Green Stock Analysis

GPRE
 Stock
  

USD 34.50  0.06  0.17%   

The latest indifference towards the small price fluctuations of Green Plains may raise some interest from shareholders. The stock closed today at a share price of 34.50 on 465,876 in trading volume. The company directors and management did not add any value to Green Plains Renewable investors in November. However, most investors can still diversify their portfolios with Green Plains to hedge their inherited risk against high-volatility market scenarios. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 3.98. The above-average risk is mostly attributed to market volatility and speculations regarding some of the upcoming earning calls from Green Plains Renewable partners.
Please check Risk vs Return Analysis.
  
The Green Plains stock analysis report makes it easy to digest most publicly released information about Green Plains and get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, and announcements. Green Stock analysis module also helps to analyze the Green Plains price relationship with some important fundamental indicators such as market cap and management efficiency.

Green Stock Analysis Notes

About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Green Plains was currently reported as 16.23. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.4. Green Plains Renewable last dividend was issued on the 23rd of May 2019. Green Plains Inc. produces, markets, and distributes ethanol in the United States and internationally. Green Plains Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska. Green Plains operates under Chemicals classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 859 people. To learn more about Green Plains Renewable call Todd Becker at 402 884 8700 or check out https://gpreinc.com.

Green Plains Renewable Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Green Plains' investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Green Plains Renewable or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Green Plains has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.83 B. Net Loss for the year was (44.15 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 179 M.
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Green Plains Renewable Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Green Plains to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Green Plains previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
Upcoming Quarterly Report8th of February 2022
Next Financial Report2nd of May 2022
Next Fiscal Quarter End31st of December 2021
Next Fiscal Year End8th of February 2022
Last Quarter Report30th of September 2021
Last Financial Announcement31st of December 2020

Green Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Green Plains' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2006-10-16
2006-09-30-0.02-0.010.0150 
2013-07-30
2013-06-300.170.190.0211 
2016-10-31
2016-09-300.230.2-0.0313 
View All Earnings Estimates

Green Plains SEC Filings

SEC filings are important regulatory documents required of all public companies to provide to potential investors. Green Plains prospectus issued under the guidelines of SEC is a legal declaration of facts and statements to ensure that Green Plains investors are not misled. SEC filings are required by law to meet strict transparency standards and other important legal constraints. Although many companies may choose careful wording to disguise some material information, SEC filings make crucial Green Plains Renewable specific information freely available to individual and institutional investors to make a timely investment decision.
25th of August 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities. Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement
View
11th of August 2022
Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities
View
5th of August 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities. Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement
View
4th of August 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities. Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement
View
2nd of August 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
View
11th of July 2022
Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities
View
25th of May 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Regulation FD Disclosure
View
6th of May 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders. Amendments to Articles of Incorporation or Bylaws; and/or Change in Fiscal Year
View

Green Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with current market capitalization of 2.05 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Green Plains's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Green Plains's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and these looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Green Profitablity

Green Plains' profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Green Plains' ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Green Plains is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Green Plains' executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Green Plains' profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Green Plains' financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.03) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.02) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of 0.0.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Return on Investment(0.29) (0.29) 
Return on Average Assets(3.53) (3.62) 
Return on Average Equity(8.26) (8.48) 
Return on Invested Capital 0.002  0.002053 
Return on Sales 0.001  0.001026 

Management Efficiency

The entity has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0197) % which means that it has lost $0.0197 on every $100 spent on asset. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows return on stockholders equity (ROE) of (0.0672) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Green Plains management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well green plains renewable manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Green Plains Return on Sales is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Return on Sales was at 0.001. Green Plains Goodwill and Intangible Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Goodwill and Intangible Assets were at 210.31 Million. The current year Tax Assets is expected to grow to about 935 K, whereas Current Assets are forecasted to decline to about 942 M.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Book Value per Share 20.37  22.31 
Enterprise Value over EBIT 642.00  692.68 
Enterprise Value over EBITDA 20.26  21.86 
Price to Book Value 1.96  1.58 
Tangible Assets Book Value per Share 46.30  53.23 
Enterprise Value1.9 B1.7 B
Tangible Asset Value2.2 B2.2 B

Technical Drivers

As of the 1st of December, Green Plains retains the market risk adjusted performance of (0.029057), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.014549). Green Plains technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices. Simply put, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical price patterns, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate data for nineteen technical drivers for Green Plains Renewable, which can be compared to its competitors. Please check out Green Plains Renewable treynor ratio, and the relationship between the standard deviation and downside variance to decide if Green Plains is priced fairly, providing market reflects its last-minute price of 34.5 per share. Given that Green Plains Renewable has jensen alpha of (0.18), we strongly advise you to confirm Green Plains Renewable's regular market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Green Plains Renewable Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was eighteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-three. Green Plains Renewable Triple Exponential Moving Average indicator shows smoothing effect of Green Plains price series composite of a single exponential moving average, a double exponential moving average and a triple exponential moving average.
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Green Plains Renewable Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Green Plains insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Green Plains' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Green Plains insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Green Plains Predictive Daily Indicators

Green Plains intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Green Plains stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Green Plains Forecast Models

Green Plains time-series forecasting models is one of many Green Plains' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Green Plains' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Green Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Green Plains prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Green shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas, a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Green Plains. By using and applying Green Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Green entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Operating Margin(0.14) (0.15) 
EBITDA Margin 4.38  4.83 
Gross Margin 6.33  6.73 
Profit Margin(2.33) (2.40) 

Current Green Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Green analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Green analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
49.29Buy7Odds
Green Plains Renewable current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Green analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Green stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Green Plains Renewable, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Green conference calls.
Green Analyst Advice Details

Green Stock Analysis Indicators

Green Plains Renewable stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Green Plains stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Green Plains shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Green Plains stock analysis, traders can identify Green Plains position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow274810000.00
Logo U R LimglogosUSGPRE.png
Common Stock Shares Outstanding46652000.00
Total Stockholder Equity950500000.00
DescriptionGreen Plains Inc. produces, markets, and distributes ethanol in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments Ethanol Production, Agribusiness and Energy Services,
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-236285000.00
Tax Provision1845000.00
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y2.661
Property Plant And Equipment Net957559000.00
Retained Earnings-15199000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments551079000.00
Retained Earnings Total Equity-15199000.00
Cash426220000.00
CodeGPRE
Accounts Payable146063000.00
Net Debt363098000.00
50 Day M A30.5676
Total Current Liabilities471804000.00
Currency CodeUSD
Other Operating Expenses2831261000.00
Non Current Assets Total1042006000.00
Forward Price Earnings20.8333
Common Stock Total Equity62000.00
Non Currrent Assets Other84447000.00
Please check Risk vs Return Analysis. You can also try Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

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Is Green Plains' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Green Plains. If investors know Green will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Green Plains listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
2.66
Market Capitalization
B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.28
Return On Assets
(0.0197) 
Return On Equity
(0.07) 
The market value of Green Plains Renewable is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Green that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Green Plains' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Green Plains' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Green Plains' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Green Plains' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Green Plains' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Green Plains value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Green Plains' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.