Chipotle Mexican Grill restaurants. As of September 30, 2022, it owned and operated approximately 3,10
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-522042000.00
Tax Provision159779000.00
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.281
Property Plant And Equipment Net4887572000.00
Retained Earnings3929147000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments1076319000.00
Retained Earnings Total Equity3929147000.00
Cash815374000.00
CodeCMG
Accounts Payable163161000.00
Net Debt2704940000.00
50 Day M A1509.3616
Total Current Liabilities873682000.00
Currency CodeUSD
Other Operating Expenses6722827000.00
Non Current Assets Total5271394000.00
Forward Price Earnings37.3134
Common Stock Total Equity371000.00
Non Currrent Assets Other87572000.00
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Is Chipotle Mexican's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Chipotle Mexican. If investors know Chipotle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Chipotle Mexican listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.281
Market Capitalization
41.8 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.137
Return On Assets
0.0974
Return On Equity
0.3488
The market value of Chipotle Mexican Grill is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Chipotle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Chipotle Mexican's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Chipotle Mexican's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Chipotle Mexican's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Chipotle Mexican's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Chipotle Mexican's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Chipotle Mexican value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chipotle Mexican's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.