Magnolia Stock Analysis

MGY
 Stock
  

USD 25.33  0.30  1.17%   

The current bullish price patterns experienced by current Magnolia Oil Gas shareholders may encourage investors to take a closer look at the firm as it is trading at a share price of 25.33 on 1,341,796 in trading volume. The company executives have been very successful in rebalancing the firm assets at opportune times to take advantage of market volatility in November. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 3.46. The above-average risk is mostly attributed to market volatility and speculations regarding some of the upcoming earning calls from Magnolia Oil Gas partners.
Additionally, see Correlation Analysis.
  
The Magnolia Oil stock analysis report makes it easy to digest most publicly released information about Magnolia Oil and get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, and announcements. Magnolia Stock analysis module also helps to analyze the Magnolia Oil price relationship with some important fundamental indicators such as market cap and management efficiency.

Magnolia Stock Analysis Notes

About 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Magnolia Oil was now reported as 6.78. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.46. Magnolia Oil Gas last dividend was issued on the 4th of November 2022. Magnolia Oil Gas Corporation engages in the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids reserves in the United States. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas. Magnolia Oil operates under Oil Gas EP classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 192 people. To find out more about Magnolia Oil Gas contact Stephen Chazen at 713 842 9050 or learn more at https://www.magnoliaoilgas.com.

Magnolia Oil Gas Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Magnolia Oil's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Magnolia Oil Gas or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Magnolia Oil Gas has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Magnolia Oil Gas has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 1st of December 2022 Magnolia Oil paid $ 0.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Goldman Sachs Raises Price Target on Magnolia Oil Gas to 32 From 30, Maintains Buy Rating - Marketscreener.com

Magnolia Oil Gas Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Magnolia Oil to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Magnolia Oil previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
Upcoming Quarterly Report17th of February 2022
Next Financial Report3rd of May 2022
Next Fiscal Quarter End31st of December 2021
Next Fiscal Year End17th of February 2022
Last Quarter Report30th of September 2021
Last Financial Announcement31st of December 2020

Magnolia Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Magnolia Oil's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-11-05
2020-09-300.070.06-0.0114 
2020-08-05
2020-06-30-0.06-0.08-0.0233 
2020-02-19
2019-12-310.070.05-0.0228 
View All Earnings Estimates

Magnolia Oil SEC Filings

SEC filings are important regulatory documents required of all public companies to provide to potential investors. Magnolia Oil prospectus issued under the guidelines of SEC is a legal declaration of facts and statements to ensure that Magnolia Oil investors are not misled. SEC filings are required by law to meet strict transparency standards and other important legal constraints. Although many companies may choose careful wording to disguise some material information, SEC filings make crucial Magnolia Oil Gas specific information freely available to individual and institutional investors to make a timely investment decision.
10th of August 2022
Unclassified Corporate Event
View
2nd of August 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Regulation FD Disclosure. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
View
6th of June 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Other Events. Unclassified Corporate Event
View
9th of May 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Regulation FD Disclosure. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
View
5th of May 2022
Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders
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15th of March 2022
Unclassified Corporate Event
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14th of March 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Other Events
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16th of February 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Regulation FD Disclosure. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
View

Magnolia Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with total capitalization of 7.08 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Magnolia Oil's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Magnolia Oil's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and these looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Magnolia Profitablity

Magnolia Oil's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Magnolia Oil's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Magnolia Oil is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Magnolia Oil's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Magnolia Oil's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Magnolia Oil's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.48 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.64 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated 0.01 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Return on Investment 56.21  60.65 
Return on Average Assets 26.08  28.14 
Return on Average Equity 61.14  65.97 
Return on Invested Capital 0.30  0.32 
Return on Sales 0.42  0.46 

Management Efficiency

The entity has Return on Asset of 0.3467 % which means that on every $100 spent on asset, it made $0.3467 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows return on shareholders equity (ROE) of 0.8316 %, implying that it generated $0.8316 on every 100 dollars invested. Magnolia Oil management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well magnolia oil gas manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return on Investment is likely to rise to 60.65 in 2022. Return on Average Assets is likely to rise to 28.14 in 2022. Magnolia Oil Current Assets are fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Magnolia Oil reported Current Assets of 518.79 Million in 2021. Assets Non Current is likely to rise to about 1.3 B in 2022, whereas Total Assets are likely to drop slightly above 1.7 B in 2022.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Book Value per Share 4.68  5.22 
Enterprise Value over EBIT 10.00  10.26 
Enterprise Value over EBITDA 6.88  7.07 
Price to Book Value 5.34  5.48 
Tangible Assets Book Value per Share 10.02  10.57 
Enterprise Value4.5 B3.9 B
Tangible Asset Value1.7 BB

Technical Drivers

As of the 2nd of December, Magnolia Oil secures the Mean Deviation of 2.81, downside deviation of 3.67, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0824. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Magnolia Oil Gas, as well as the relationship between them. Strictly speaking, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of past prices, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to analyze and collect data for nineteen technical drivers for Magnolia Oil, which can be compared to its peers in the industry. Please verify Magnolia Oil Gas semi deviation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the Jensen Alpha and semi variance to decide if Magnolia Oil Gas is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 25.33 per share. Given that Magnolia Oil Gas has jensen alpha of (0.00085073), we recommend you to check Magnolia Oil's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Magnolia Oil Gas Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was twenty-three with a total number of output elements of thirty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Magnolia Oil middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Magnolia Oil Gas. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.
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Magnolia Oil Gas Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Magnolia Oil insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Magnolia Oil's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Magnolia Oil insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Magnolia Oil Technical and Predictive Indicators

Magnolia Oil Forecast Models

Magnolia Oil time-series forecasting models is one of many Magnolia Oil's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Magnolia Oil's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Magnolia Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Magnolia Oil prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Magnolia shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas, a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Magnolia Oil. By using and applying Magnolia Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Magnolia entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Operating Margin 64.26  55.35 
EBITDA Margin 64.94  59.86 
Gross Margin 0.87  0.94 
Profit Margin 44.50  38.14 

Current Magnolia Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Magnolia analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Magnolia analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
22.0Buy7Odds
Magnolia Oil Gas current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Magnolia analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Magnolia stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Magnolia Oil Gas, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Magnolia conference calls.
Magnolia Analyst Advice Details

Magnolia Stock Analysis Indicators

Magnolia Oil Gas stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Magnolia Oil stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Magnolia Oil shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Magnolia Oil stock analysis, traders can identify Magnolia Oil position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow192561000.00
Common Stock Shares Outstanding166270000.00
Total Stockholder Equity816757000.00
DescriptionMagnolia Oil Gas Corporation engages in the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids reserves in the United States. Its properties are located primarily in Karnes
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-243442000.00
Tax Provision8851000.00
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.908
Property Plant And Equipment Net1216087000.00
Retained Earnings-708168000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments366982000.00
Retained Earnings Total Equity-708168000.00
Cash366982000.00
CodeMGY
Accounts Payable127909000.00
Net Debt21105000.00
50 Day M A23.9672
Total Current Liabilities218545000.00
Currency CodeUSD
Other Operating Expenses475757000.00
Non Current Assets Total1227949000.00
Forward Price Earnings6.5189
Common Stock Total Equity24000.00
Non Currrent Assets Other11862000.00
Additionally, see Correlation Analysis. Note that the Magnolia Oil Gas information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Magnolia Oil's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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When running Magnolia Oil Gas price analysis, check to measure Magnolia Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Magnolia Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Magnolia Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Magnolia Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Magnolia Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Magnolia Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Magnolia Oil's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Magnolia Oil. If investors know Magnolia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Magnolia Oil listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.91
Market Capitalization
7.1 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.69
Return On Assets
0.35
Return On Equity
0.83
The market value of Magnolia Oil Gas is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Magnolia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Magnolia Oil's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Magnolia Oil's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Magnolia Oil's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Magnolia Oil's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Magnolia Oil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Magnolia Oil value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Magnolia Oil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.