Groupon Stock Analysis

GRPN Stock  USD 9.71  0.06  0.61%   
Groupon is undervalued with Real Value of 11.56 and Target Price of 13.75. The main objective of Groupon stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Groupon is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Groupon's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Groupon's performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Groupon's stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Groupon stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Groupon is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Groupon Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Groupon's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Groupon. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
To learn how to invest in Groupon Stock, please use our How to Invest in Groupon guide.

Groupon Stock Analysis Notes

About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.9. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Groupon recorded a loss per share of 1.77. The entity last dividend was issued on the 11th of June 2020. The firm had 1:20 split on the 11th of June 2020. Groupon, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates a marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. Groupon, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois. Groupon Cl operates under Internet Content Information classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 3675 people. To learn more about Groupon call Rich Williams at (773) 945 6801 or check out https://www.groupon.com.

Groupon Quarterly Total Revenue

137.72 Million

Groupon Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Groupon's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Groupon or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Groupon generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Groupon has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Groupon has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company currently holds 278.75 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 3.99, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Groupon has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Groupon until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Groupon's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Groupon sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Groupon to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Groupon's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 514.91 M. Net Loss for the year was (55.41 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 522.82 M.
Groupon currently holds about 308 M in cash with (78.54 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.12, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Groupon has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 81.0% of Groupon shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zacks.com: 4 Solid Stocks to Buy as E-Commerce Boosts Retail Sales

Groupon Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Groupon to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Groupon previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
21st of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
8th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
21st of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Groupon Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Groupon's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2014-08-05
2014-06-300.170.20.0317 
2023-08-09
2023-06-30-0.18-0.10.0844 
2013-05-08
2013-03-310.510.60.0917 
View All Earnings Estimates

Groupon Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Groupon stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Social Domain Idea
Social Domain
Companies that are actively involved or directly contribute to the development of various social networking technologies

Groupon Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Groupon is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Groupon backward and forwards among themselves. Groupon's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Groupon's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Prentice Capital Management, Lp2023-12-31
257.8 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2023-12-31
246.5 K
Two Sigma Investments Llc2023-12-31
237.3 K
Shay Capital Llc2023-12-31
228.6 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
228.1 K
Amvescap Plc.2023-12-31
211.8 K
Scoggin Llc2023-09-30
200 K
Balyasny Asset Management Llc2023-12-31
177.2 K
Barclays Plc2023-12-31
174.4 K
Pale Fire Capital Se2023-12-31
M
Maple Rock Capital Partners, Inc.2023-12-31
M
Note, although Groupon's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Groupon Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 425.36 M. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Groupon's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Groupon's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Groupon Profitablity

Groupon's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Groupon's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Groupon is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Groupon's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Groupon's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Groupon's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.11) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.11 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.11.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.15)(0.15)
Return On Capital Employed(0.05)(0.05)
Return On Assets(0.1)(0.10)
Return On Equity 1.36  1.43 

Management Efficiency

As of the 18th of April 2024, Return On Equity is likely to grow to 1.43, while Return On Tangible Assets are likely to drop (0.15). At this time, Groupon's Asset Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. Groupon's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Groupon manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share(1.30)(1.24)
Net Current Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Book Value Per Share(7.37)(7.01)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 12.50  13.13 
Price Book Value Ratio(9.87)(9.38)
Enterprise Value Multiple 12.50  13.13 
Price Fair Value(9.87)(9.38)
Enterprise Value589.1 M559.7 M
The analysis of Groupon's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Groupon's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Groupon Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Beta
1.659

Technical Drivers

As of the 18th of April 2024, Groupon retains the Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), market risk adjusted performance of (0.08), and Standard Deviation of 5.87. Groupon technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices. Simply put, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical price patterns, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate data for thirteen technical drivers for Groupon, which can be compared to its competitors. Please check out Groupon information ratio and skewness to decide if Groupon is priced fairly, providing market reflects its last-minute price of 9.71 per share. Given that Groupon has information ratio of (0.06), we strongly advise you to confirm Groupon's regular market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Groupon Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was two with a total number of output elements of fifty-nine. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Groupon middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Groupon. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Groupon Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Groupon insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Groupon's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Groupon insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Groupon Predictive Daily Indicators

Groupon intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Groupon stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Groupon Corporate Filings

F4
16th of April 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
15th of April 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
1st of April 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
10K
15th of March 2024
Annual report required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of a company financial performance
ViewVerify
8K
15th of February 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
14th of February 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
F4
13th of February 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
12th of February 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Groupon Forecast Models

Groupon's time-series forecasting models are one of many Groupon's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Groupon's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Groupon Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Groupon prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Groupon shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Groupon. By using and applying Groupon Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Groupon entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.08)(0.09)
Operating Profit Margin(0.02)(0.02)
Net Loss(0.11)(0.11)
Gross Profit Margin 0.84  0.48 

Current Groupon Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Groupon analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Groupon analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
13.75Buy3Odds
Groupon current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Groupon analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Groupon stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Groupon, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Groupon conference calls.
Groupon Analyst Advice Details

Groupon Stock Analysis Indicators

Groupon stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Groupon stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Groupon shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Groupon stock analysis, traders can identify Groupon position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow281.7 M
Long Term Debt226.5 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding31.2 M
Total Stockholder Equity-40.6 M
Tax Provision51.3 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y1.092
Property Plant And Equipment Net32.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments167.6 M
Cash167.6 M
Accounts Payable224.4 M
Net Debt111.1 M
50 Day M A15.3236
Total Current Liabilities369.2 M
Other Operating Expenses525.2 M
Non Current Assets Total330 M
Forward Price Earnings14.0056
Non Currrent Assets Other20.7 M
Stock Based Compensation14.5 M
When determining whether Groupon offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Groupon's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Groupon Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Groupon Stock:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Groupon. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
To learn how to invest in Groupon Stock, please use our How to Invest in Groupon guide.
You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.

Complementary Tools for Groupon Stock analysis

When running Groupon's price analysis, check to measure Groupon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Groupon is operating at the current time. Most of Groupon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Groupon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Groupon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Groupon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Groupon's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Groupon. If investors know Groupon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Groupon listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.092
Earnings Share
(1.77)
Revenue Per Share
16.481
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
Return On Assets
(0.01)
The market value of Groupon is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Groupon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Groupon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Groupon's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Groupon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Groupon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Groupon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Groupon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Groupon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.