Magnolia Oil Gas Stock Analysis

MGY Stock  USD 26.11  0.12  0.46%   
Magnolia Oil Gas is undervalued with Real Value of 27.99 and Target Price of 26.83. The main objective of Magnolia Oil stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Magnolia Oil Gas is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Magnolia Oil's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Magnolia Oil's performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Magnolia Oil's stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Magnolia Oil stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Magnolia Oil is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Magnolia Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Magnolia Oil's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Magnolia Oil Gas. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Magnolia Stock Analysis Notes

About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Magnolia Oil was now reported as 9.24. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.46. Magnolia Oil Gas last dividend was issued on the 15th of February 2024. Magnolia Oil Gas Corporation engages in the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids reserves in the United States. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas. Magnolia Oil operates under Oil Gas EP classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 192 people. To find out more about Magnolia Oil Gas contact Stephen Chazen at 713 842 9050 or learn more at https://www.magnoliaoilgas.com.

Magnolia Oil Gas Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Magnolia Oil's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Magnolia Oil Gas or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 1st of March 2024 Magnolia Oil paid $ 0.13 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investing.com: Piper Sandler downgrades Magnolia Oil Gas stock on asset performance concerns

Magnolia Oil Gas Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Magnolia Oil to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Magnolia Oil previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
14th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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1st of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
14th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Magnolia Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Magnolia Oil's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-11-05
2020-09-300.070.06-0.0114 
2020-08-05
2020-06-30-0.06-0.08-0.0233 
2020-02-19
2019-12-310.070.05-0.0228 
View All Earnings Estimates

Magnolia Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Magnolia Oil is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Magnolia Oil Gas backward and forwards among themselves. Magnolia Oil's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Magnolia Oil's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Victory Capital Management Inc.2023-12-31
6.2 M
Silvercrest Asset Management Group Llc2023-12-31
4.7 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
4.1 M
Gw&k Investment Management, Llc2023-12-31
3.7 M
Wasatch Advisors Lp2023-12-31
3.7 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
3.5 M
Stephens Inv Mgmt Group Llc2023-12-31
3.1 M
Allspring Global Investments Holdings, Llc2023-12-31
M
Systematic Financial Management Lp2023-12-31
2.9 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
18.7 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
17.8 M
Note, although Magnolia Oil's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Magnolia Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 5.31 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Magnolia Oil's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Magnolia Oil's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Magnolia Profitablity

Magnolia Oil's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Magnolia Oil's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Magnolia Oil is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Magnolia Oil's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Magnolia Oil's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Magnolia Oil's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.32 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.43 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.43 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.14  0.15 
Return On Capital Employed 0.23  0.13 
Return On Assets 0.14  0.15 
Return On Equity 0.23  0.24 

Management Efficiency

Magnolia Oil Gas has Return on Asset of 0.1254 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.1254 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.2443 %, implying that it generated $0.2443 on every 100 dollars invested. Magnolia Oil's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Magnolia Oil manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Magnolia Oil's Return On Tangible Assets are fairly stable compared to the past year. Return On Assets is likely to rise to 0.15 in 2024, whereas Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop 0.13 in 2024. At this time, Magnolia Oil's Return On Tangible Assets are fairly stable compared to the past year. Intangibles To Total Assets is likely to rise to 0.01 in 2024, whereas Total Assets are likely to drop slightly above 2.3 B in 2024.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 8.99  8.61 
Net Current Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 10.00  11.29 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 4.57  4.80 
Price Book Value Ratio 2.37  1.69 
Enterprise Value Multiple 4.57  4.80 
Price Fair Value 2.37  1.69 
Enterprise Value1.8 B1.6 B
The analysis of Magnolia Oil's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Magnolia Oil's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Magnolia Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Dividend Yield
0.0183
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0183
Forward Dividend Rate
0.48
Beta
2.049

Technical Drivers

As of the 24th of April, Magnolia Oil secures the Downside Deviation of 1.2, risk adjusted performance of 0.2081, and Mean Deviation of 0.9873. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Magnolia Oil Gas, as well as the relationship between them. Strictly speaking, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of past prices, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to analyze and collect data for nineteen technical drivers for Magnolia Oil, which can be compared to its peers in the industry. Please verify Magnolia Oil Gas semi deviation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the Jensen Alpha and semi variance to decide if Magnolia Oil Gas is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 26.11 per share. Given that Magnolia Oil Gas has jensen alpha of 0.4053, we recommend you to check Magnolia Oil's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Magnolia Oil Gas Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was two with a total number of output elements of fifty-nine. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Magnolia Oil middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Magnolia Oil Gas. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Magnolia Oil Gas Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Magnolia Oil insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Magnolia Oil's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Magnolia Oil insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Magnolia Oil Predictive Daily Indicators

Magnolia Oil intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Magnolia Oil stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Magnolia Oil Corporate Filings

13A
10th of April 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
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13A
5th of April 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
21st of March 2024
Other Reports
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F4
5th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
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10K
15th of February 2024
Annual report required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of a company financial performance
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13A
14th of February 2024
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
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F3
8th of February 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
8K
6th of February 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

Magnolia Oil Forecast Models

Magnolia Oil's time-series forecasting models are one of many Magnolia Oil's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Magnolia Oil's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Magnolia Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Magnolia Oil prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Magnolia shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Magnolia Oil. By using and applying Magnolia Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Magnolia entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.45  0.47 
Operating Profit Margin 0.45  0.47 
Net Profit Margin 0.32  0.33 
Gross Profit Margin 0.56  0.46 

Current Magnolia Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Magnolia analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Magnolia analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
26.83Buy16Odds
Magnolia Oil Gas current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Magnolia analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Magnolia stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Magnolia Oil Gas, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Magnolia conference calls.
Magnolia Analyst Advice Details

Magnolia Stock Analysis Indicators

Magnolia Oil Gas stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Magnolia Oil stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Magnolia Oil shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Magnolia Oil stock analysis, traders can identify Magnolia Oil position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow675.4 M
Long Term Debt392.8 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding188.4 M
Total Stockholder Equity1.7 B
Tax Provision17 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.562
Property Plant And Equipment Net2.1 B
Cash And Short Term Investments401.1 M
Cash401.1 M
Accounts Payable193.2 M
Net Debt8.4 M
50 Day M A24.2584
Total Current Liabilities314.9 M
Other Operating Expenses676.8 M
Non Current Assets Total2.2 B
Forward Price Earnings13.7552
Non Currrent Assets Other7.1 M
Stock Based Compensation16.2 M
When determining whether Magnolia Oil Gas offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Magnolia Oil's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Magnolia Oil Gas Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Magnolia Oil Gas Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Magnolia Oil Gas. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
Note that the Magnolia Oil Gas information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Magnolia Oil's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.

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When running Magnolia Oil's price analysis, check to measure Magnolia Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Magnolia Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Magnolia Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Magnolia Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Magnolia Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Magnolia Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Magnolia Oil's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Magnolia Oil. If investors know Magnolia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Magnolia Oil listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.56)
Dividend Share
0.475
Earnings Share
2.04
Revenue Per Share
6.52
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.08)
The market value of Magnolia Oil Gas is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Magnolia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Magnolia Oil's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Magnolia Oil's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Magnolia Oil's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Magnolia Oil's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Magnolia Oil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Magnolia Oil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Magnolia Oil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.