Freshpet Stock Analysis

FRPT Stock  USD 71.72  0.77  1.09%   
The main objective of Freshpet stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Freshpet is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Freshpet's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Freshpet's performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Freshpet's stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Freshpet stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Freshpet is usually not traded on Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day. Freshpet Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Freshpet's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Freshpet. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
For more information on how to buy Freshpet Stock please use our How to Invest in Freshpet guide.

Freshpet Stock Analysis Notes

About 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Freshpet was currently reported as 19.46. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.07. Freshpet had not issued any dividends in recent years. Freshpet, Inc. manufactures and markets natural fresh meals and treats for dogs and cats in the United States, Canada, and Europe. Freshpet, Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Secaucus, New Jersey. Freshpet Inc operates under Packaged Foods classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 789 people. To learn more about Freshpet call Richard Thompson at 201 520 4000 or check out

Freshpet Quarterly Cost of Revenue

134.33 Million

Freshpet Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Freshpet's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Freshpet or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Freshpet generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 595.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (59.49 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 186.03 M.
Freshpet currently holds about 327.18 M in cash with (43.23 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.84.
Freshpet has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from Freshpet Sees RS Rating Improve To 71 - Investors Business Daily

Freshpet Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Freshpet to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Freshpet previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
26th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
13th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
26th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement

Freshpet Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Freshpet's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
View All Earnings Estimates

Freshpet SEC Filings

SEC filings are important regulatory documents required of all public companies to provide to potential investors. Freshpet prospectus issued under the guidelines of SEC is a legal declaration of facts and statements to ensure that Freshpet investors are not misled. SEC filings are required by law to meet strict transparency standards and other important legal constraints. Although many companies may choose careful wording to disguise some material information, SEC filings make crucial Freshpet specific information freely available to individual and institutional investors to make a timely investment decision.
6th of November 2023
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Regulation FD Disclosure. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
12th of October 2023
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders
23rd of August 2023
Unclassified Corporate Event
21st of August 2023
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Regulation FD Disclosure. Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers: Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement
9th of August 2023
Unclassified Corporate Event
7th of August 2023
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Regulation FD Disclosure. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
21st of July 2023
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Other Events. Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers: Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers
6th of June 2023
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Other Events

Freshpet Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Freshpet stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Food Products Idea
Food Products
USA Equities from Food Products industry as classified by Fama & French

Freshpet Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 3.46 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Freshpet's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Freshpet's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Freshpet Profitablity

Freshpet's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Freshpet's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Freshpet is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Freshpet's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Freshpet's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Freshpet's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.07) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.03) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.03.
Last ReportedProjected for 2023
Return on Investment(5.94)(6.40)
Return on Average Assets(0.06)(0.06)
Return on Average Equity(0.06)(0.06)
Return on Invested Capital(0.06)(0.07)
Return on Sales(0.09)(0.1)

Management Efficiency

Freshpet has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0226) % which means that it has lost $0.0226 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.0526) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Freshpet's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Freshpet manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return on Investment is likely to drop to -6.4 in 2023. Return on Average Assets is likely to drop to -0.06 in 2023. At this time, Freshpet's Current Liabilities is comparatively stable as compared to the past year. Liabilities Non Current is likely to gain to about 4.3 M in 2023, whereas Total Liabilities is likely to drop slightly above 77.1 M in 2023.
Last ReportedProjected for 2023
Book Value per Share 22.33  24.10 
Enterprise Value over EBIT(44.00)(47.47)
Enterprise Value over EBITDA(121.99)(125.20)
Price to Book Value 2.46  2.52 
Tangible Assets Book Value per Share 24.36  26.29 
Enterprise Value2.4 B2.4 B
Tangible Asset Value1.1 B1.2 B
The analysis of Freshpet's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Freshpet's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Freshpet Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.

Technical Drivers

As of the 4th of December, Freshpet shows the Variance of 8.04, mean deviation of 1.58, and Standard Deviation of 2.84. Freshpet technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate data for thirteen technical drivers for Freshpet, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm Freshpet mean deviation and maximum drawdown to decide if Freshpet is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 71.72 per share. Given that Freshpet has information ratio of (0.031886), we urge you to verify Freshpet's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Freshpet Price Movement Analysis

null. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Freshpet middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Freshpet. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Freshpet Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Freshpet insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Freshpet's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Freshpet insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Freshpet Technical and Predictive Indicators

Freshpet Forecast Models

Freshpet's time-series forecasting models are one of many Freshpet's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Freshpet's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Freshpet Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Freshpet prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Freshpet shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Freshpet. By using and applying Freshpet Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Freshpet entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for 2023
Operating Margin(8.73)(9.42)
EBITDA Margin(0.033)(0.0356)
Gross Margin 0.31  0.35 
Profit Margin(0.10)(0.11)

Current Freshpet Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Freshpet analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Freshpet analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
Freshpet current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Freshpet analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Freshpet stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Freshpet, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Freshpet conference calls.
Freshpet Analyst Advice Details

Freshpet Stock Analysis Indicators

Freshpet stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Freshpet stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Freshpet shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Freshpet stock analysis, traders can identify Freshpet position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow72.8 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding46.2 M
Total Stockholder EquityB
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-233.4 M
Tax Provision282 K
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.093
Property Plant And Equipment Net809.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments132.7 M
Cash132.7 M
Accounts Payable55.1 M
Net Debt-127 M
50 Day M A63.087
Total Current Liabilities89.6 M
Other Operating Expenses647.3 M
Non Current Assets Total863.4 M
Forward Price Earnings104.1667
Non Currrent Assets Other28.4 M
Stock Based Compensation26.1 M
When determining whether Freshpet is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Freshpet Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Freshpet Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Freshpet Stock:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Freshpet. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
For more information on how to buy Freshpet Stock please use our How to Invest in Freshpet guide.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

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Is Freshpet's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Freshpet. If investors know Freshpet will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Freshpet listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
Earnings Share
Revenue Per Share
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Return On Assets
The market value of Freshpet is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Freshpet that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Freshpet's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Freshpet's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Freshpet's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Freshpet's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Freshpet's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Freshpet is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Freshpet's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.