Duolingo Stock Analysis

DUOL Stock  USD 291.97  7.02  2.46%   
Duolingo is overvalued with Real Value of 239.85 and Target Price of 174.71. The main objective of Duolingo stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Duolingo is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Duolingo's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Duolingo stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA.
  
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Duolingo. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
For more information on how to buy Duolingo Stock please use our How to buy in Duolingo Stock guide.

Duolingo Stock Analysis Notes

About 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Duolingo, Inc. develops a language-learning website and mobile app in the United States and China. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Duolingo Inc operates under SoftwareApplication classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 500 people. To learn more about Duolingo call the company at 412 567 6602 or check out https://www.duolingo.com.

Duolingo Quarterly Total Revenue

178.33 Million

Duolingo Investment Alerts

Duolingo has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Duolingo Inc Q2 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Record Growth and Strategic Expansions

Duolingo Upcoming and Recent Events

27th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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14th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
27th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
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Duolingo Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Duolingo's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-02-28
2023-12-310.170.260.0952 
2022-11-10
2022-09-30-0.55-0.460.0916 
2022-08-04
2022-06-30-0.52-0.380.1426 
View All Earnings Estimates

Duolingo Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Duolingo's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Duolingo's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Duolingo's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Duolingo's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Duolingo Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
705.8 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
656.3 K
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2024-06-30
499.7 K
American Century Companies Inc2024-06-30
499 K
Norges Bank2024-06-30
397.6 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
395.1 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-06-30
370.1 K
Agf Management Ltd2024-06-30
355.8 K
Carnegie Mellon University2024-06-30
353.3 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
3.5 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-06-30
3.5 M
Note, although Duolingo's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Duolingo Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 12.41 B.

Duolingo Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.1 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.11 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.11.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed(0.02)(0.02)
Return On Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.02  0.04 

Management Efficiency

Duolingo has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0226 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0226 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.0972 %, meaning that it created $0.0972 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Duolingo's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Duolingo manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Duolingo's Return On Tangible Assets are quite stable compared to the past year. Return On Assets is expected to rise to 0.02 this year, although the value of Return On Capital Employed will most likely fall to (0.02). At this time, Duolingo's Return On Assets are quite stable compared to the past year. Asset Turnover is expected to rise to 0.68 this year, although the value of Non Current Assets Total will most likely fall to about 42.3 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 14.09  14.79 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 13.66  14.34 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA-1.7 K-1.6 K
Price Book Value Ratio 16.10  16.90 
Enterprise Value Multiple-1.7 K-1.6 K
Price Fair Value 16.10  16.90 
Enterprise Value5.6 B5.4 B
The analysis of Duolingo's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Duolingo's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Duolingo Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Operating Margin
0.1068
Profit Margin
0.1044
Beta
0.79
Return On Assets
0.0226
Return On Equity
0.0972

Technical Drivers

As of the 10th of October, Duolingo shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 405.3, mean deviation of 2.24, and Downside Deviation of 2.59. Duolingo technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Duolingo coefficient of variation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the Treynor Ratio and semi variance to decide if Duolingo is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 291.97 per share. Given that Duolingo has jensen alpha of 0.5032, we urge you to verify Duolingo's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Duolingo Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was thirty-five with a total number of output elements of twenty-six. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Duolingo middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Duolingo. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Duolingo Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Duolingo insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Duolingo's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Duolingo insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Duolingo Outstanding Bonds

Duolingo issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Duolingo uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Duolingo bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Duolingo has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Duolingo Predictive Daily Indicators

Duolingo intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Duolingo stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Duolingo Corporate Filings

F4
8th of October 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
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F4
3rd of October 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
26th of September 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
23rd of September 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
19th of September 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
9th of September 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
4th of September 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
3rd of September 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Duolingo Forecast Models

Duolingo's time-series forecasting models are one of many Duolingo's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Duolingo's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Duolingo Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Duolingo prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Duolingo shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Duolingo. By using and applying Duolingo Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Duolingo entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.03  0.04 
Operating Profit Margin(0.02)(0.03)
Net Profit Margin 0.03  0.03 
Gross Profit Margin 0.72  0.58 

Current Duolingo Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Duolingo analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Duolingo analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
174.71Strong Buy18Odds
Duolingo current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Duolingo analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Duolingo stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Duolingo, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Duolingo conference calls.
Duolingo Analyst Advice Details

Duolingo Stock Analysis Indicators

Duolingo stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Duolingo stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Duolingo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Duolingo stock analysis, traders can identify Duolingo position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow608.2 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding46.5 M
Total Stockholder Equity655.5 M
Tax Provision-590 K
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y5.375
Property Plant And Equipment Net30.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments747.6 M
Cash747.6 M
Accounts Payable2.4 M
Net Debt-722.6 M
50 Day M A222.9218
Total Current Liabilities277.4 M
Other Operating Expenses544 M
Non Current Assets Total66.4 M
Forward Price Earnings88.4956
Non Currrent Assets Other1.7 M
Stock Based Compensation95.2 M
When determining whether Duolingo is a strong investment it is important to analyze Duolingo's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Duolingo's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Duolingo Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Duolingo. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
For more information on how to buy Duolingo Stock please use our How to buy in Duolingo Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Is Diversified Consumer Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Duolingo. If investors know Duolingo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Duolingo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
5.375
Earnings Share
1.4
Revenue Per Share
14.929
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.406
Return On Assets
0.0226
The market value of Duolingo is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Duolingo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Duolingo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Duolingo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Duolingo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Duolingo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Duolingo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Duolingo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Duolingo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.