Grocery Stock Analysis

GO -  USA Stock  

USD 38.21  2.30  6.40%

The latest price rise of Grocery Outlet may raise some interest from institutional investors. The stock closed today at a share price of 38.21 on 2,418,285 in trading volume. The company executives may have good odds in positioning the firm resources to exploit market volatility in June. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 3.31. The above-average risk is mostly attributed to market volatility and speculations regarding some of the upcoming earning calls from Grocery Outlet Holding partners.
Please check Risk vs Return Analysis.
  
Refresh
The Grocery Outlet stock analysis report makes it easy to digest most publicly released information about Grocery Outlet and get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, and announcements. Grocery Stock analysis module also helps to analyze the Grocery Outlet price relationship with some important fundamental indicators such as market cap and management efficiency.

Grocery Stock Analysis Notes

About 105.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Grocery Outlet was currently reported as 10.35. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. owns and operates a network of independently operated stores in the United States. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Emeryville, California. Grocery Outlet operates under Grocery Stores classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 803 people. To learn more about Grocery Outlet Holding call the company at 510 845 1999 or check out https://www.groceryoutlet.com.

Grocery Outlet Quarterly Cost of Revenue

580.54 Million

Share

Grocery Outlet Holding Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Grocery Outlet's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Grocery Outlet Holding or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Grocery Outlet appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Grocery Outlet has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from www.defenseworld.net: Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. Insider Brian Mcandrews Sells 15433 Shares - Defense World

Grocery Outlet Holding Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Grocery Outlet to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Grocery Outlet previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
Upcoming Quarterly Report1st of March 2022
Next Financial Report10th of May 2022
Next Fiscal Quarter End31st of December 2021
Next Fiscal Year End1st of March 2022
Last Quarter Report30th of September 2021
Last Financial Announcement31st of December 2020

Grocery Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Grocery Outlet's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-05-10
2022-03-310.20.220.0210 
2019-08-13
2019-06-300.13370.160.026319 
2019-11-11
2019-09-300.18730.220.032717 
View All Earnings Estimates

Grocery Outlet SEC Filings

SEC filings are important regulatory documents required of all public companies to provide to potential investors. Grocery Outlet prospectus issued under the guidelines of SEC is a legal declaration of facts and statements to ensure that Grocery Outlet investors are not misled. SEC filings are required by law to meet strict transparency standards and other important legal constraints. Although many companies may choose careful wording to disguise some material information, SEC filings make crucial Grocery Outlet Holding specific information freely available to individual and institutional investors to make a timely investment decision.
10th of May 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
View
8th of April 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Amendments to Articles of Incorporation or Bylaws; and/or Change in Fiscal Year
View
1st of March 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
View
16th of February 2022
Unclassified Corporate Event
View
11th of February 2022
Unclassified Corporate Event
View
10th of February 2022
Unclassified Corporate Event
View
4th of February 2022
Unclassified Corporate Event
View
3rd of February 2022
Unclassified Corporate Event
View

Grocery Outlet Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Grocery Outlet stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Retail IdeaRetail
USA Equities from Retail industry as classified by Fama & French

Grocery Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with market capitalization of 3.45 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Grocery Outlet's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Grocery Outlet's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and these looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Grocery Profitablity

Grocery Outlet's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Grocery Outlet's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Grocery Outlet is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Grocery Outlet's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Grocery Outlet's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Grocery Outlet's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Net Profit Margin (PM) of 2.02 %, which suggests that even a small decline in it sales will erase profits and may result in a net loss, or a negative profit margin. This is typical in the industry. Likewise, it shows Net Operating Margin (NOM) of 2.89 %, which signifies that for every $100 of sales, it has a net operating income of 0.03.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Return on Average Assets 0.024  0.0163 
Return on Average Equity 0.06  0.0463 
Return on Invested Capital 0.032  0.0305 
Return on Sales 0.03  0.0347 

