Covenant Logistics Group Stock Analysis

CVLG Stock  USD 43.89  0.82  1.83%   
Covenant Logistics Group is undervalued with Real Value of 54.42 and Target Price of 62.0. The main objective of Covenant Logistics stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Covenant Logistics Group is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Covenant Logistics' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Covenant Logistics' performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Covenant Logistics' stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Covenant Logistics stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Covenant Logistics is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Covenant Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Covenant Logistics' ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Covenant Logistics Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Covenant Stock Analysis Notes

About 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.47. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Covenant Logistics has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.24. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of February 2024. Covenant Logistics Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides transportation and logistics services in the United States. Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. was founded in 1986 and is based in Chattanooga, Tennessee. Covenant Logistics operates under Trucking classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 3000 people. For more info on Covenant Logistics Group please contact John Tweed at 423 821 1212 or go to https://www.covenantlogistics.com.

Covenant Logistics Quarterly Total Revenue

273.99 Million

Covenant Logistics Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Covenant Logistics' investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Covenant Logistics Group or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Covenant Logistics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Covenant Logistics is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Covenant Logistics has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 65.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.s Stock Has Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Strong Is The Market Wrong

Covenant Logistics Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Covenant Logistics to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Covenant Logistics previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
25th of April 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
24th of July 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of March 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
28th of January 2025
Next Fiscal Year End
View
31st of December 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View

Covenant Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Covenant Logistics' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-05-19
2020-03-31-0.1-0.090.0110 
2017-07-25
2017-06-300.070.080.0114 
2017-04-20
2017-03-310.020.030.0150 
View All Earnings Estimates

Covenant Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Covenant Logistics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Covenant Logistics Group backward and forwards among themselves. Covenant Logistics' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Covenant Logistics' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Millennium Management Llc2023-12-31
137.4 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2023-12-31
112.5 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
109.8 K
American Century Companies Inc2023-12-31
107.7 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
85.9 K
Foundry Partners, Llc2023-12-31
73.6 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
73.3 K
Empowered Funds, Llc2023-12-31
73.3 K
Aqr Capital Management Llc2023-12-31
68.8 K
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
1.1 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
785.9 K
Note, although Covenant Logistics' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Covenant Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 586.34 M. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Covenant Logistics's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Covenant Logistics's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Covenant Profitablity

Covenant Logistics' profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Covenant Logistics' ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Covenant Logistics is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Covenant Logistics' executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Covenant Logistics' profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Covenant Logistics' financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.05 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.05 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.05.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.07  0.07 
Return On Capital Employed 0.06  0.07 
Return On Assets 0.05  0.06 
Return On Equity 0.14  0.14 

Management Efficiency

Covenant Logistics has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0351 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0351 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.14 %, meaning that it created $0.14 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Covenant Logistics' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Covenant Logistics manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The Covenant Logistics' current Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to increase to 0.07. The Covenant Logistics' current Return On Capital Employed is estimated to increase to 0.07. At this time, Covenant Logistics' Intangible Assets are most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Covenant Logistics' current Other Assets is estimated to increase to about 1.3 B, while Other Current Assets are projected to decrease to roughly 13.8 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 30.92  32.46 
Net Current Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 17.48  18.35 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 7.68  5.37 
Price Book Value Ratio 1.49  1.53 
Enterprise Value Multiple 7.68  5.37 
Price Fair Value 1.49  1.53 
Enterprise Value254.3 M226.1 M
The analysis of Covenant Logistics' management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Covenant Logistics' future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Covenant Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Dividend Yield
0.0099
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0099
Forward Dividend Rate
0.44
Beta
1.421

Technical Drivers

As of the 23rd of April, Covenant Logistics shows the Standard Deviation of 1.84, risk adjusted performance of 0.0043, and Mean Deviation of 1.5. Covenant Logistics technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to break down and interpolate thirteen technical drivers for Covenant Logistics Group, which can be compared to its peers. Please confirm Covenant Logistics standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and kurtosis to decide if Covenant Logistics is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 43.89 per share. Given that Covenant Logistics has information ratio of (0.05), we suggest you to validate Covenant Logistics Group's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Covenant Logistics Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Covenant Logistics middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Covenant Logistics. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Covenant Logistics Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Covenant Logistics insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Covenant Logistics' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Covenant Logistics insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Covenant Logistics Predictive Daily Indicators

Covenant Logistics intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Covenant Logistics stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Covenant Logistics Corporate Filings

F4
15th of April 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
12th of April 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
4th of April 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
22nd of March 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F3
1st of March 2024
An amendment to the original Schedule 13D filing
ViewVerify
F4
29th of February 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10K
28th of February 2024
Annual report required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of a company financial performance
ViewVerify
F4
26th of February 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Covenant Logistics Forecast Models

Covenant Logistics' time-series forecasting models are one of many Covenant Logistics' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Covenant Logistics' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Covenant Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Covenant Logistics prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Covenant shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Covenant Logistics. By using and applying Covenant Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Covenant entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.07  0.04 
Operating Profit Margin 0.04  0.04 
Net Profit Margin 0.05  0.05 
Gross Profit Margin 0.10  0.1 

Current Covenant Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Covenant analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Covenant analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
62.0Strong Buy4Odds
Covenant Logistics Group current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Covenant analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Covenant stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Covenant Logistics, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Covenant conference calls.
Covenant Analyst Advice Details

Covenant Stock Analysis Indicators

Covenant Logistics Group stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Covenant Logistics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Covenant Logistics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Covenant Logistics stock analysis, traders can identify Covenant Logistics position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow68.7 M
Long Term Debt196.9 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.8 M
Total Stockholder Equity403.4 M
Tax Provision16.4 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.122
Property Plant And Equipment Net514.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.3 M
Cash2.3 M
Accounts Payable33.2 M
Net Debt291.2 M
50 Day M A47.3654
Total Current Liabilities170.3 M
Other Operating Expenses1.1 B
Non Current Assets Total818.4 M
Forward Price Earnings10.5708
Non Currrent Assets Other7.5 M
Stock Based Compensation7.1 M
When determining whether Covenant Logistics is a strong investment it is important to analyze Covenant Logistics' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Covenant Logistics' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Covenant Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Covenant Logistics Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

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Is Covenant Logistics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Covenant Logistics. If investors know Covenant will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Covenant Logistics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.122
Dividend Share
0.44
Earnings Share
3.95
Revenue Per Share
84.578
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
The market value of Covenant Logistics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Covenant that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Covenant Logistics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Covenant Logistics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Covenant Logistics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Covenant Logistics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Covenant Logistics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Covenant Logistics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Covenant Logistics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.