Lumen Technologies Stock Analysis

LUMN Stock  USD 5.68  0.16  2.74%   
Lumen Technologies is overvalued with Real Value of 3.5 and Target Price of 2.34. The main objective of Lumen Technologies stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Lumen Technologies is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Lumen Technologies' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Lumen Technologies stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Lumen Technologies is usually not traded on Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday. Lumen Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Lumen Technologies. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
To learn how to invest in Lumen Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lumen Technologies guide.

Lumen Stock Analysis Notes

About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.1. Lumen Technologies last dividend was issued on the 29th of August 2022. The entity had 3:2 split on the 1st of April 1999. Lumen Technologies, Inc., a facilities-based technology and communications company, provides various integrated products and services under the Lumen, Quantum Fiber, and CenturyLink brands to business and residential customers in the United States and internationally. Lumen Technologies, Inc. was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Monroe, Louisiana. Centurylink operates under Telecom Services classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 35000 people. To find out more about Lumen Technologies contact Kathleen Johnson at 318 388 9000 or learn more at https://www.lumen.com.

Lumen Technologies Quarterly Total Revenue

3.27 Billion

Lumen Technologies Investment Alerts

Lumen Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Lumen Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 14.56 B. Net Loss for the year was (10.3 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.61 B.
About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from cnbc.com: Cramers Lightning Round KKR is a buy

Lumen Technologies Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Lumen Technologies to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period..
6th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
7th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
6th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Lumen Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Lumen Technologies' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2023-05-02
2023-03-310.060.10.0466 
2000-07-27
2000-06-300.390.430.0410 
2024-04-30
2024-03-310.01-0.04-0.05500 
View All Earnings Estimates

Lumen Technologies Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Lumen Technologies' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Lumen Technologies' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Lumen Technologies' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Lumen Technologies' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Lumen Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Northern Trust Corp2024-06-30
11.4 M
Palestra Capital Management Llc2024-06-30
11.2 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
9.5 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
9.4 M
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-06-30
8.9 M
Millennium Management Llc2024-06-30
7.9 M
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2024-06-30
7.7 M
Barclays Plc2024-03-31
M
Allianz Asset Management Ag2024-06-30
5.2 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
148.8 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-06-30
118.1 M
Note, although Lumen Technologies' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Lumen Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 5.78 B.

Lumen Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.15) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.03 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.03.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.39)(0.37)
Return On Capital Employed 0.04  0.04 
Return On Assets(0.30)(0.29)
Return On Equity(24.70)(23.46)

Management Efficiency

As of the 9th of September 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to grow to -0.37. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to 0.04. At this time, Lumen Technologies' Non Currrent Assets Other are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 9th of September 2024, Total Current Assets is likely to grow to about 5 B, while Total Assets are likely to drop about 24.7 B. Lumen Technologies' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Lumen Technologies manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 0.42  0.40 
Tangible Book Value Per Share(7.13)(7.49)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 4.67  8.65 
Price Book Value Ratio 4.32  4.54 
Enterprise Value Multiple 4.67  8.65 
Price Fair Value 4.32  4.54 
Enterprise Value22.4 B12.6 B
The analysis of Lumen Technologies' management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Lumen Technologies' future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Lumen Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Operating Margin
0.0285
Profit Margin
(0.15)
Beta
1.172
Return On Assets
0.0089
Return On Equity
(1.50)

Technical Drivers

As of the 9th of September, Lumen Technologies secures the Downside Deviation of 7.62, mean deviation of 7.41, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.174. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Lumen Technologies, as well as the relationship between them.

Lumen Technologies Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
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Lumen Technologies Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Lumen Technologies insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Lumen Technologies' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Lumen Technologies insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Lumen Technologies Outstanding Bonds

Lumen Technologies issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Lumen Technologies uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Lumen bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Lumen Technologies has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Lumen Technologies Predictive Daily Indicators

Lumen Technologies intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Lumen Technologies stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Lumen Technologies Corporate Filings

F4
5th of September 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
3rd of September 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
6th of August 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
5th of August 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F3
11th of June 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
F3
24th of May 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
F4
20th of May 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
17th of May 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

Lumen Technologies Forecast Models

Lumen Technologies' time-series forecasting models are one of many Lumen Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Lumen Technologies' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Lumen Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Lumen Technologies prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Lumen shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Lumen Technologies. By using and applying Lumen Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Lumen entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.70)(0.67)
Operating Profit Margin 0.08  0.08 
Net Loss(0.71)(0.67)
Gross Profit Margin 0.30  0.43 

Current Lumen Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Lumen analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Lumen analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
2.34Hold12Odds
Lumen Technologies current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Lumen analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Lumen stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Lumen Technologies, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Lumen conference calls.
Lumen Analyst Advice Details

Lumen Stock Analysis Indicators

Lumen Technologies stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Lumen Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Lumen Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Lumen Technologies stock analysis, traders can identify Lumen Technologies position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow1.3 B
Long Term Debt19.8 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding985 M
Total Stockholder Equity417 M
Tax Provision61 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.889
Property Plant And Equipment Net19.8 B
Cash And Short Term Investments2.2 B
Cash2.2 B
Accounts Payable1.1 B
Net Debt17.9 B
50 Day M A3.5244
Total Current Liabilities3.5 B
Other Operating Expenses13.3 B
Non Current Assets Total29.2 B
Forward Price Earnings20.4918
Non Currrent Assets Other2.1 B
Stock Based Compensation52 M

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Lumen Stock

When determining whether Lumen Technologies offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Lumen Technologies' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Lumen Technologies Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Lumen Technologies Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Lumen Technologies. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
To learn how to invest in Lumen Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lumen Technologies guide.
You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Is Diversified Telecommunication Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lumen Technologies. If investors know Lumen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lumen Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.89)
Earnings Share
(2.10)
Revenue Per Share
13.927
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.11)
Return On Assets
0.0089
The market value of Lumen Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lumen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lumen Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lumen Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lumen Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lumen Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lumen Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lumen Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lumen Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.