Groupon Stock Analysis

GRPN
 Stock
  

USD 7.99  0.41  4.88%   

Groupon price slide over the last few months may raise some interest from institutional investors. The stock closed today at a share price of 7.99 on 774,332 in trading volume. The company management teams were not very successful in positioning the firm resources to exploit market volatility in November. However, diversifying your holdings with Groupon or similar stocks can still protect your portfolio during high-volatility market scenarios. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 6.15. The very high volatility is mostly attributed to the latest market swings and not very good earnings reports from some of the Groupon partners.
Please check Risk vs Return Analysis.
  
The Groupon stock analysis report makes it easy to digest most publicly released information about Groupon and get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, and announcements. Groupon Stock analysis module also helps to analyze the Groupon price relationship with some important fundamental indicators such as market cap and management efficiency.

Groupon Stock Analysis Notes

About 37.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Groupon was currently reported as 3.19. The company last dividend was issued on the 11th of June 2020. Groupon had 1:20 split on the 11th of June 2020. Groupon, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates a marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. Groupon, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois. Groupon Cl operates under Internet Content Information classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 3675 people. To learn more about Groupon call Rich Williams at 312 334 1579 or check out https://www.groupon.com.

Groupon Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Groupon's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Groupon or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Groupon generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Groupon has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company currently holds 223.4 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 3.99, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Groupon has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Groupon until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Groupon's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Groupon sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Groupon to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Groupon's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Groupon currently holds about 308 M in cash with (123.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.12, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 62.0% of Groupon shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Clear Crystal global growth ambitions after funding deal Bury Times - Bury Times

Groupon Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Groupon to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Groupon previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
Upcoming Quarterly Report24th of February 2022
Next Financial Report5th of May 2022
Next Fiscal Quarter End31st of December 2021
Next Fiscal Year End24th of February 2022
Last Quarter Report30th of September 2021
Last Financial Announcement31st of December 2020

Groupon Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Groupon's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2016-07-27
2016-06-30-0.02-0.010.0150 
2016-04-28
2016-03-31-0.02-0.010.0150 
2015-08-07
2015-06-300.030.02-0.0133 
View All Earnings Estimates

Groupon SEC Filings

SEC filings are important regulatory documents required of all public companies to provide to potential investors. Groupon prospectus issued under the guidelines of SEC is a legal declaration of facts and statements to ensure that Groupon investors are not misled. SEC filings are required by law to meet strict transparency standards and other important legal constraints. Although many companies may choose careful wording to disguise some material information, SEC filings make crucial Groupon specific information freely available to individual and institutional investors to make a timely investment decision.
15th of August 2022
Unclassified Corporate Event
View
8th of August 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
View
17th of June 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders. Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers: Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers
View
13th of June 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Regulation FD Disclosure. Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers: Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Unclassified Corporate Event. Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement
View
27th of May 2022
Unclassified Corporate Event
View
25th of May 2022
Unclassified Corporate Event
View
11th of May 2022
Unclassified Corporate Event
View
9th of May 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
View

Groupon Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Groupon stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Social Domain
Companies that are actively involved or directly contribute to the development of various social networking technologies

Groupon Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Groupon is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Groupon backward and forwards among themselves. Groupon's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Groupon's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Zweigdimenna Associates LlcCommon Shares919.4 K7.9 M
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares2.8 K22 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares2.8 K32 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares2.8 K54 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares2.8 K65 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares2.8 K64 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares2.8 K121 K
Note, although Groupon's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Groupon Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with current market capitalization of 255.67 M. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Groupon's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Groupon's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and these looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Groupon Profitablity

Groupon's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Groupon's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Groupon is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Groupon's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Groupon's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Groupon's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.23) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.11) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of 0.0.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Return on Investment(0.87) (0.94) 
Return on Average Assets 9.24  9.97 
Return on Average Equity 74.74  80.64 
Return on Invested Capital 0.73  0.76 
Return on Sales 0.09  0.1 

Management Efficiency

The entity has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0459) % which means that it has lost $0.0459 on every $100 spent on asset. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows return on stockholders equity (ROE) of (1.215) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Groupon management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well groupon manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Groupon Return on Average Assets are quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Return on Average Assets is estimated at 9.97. Return on Average Equity is expected to rise to 80.64 this year, although the value of Return on Investment will most likely fall to (0.94) . Groupon Total Assets Per Share are quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Total Assets Per Share is estimated at 43.36. Asset Turnover is expected to rise to 0.78 this year, although the value of Tax Assets will most likely fall to about 52.7 M.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Book Value per Share 7.15  10.52 
Enterprise Value over EBIT 7.00  7.55 
Enterprise Value over EBITDA 3.75  3.85 
Price to Book Value 3.26  4.99 
Tangible Assets Book Value per Share 31.23  37.79 
Enterprise Value597.2 M613 M
Tangible Asset Value917.2 M1.1 B

