Green Plains Renewable Stock Analysis
GPRE Stock | USD 22.12 0.11 0.49% |
Green Plains Renewable is undervalued with Real Value of 26.93 and Target Price of 41.33. The main objective of Green Plains stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Green Plains Renewable is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Green Plains' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Green Plains' performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Green Plains' stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Green Plains stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Green Plains is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Green Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Green Plains' ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
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Green Stock Analysis Notes
About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.68. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Green Plains Renewable recorded a loss per share of 1.59. The entity last dividend was issued on the 23rd of May 2019. Green Plains Inc. produces, markets, and distributes ethanol in the United States and internationally. Green Plains Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska. Green Plains operates under Chemicals classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 859 people. To learn more about Green Plains Renewable call Todd Becker at 402 884 8700 or check out https://www.gpreinc.com.Green Plains Quarterly Total Revenue |
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Green Plains Renewable Investment Alerts
Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Green Plains' investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Green Plains Renewable or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.3 B. Net Loss for the year was (76.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 112.68 M. | |
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
Latest headline from businesswire.com: Green Plains to Host First Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call on May 3, 2024 |
Green Plains Renewable Upcoming and Recent Events
Earnings reports are used by Green Plains to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Green Plains previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
7th of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
2nd of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
7th of February 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Green Largest EPS Surprises
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Green Plains' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2006-10-16 | 2006-09-30 | -0.02 | -0.01 | 0.01 | 50 | ||
2013-07-30 | 2013-06-30 | 0.17 | 0.19 | 0.02 | 11 | ||
2024-02-07 | 2023-12-31 | 0.15 | 0.12 | -0.03 | 20 |
Green Plains Thematic Classifications
In addition to having Green Plains stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
ChemicalsUSA Equities from Chemicals industry as classified by Fama & French |
Green Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Green Plains is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Green Plains Renewable backward and forwards among themselves. Green Plains' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Green Plains' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.3 M | Hood River Capital Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.1 M | Millennium Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1 M | Victory Capital Management Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 998.2 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2023-12-31 | 890.1 K | Point72 Asset Management, L.p. | 2023-09-30 | 886.5 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 875.4 K | Neuberger Berman Group Llc | 2023-12-31 | 836.9 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 788.7 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 10.1 M | Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co., Llc | 2023-12-31 | 4.8 M |
Green Market Capitalization
The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 1.43 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Green Plains's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Green Plains's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.Green Profitablity
Green Plains' profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Green Plains' ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Green Plains is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Green Plains' executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Green Plains' profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Green Plains' financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.03) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.03 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.03. Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Return On Tangible Assets | (0.05) | (0.05) | |
Return On Capital Employed | (0.04) | (0.04) | |
Return On Assets | (0.05) | (0.05) | |
Return On Equity | (0.11) | (0.11) |
Management Efficiency
Green Plains Renewable has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0196) % which means that it has lost $0.0196 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.0744) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Green Plains' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Green Plains manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The current year's Return On Tangible Assets is expected to grow to -0.05. The current year's Return On Capital Employed is expected to grow to -0.04. As of April 23, 2024, Total Assets is expected to decline to about 1.6 B. In addition to that, Non Current Assets Total is expected to decline to about 923.2 MLast Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Book Value Per Share | 14.35 | 21.43 | |
Net Current Asset Value | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
Tangible Asset Value | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
Tangible Book Value Per Share | 16.08 | 15.86 | |
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 37.45 | 20.84 | |
Price Book Value Ratio | 1.76 | 1.85 | |
Enterprise Value Multiple | 37.45 | 20.84 | |
Price Fair Value | 1.76 | 1.85 | |
Enterprise Value | 83.2 M | 47.3 M |
The analysis of Green Plains' management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Green Plains' future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Green Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Beta 1.612 |
Technical Drivers
As of the 23rd of April, Green Plains retains the Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.101, risk adjusted performance of 0.0344, and Downside Deviation of 2.32. Green Plains technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices. Simply put, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical price patterns, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate data for nineteen technical drivers for Green Plains Renewable, which can be compared to its competitors. Please check out Green Plains Renewable treynor ratio, and the relationship between the standard deviation and downside variance to decide if Green Plains is priced fairly, providing market reflects its last-minute price of 22.12 per share. Given that Green Plains Renewable has jensen alpha of 0.0151, we strongly advise you to confirm Green Plains Renewable's regular market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.Green Plains Renewable Price Movement Analysis
The output start index for this execution was thirteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Green Plains middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Green Plains Renewable. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.
Green Plains Renewable Insider Trading Activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Green Plains insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Green Plains' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Green Plains insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Green Plains Outstanding Bonds
Green Plains issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Green Plains Renewable uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Green bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Green Plains Renewable has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
Green Plains Predictive Daily Indicators
Green Plains intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Green Plains stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Green Plains Corporate Filings
28th of March 2024 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
F4 | 18th of March 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 15th of March 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 12th of March 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 21st of February 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 14th of February 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
13A | 13th of February 2024 An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G | ViewVerify |
10K | 9th of February 2024 Annual report required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of a company financial performance | ViewVerify |
Green Plains Forecast Models
Green Plains' time-series forecasting models are one of many Green Plains' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Green Plains' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.About Green Stock Analysis
Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Green Plains prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Green shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Green Plains. By using and applying Green Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Green entry and exit points for their positions.
Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Pretax Profit Margin | (0.02) | (0.03) | |
Operating Profit Margin | (0.02) | (0.02) | |
Net Loss | (0.03) | (0.03) | |
Gross Profit Margin | 0.06 | 0.07 |
Current Green Analysis - Recommendations
We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Green analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Green analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
41.33 | Strong Buy | 11 | Odds |
Most Green analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Green stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Green Plains Renewable, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Green conference calls.
Green Stock Analysis Indicators
Green Plains Renewable stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Green Plains stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Green Plains shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Green Plains stock analysis, traders can identify Green Plains position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow | 500.3 M | |
Total Stockholder Equity | 843.7 M | |
Capital Lease Obligations | 76.8 M | |
Property Plant And Equipment Net | 1.1 B | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 349.6 M | |
Cash | 349.6 M | |
50 Day M A | 22.0522 | |
Net Interest Income | -24.4 M | |
Total Current Liabilities | 385 M | |
Forward Price Earnings | 25.7732 | |
Investments | -84 M | |
Interest Expense | 37.7 M | |
Stock Based Compensation | 13 M | |
Long Term Debt | 491.9 M | |
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 58.8 M | |
Tax Provision | -460 K | |
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | 2.661 | |
Accounts Payable | 186.6 M | |
Net Debt | 326.9 M | |
Other Operating Expenses | 3.4 B | |
Non Current Assets Total | 1.2 B | |
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity | 1.9 B | |
Non Currrent Assets Other | -82.2 M |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Green Plains Renewable. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
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When running Green Plains' price analysis, check to measure Green Plains' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Green Plains is operating at the current time. Most of Green Plains' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Green Plains' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Green Plains' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Green Plains to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Green Plains' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Green Plains. If investors know Green will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Green Plains listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.661 | Earnings Share (1.59) | Revenue Per Share 56.037 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.22) | Return On Assets (0.02) |
The market value of Green Plains Renewable is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Green that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Green Plains' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Green Plains' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Green Plains' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Green Plains' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Green Plains' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Green Plains is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Green Plains' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.