Management Efficiency

The entity has Return on Asset (ROA) of 2.16 % which means that for every $100 of asset, it generated profit of $2.16. This is way below average. Likewise, it shows return on total equity (ROE) of 6.45 %, which means that it produced $6.45 on every 100 dollars invested by current stockholders. Grocery Outlet management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well grocery outlet holding manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return on Sales is expected to rise to 0.0347 this year, although the value of Return on Average Assets will most likely fall to 0.0163. Grocery Outlet Goodwill and Intangible Assets are quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Goodwill and Intangible Assets is estimated at 850.86 Million. Asset Turnover is expected to rise to 1.26 this year, although the value of Total Assets will most likely fall to about 2.1 B.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Book Value per Share 10.54  7.85 
Enterprise Value over EBIT 43.00  57.37 
Enterprise Value over EBITDA 24.33  32.17 
Price to Book Value 2.69  3.52 
Tangible Assets Book Value per Share 19.54  14.59 
Enterprise ValueB4.3 B
Tangible Asset Value1.9 B1.3 B

Technical Drivers

As of the 23rd of May, Grocery Outlet retains the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.202, market risk adjusted performance of 0.6393, and Downside Deviation of 2.75. Grocery Outlet technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices. Simply put, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical price patterns, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to break down and interpolate data for nineteen technical drivers for Grocery Outlet Holding, which can be compared to its competitors. Please check out Grocery Outlet Holding standard deviation, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and expected short fall to decide if Grocery Outlet is priced fairly, providing market reflects its last-minute price of 38.21 per share. Given that Grocery Outlet Holding has jensen alpha of 0.5943, we strongly advise you to confirm Grocery Outlet Holding's regular market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Grocery Outlet Holding Price Movement Analysis

Study
Time Period
Deviations up
Deviations down
MA Type
Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was eleven with a total number of output elements of fifty. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Grocery Outlet middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Grocery Outlet Holding. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.
.

Grocery Outlet Holding Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Grocery Outlet insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Grocery Outlet's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Grocery Outlet insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Grocery Outlet Predictive Daily Indicators

Grocery Outlet intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Grocery Outlet stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Grocery Outlet Forecast Models

Grocery Outlet time-series forecasting models is one of many Grocery Outlet's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Grocery Outlet's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Grocery Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Grocery Outlet stock is reacting to, or reflecting on a current stock market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Grocery shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas, a specific sector, or an individual stock such as Grocery Outlet. By using and applying Grocery Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Grocery entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
EBITDA Margin 0.05  0.06 
Gross Margin 0.31  0.32 
Profit Margin 0.02  0.0158 
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. owns and operates a network of independently operated stores in the United States. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Emeryville, California. Grocery Outlet operates under Grocery Stores classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 803 people.

Current Grocery Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Grocery analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Grocery analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
30.22Hold9Odds
Grocery Outlet Holding current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Grocery analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Grocery stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Grocery Outlet Holding, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Grocery conference calls.
Grocery Analyst Advice Details

Grocery Stock Analysis Indicators

Grocery Outlet Holding stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Grocery Outlet stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Grocery Outlet shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Grocery Outlet stock analysis, traders can identify Grocery Outlet position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Quick Ratio0.63
Fifty Two Week Low21.01
Revenue Growth-3.00%
Shares Short Prior Month10.08M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.6M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month975.36k
Earnings Growth-71.30%
Shares Percent Shares Out9.53%
Earnings Quarterly Growth-72.60%
Gross Margins30.81%
Short Percent Of Float11.89%
Forward Price Earnings31.78
Float Shares87.59M
Fifty Two Week High37.82
Enterprise Value To Ebitda28.45
Fifty Day Average33.45
Two Hundred Day Average27.79
Enterprise Value To Revenue1.48
Please check Risk vs Return Analysis. Note that the Grocery Outlet Holding information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Grocery Outlet's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.

Complementary Tools for Grocery Stock analysis

When running Grocery Outlet Holding price analysis, check to measure Grocery Outlet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grocery Outlet is operating at the current time. Most of Grocery Outlet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grocery Outlet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grocery Outlet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grocery Outlet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Go
Fund Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges
Go
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
Go
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Go
Stock Screener
Find equities using custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.
Go
Crypto Correlations
Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins
Go
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments
Go
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope
Go
Theme Ratings
Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Go
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Go
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Go
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Go
Is Grocery Outlet's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Grocery Outlet. If investors know Grocery will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Grocery Outlet listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Grocery Outlet Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Grocery that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Grocery Outlet's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Grocery Outlet's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Grocery Outlet's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Grocery Outlet's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Grocery Outlet's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Grocery Outlet value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grocery Outlet's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.