Technical Drivers

As of the 5th of December, Groupon retains the market risk adjusted performance of (0.029196), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.00926). Groupon technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices. Simply put, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical price patterns, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate data for nineteen technical drivers for Groupon, which can be compared to its competitors. Please check out Groupon standard deviation, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and expected short fall to decide if Groupon is priced fairly, providing market reflects its last-minute price of 7.99 per share. Given that Groupon has jensen alpha of (0.28), we strongly advise you to confirm Groupon's regular market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Groupon Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Groupon middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Groupon. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.
.

Groupon Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Groupon insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Groupon's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Groupon insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Deshpande Kedar over two months ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by Deshpande Kedar of 61548 shares of Groupon Cl subject to Rule 16b-3
Barta Jan over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Groupon Cl exotic insider transaction detected
Schmitz Damien over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by Schmitz Damien of 1297 shares of Groupon Cl subject to Rule 16b-3
Dane Drobny over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by Dane Drobny of 8289 shares of Groupon Cl subject to Rule 16b-3
Maple Rock Capital Partners Inc over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Sale by Maple Rock Capital Partners Inc of 152011 shares of Groupon Cl
Schmitz Damien over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by Schmitz Damien of 12215 shares of Groupon Cl subject to Rule 16b-3
Senkypl Dusan over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Senkypl Dusan of 1594 shares of Groupon Cl subject to Rule 16b-3
Rpd Fund Management Llc over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Groupon Cl exotic insider transaction detected
Dane Drobny over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by Dane Drobny of 14750 shares of Groupon Cl subject to Rule 16b-3
Senkypl Dusan over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Groupon Cl exotic insider transaction detected
Deshpande Kedar over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by Deshpande Kedar of 61548 shares of Groupon Cl subject to Rule 16b-3
Dvorak Kerrie over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by Dvorak Kerrie of 237 shares of Groupon Cl subject to Rule 16b-3

Groupon Predictive Daily Indicators

Groupon intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Groupon stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Groupon Forecast Models

Groupon time-series forecasting models is one of many Groupon's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Groupon's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Groupon Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Groupon prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Groupon shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas, a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Groupon. By using and applying Groupon Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Groupon entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Operating Margin(0.48) (0.52) 
EBITDA Margin 17.88  19.30 
Gross Margin 76.22  74.29 
Profit Margin 12.27  13.24 

Current Groupon Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Groupon analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Groupon analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
29.0Sell4Odds
Groupon current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Groupon analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Groupon stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Groupon, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Groupon conference calls.
Groupon Analyst Advice Details

Groupon Stock Analysis Indicators

Groupon stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Groupon stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Groupon shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Groupon stock analysis, traders can identify Groupon position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow851085000.00
Total Stockholder Equity210296000.00
Country NameUSA
Capital Lease Obligations91410000.00
Property Plant And Equipment Net121539000.00
Retained Earnings-1156868000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments498726000.00
Retained Earnings Total Equity-1156868000.00
Cash498726000.00
50 Day M A8.058
Net Interest Income-12090000.00
Total Current Liabilities630987000.00
Forward Price Earnings8.6957
Common Stock Total Equity4000.00
Logo U R LimglogosUSGRPN.png
Common Stock Shares Outstanding33513440.00
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-45811000.00
Tax Provision-32323000.00
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y1.092
CodeGRPN
Accounts Payable22165000.00
Net Debt-175323000.00
Currency CodeUSD
Other Operating Expenses971763000.00
Non Current Assets Total569830000.00
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity1157881000.00
Non Currrent Assets Other25102000.00
Please check Risk vs Return Analysis. You can also try Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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When running Groupon price analysis, check to measure Groupon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Groupon is operating at the current time. Most of Groupon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Groupon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Groupon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Groupon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Groupon's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Groupon. If investors know Groupon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Groupon listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
1.09
Market Capitalization
255.7 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.33) 
Return On Assets
(0.0459) 
Return On Equity
(1.22) 
The market value of Groupon is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Groupon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Groupon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Groupon's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Groupon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Groupon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Groupon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Groupon value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Groupon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.