Fibrogen Stock Analysis

FGEN Stock  USD 0.98  0.09  8.01%   
FibroGen is fairly valued with Real Value of 1.03 and Target Price of 2.17. The main objective of FibroGen stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what FibroGen is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of FibroGen's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect FibroGen's performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of FibroGen's stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The FibroGen stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. FibroGen is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. FibroGen Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and FibroGen's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in FibroGen. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.
To learn how to invest in FibroGen Stock, please use our How to Invest in FibroGen guide.

FibroGen Stock Analysis Notes

About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.92. FibroGen had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:1 split on the September 8, 2009. FibroGen, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, discovers, develops, and commercializes therapeutics to treat serious unmet medical needs. FibroGen, Inc. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California. Fibrogen Inc operates under Biotechnology classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 566 people. To learn more about FibroGen call Thomas Neff at 415 978 1200 or check out https://www.fibrogen.com.

FibroGen Quarterly Total Revenue

27.14 Million

FibroGen Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. FibroGen's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding FibroGen or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
FibroGen is way too risky over 90 days horizon
FibroGen has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
FibroGen appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
FibroGen has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 147.75 M. Net Loss for the year was (284.23 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (159.21 M).
FibroGen currently holds about 438.13 M in cash with (315.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.67, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Vertex , TreeFrog Sign Deal for Diabetes Cell Therapies

FibroGen Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by FibroGen to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to FibroGen previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
26th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
13th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
26th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

FibroGen Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact FibroGen's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2021-05-10
2021-03-31-0.87-0.780.0910 
2015-08-13
2015-06-300.730.830.113 
2016-05-09
2016-03-31-0.56-0.450.1119 
View All Earnings Estimates

FibroGen Thematic Classifications

In addition to having FibroGen stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Cancer Fighters Idea
Cancer Fighters
Public companies from health care and pharmaceutical sectors that are focused on fighting cancer

FibroGen Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as FibroGen is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FibroGen backward and forwards among themselves. FibroGen's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase FibroGen's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Citadel Advisors Llc2023-09-30
1.3 M
Aqr Capital Management Llc2023-12-31
1.2 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
816.5 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
777.4 K
Pennant Investors Lp2023-12-31
768.4 K
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2023-09-30
724.4 K
683 Capital Management Llc2023-12-31
700.3 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2023-12-31
683.4 K
Millennium Management Llc2023-12-31
607.4 K
Primecap Management Company2023-12-31
14.5 M
Armistice Capital, Llc2023-12-31
9.8 M
Note, although FibroGen's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

FibroGen Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 105.69 M. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate FibroGen's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by FibroGen's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

FibroGen Profitablity

FibroGen's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase FibroGen's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, FibroGen is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, FibroGen's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of FibroGen's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of FibroGen's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (1.92) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (3.81) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $3.81.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.67)(0.64)
Return On Capital Employed(1.31)(1.24)
Return On Assets(0.67)(0.64)
Return On Equity 1.39  0.74 

Management Efficiency

FibroGen has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.3554) % which means that it has lost $0.3554 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (10.1579) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. FibroGen's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well FibroGen manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of the 24th of April 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to grow to -0.64. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to -1.24. At this time, FibroGen's Total Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 24th of April 2024, Non Current Assets Total is likely to grow to about 146.7 M, while Other Assets are likely to drop 0.95.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share(2.10)(1.99)
Net Current Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Book Value Per Share(1.67)(1.58)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(0.55)(0.52)
Price Book Value Ratio(0.42)(0.40)
Enterprise Value Multiple(0.55)(0.52)
Price Fair Value(0.42)(0.40)
Enterprise Value164.5 M156.2 M
The analysis of FibroGen's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze FibroGen's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of FibroGen Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Beta
0.736

Technical Drivers

As of the 24th of April, FibroGen shows the Mean Deviation of 8.25, semi deviation of 9.3, and Downside Deviation of 10.77. FibroGen technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to analyze and collect data for nineteen technical drivers for FibroGen, which can be compared to its peers. Please confirm FibroGen coefficient of variation and the relationship between the jensen alpha and skewness to decide if FibroGen is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 0.9843 per share. Given that FibroGen is a hitting penny stock territory we advise to closely look at its total risk alpha.

FibroGen Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. FibroGen middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for FibroGen. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

FibroGen Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific FibroGen insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on FibroGen's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases FibroGen insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

FibroGen Predictive Daily Indicators

FibroGen intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of FibroGen stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

FibroGen Forecast Models

FibroGen's time-series forecasting models are one of many FibroGen's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary FibroGen's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About FibroGen Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how FibroGen prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling FibroGen shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as FibroGen. By using and applying FibroGen Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying FibroGen entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(1.94)(1.84)
Operating Profit Margin(1.82)(1.73)
Net Loss(1.92)(1.83)
Gross Profit Margin 0.87  1.01 

Current FibroGen Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. FibroGen analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. FibroGen analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
2.17Hold3Odds
FibroGen current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most FibroGen analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand FibroGen stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of FibroGen, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to FibroGen conference calls.
FibroGen Analyst Advice Details

FibroGen Stock Analysis Indicators

FibroGen stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how FibroGen stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading FibroGen shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying FibroGen stock analysis, traders can identify FibroGen position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow155.7 M
Long Term Debt71.9 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding97.3 M
Total Stockholder Equity-204.2 M
Tax Provision31 K
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.536
Property Plant And Equipment Net81.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments235.6 M
Cash113.7 M
Accounts Payable18 M
Net Debt56.8 M
50 Day M A1.8816
Total Current Liabilities217.7 M
Other Operating Expenses417 M
Non Current Assets Total92 M
Forward Price Earnings61.3497
Non Currrent Assets Other3.6 M
Stock Based Compensation50.8 M
When determining whether FibroGen offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of FibroGen's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Fibrogen Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Fibrogen Stock:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in FibroGen. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.
To learn how to invest in FibroGen Stock, please use our How to Invest in FibroGen guide.
Note that the FibroGen information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other FibroGen's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

Complementary Tools for FibroGen Stock analysis

When running FibroGen's price analysis, check to measure FibroGen's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FibroGen is operating at the current time. Most of FibroGen's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FibroGen's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FibroGen's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FibroGen to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is FibroGen's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FibroGen. If investors know FibroGen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FibroGen listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.536
Earnings Share
(2.92)
Revenue Per Share
1.518
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.21)
Return On Assets
(0.36)
The market value of FibroGen is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FibroGen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FibroGen's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FibroGen's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FibroGen's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FibroGen's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FibroGen's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FibroGen is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FibroGen's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.