Carvana Stock Analysis

CVNA Stock  USD 15.80  2.88  22.29%   
The current price rise of Carvana could raise concerns from investors as the firm is trading at a share price of 15.80 on 49,920,129 in volume. The company management teams may have good odds in positioning the firm resources to exploit market volatility in July. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 8.53. The very high volatility is mostly attributed to the latest market swings and not very good earnings reports from some of the Carvana partners.
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The main objective of Carvana stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Carvana Co is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Carvana's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Carvana's performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Carvana's stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Carvana stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Carvana is usually not traded on Christmas Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day ( substitute day ), New Year 's Monday, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Veterans Day ( substitute day ). Carvana Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Carvana's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.

Carvana Stock Analysis Notes

About 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded a loss per share of 4.18. Carvana had not issued any dividends in recent years. Carvana Co., together with its subsidiaries, operates an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars in the United States. Carvana Co. was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Tempe, Arizona. Carvana Co operates under Internet Retail classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 21000 people. For more info on Carvana Co please contact Ernie Garcia at 480 719 8809 or go to

Carvana Quarterly Cost of Revenue

2.27 Billion

Carvana Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Carvana's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Carvana Co or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Carvana is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Carvana appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 13.6 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.89 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.25 B.
Carvana Co currently holds about 666 M in cash with (1.32 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.29.
Carvana has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from Carvana Ranks Among Best Employers For Diversity in 2023

Carvana Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Carvana to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Carvana previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
3rd of August 2023
Upcoming Quarterly Report
2nd of November 2023
Next Financial Report
30th of June 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
22nd of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
31st of March 2023
Last Quarter Report
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement

Carvana Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Carvana's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
View All Earnings Estimates
View All Earnings Estimates

Carvana SEC Filings

SEC filings are important regulatory documents required of all public companies to provide to potential investors. Carvana prospectus issued under the guidelines of SEC is a legal declaration of facts and statements to ensure that Carvana investors are not misled. SEC filings are required by law to meet strict transparency standards and other important legal constraints. Although many companies may choose careful wording to disguise some material information, SEC filings make crucial Carvana specific information freely available to individual and institutional make a timely investment decision.
17th of May 2023
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Other Events
4th of May 2023
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
3rd of May 2023
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Other Events. Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders. Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers: Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers
19th of April 2023
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Other Events
22nd of March 2023
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Other Events. Regulation FD Disclosure
23rd of February 2023
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
14th of February 2023
Unclassified Corporate Event
9th of February 2023
Unclassified Corporate Event

Carvana Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Carvana is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors.are aggressively trading Carvana Co backward and forwards among themselves. Carvana's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Carvana's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Last TransactionTypeSharesValue
Avenir Management Company Llc2023-03-31Common Shares201.2 KB
Baillie Gifford Co2023-03-31Common Shares14.1 M137.6 M
Morgan Stanley2023-03-31Common Shares13.9 M136.2 M
Capital World Investors2022-09-30Common Shares5.3 M108 M
Spruce House Investment Management Llc2023-03-31Common Shares10 M97.9 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-03-31Common Shares8.7 M85.3 M
Greenoaks Capital Partners Llc2023-03-31Common Shares7.4 M72.2 M
Cas Investment Partners Llc2023-03-31Common Shares6.8 M66.8 M
Exor Capital Llp2023-03-31Common Shares5.2 M50.8 M
Fmr Llc2023-03-31Common Shares4.7 M45.7 M
Blackrock Inc2023-03-31Common Shares4.4 M43.5 M
Note, although Carvana's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Carvana Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 2.89 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Carvana's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Carvana's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Carvana Profitablity

Carvana's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Carvana's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Carvana is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Carvana's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Carvana's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Carvana's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.12) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.1) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.1.
Last ReportedProjected for 2023
Return on Investment(36.25) (39.11) 
Return on Average Assets(0.17) (0.19) 
Return on Average Equity(16.93) (17.37) 
Return on Invested Capital(0.08) (0.09) 
Return on Sales(0.08) (0.09) 

Management Efficiency

Carvana has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0934) % which means that it has lost $0.0934 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (3.0222) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Carvana's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Carvana manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of June 1, 2023, Return on Investment is expected to decline to -39.11. In addition to that, Return on Average Assets is expected to decline to -0.19. Carvana Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Total Assets were at 8.7 Billion. The current year's Current Assets is expected to grow to about 5 B, whereas Revenue to Assets are forecasted to decline to 1.50.
Last ReportedProjected for 2023
Book Value per Share(2.74) (2.82) 
Enterprise Value over EBIT(8.00) (8.63) 
Enterprise Value over EBITDA(10.12) (10.38) 
Price to Book Value(1.73) (1.77) 
Tangible Assets Book Value per Share 45.69  49.29 
Enterprise Value8.5 B8.7 B
Tangible Asset Value8.6 B9.3 B
The analysis of Carvana's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Carvana's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Carvana Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Long Term Debt Total
6.6 B
Non Current Liabilities Total
7.2 B
Short Long Term Debt Total
8.8 B
Interest Expense
486 M
Total Operating Expenses
2.7 B

Technical Drivers

As of the 1st of June, Carvana shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1057, downside deviation of 6.7, and Mean Deviation of 6.23. Carvana technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate nineteen technical drivers for Carvana Co, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm Carvana value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and semi variance to decide if Carvana is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 15.8 per share. Given that Carvana has jensen alpha of 1.03, we suggest you to validate Carvana Co's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Carvana Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was twenty-nine with a total number of output elements of thirty-two.

Carvana Outstanding Bonds

Carvana issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Carvana uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Carvana bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Carvana Co has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Carvana Predictive Daily Indicators

Carvana intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Carvana stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Carvana Forecast Models

Carvana's time-series forecasting models are one of many Carvana's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Carvana's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Carvana Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Carvana prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Carvana shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Carvana. By using and applying Carvana Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Carvana entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for 2023
Operating Margin(10.52) (11.35) 
EBITDA Margin(0.06) (0.07) 
Gross Margin 0.09  0.1 
Profit Margin(0.12) (0.12) 

Current Carvana Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Carvana analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Carvana analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
Carvana Co current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Carvana analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Carvana stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Carvana, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Carvana conference calls.
Carvana Analyst Advice Details

Carvana Stock Analysis Indicators

Carvana Co stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Carvana stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Carvana shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Carvana stock analysis, traders can identify Carvana position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow636 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding100.8 M
Total Stockholder Equity-518 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-2.6 B
Tax Provision1000 K
Property Plant And Equipment Net3.8 B
Cash And Short Term Investments434 M
Cash434 M
Accounts Payable216 M
Net Debt8.4 B
50 Day M A9.4944
Total Current Liabilities2.6 B
Other Operating Expenses15.1 B
Non Current Assets Total4.1 B
Non Currrent Assets Other254 M
Stock Based Compensation69 M
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When running Carvana's price analysis, check to measure Carvana's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Carvana is operating at the current time. Most of Carvana's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Carvana's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Carvana's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Carvana to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Carvana's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Carvana. If investors know Carvana will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Carvana listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
Revenue Per Share
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Return On Assets
Return On Equity
The market value of Carvana is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Carvana that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Carvana's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Carvana's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Carvana's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Carvana's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Carvana's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Carvana is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Carvana's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios.