National Cinemedia Stock Analysis
NCMI Stock | USD 4.66 0.14 3.10% |
National CineMedia is fairly valued with Real Value of 4.59 and Target Price of 4.85. The main objective of National CineMedia stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what National CineMedia is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of National CineMedia's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect National CineMedia's performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of National CineMedia's stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The National CineMedia stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. National CineMedia is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. National Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and National CineMedia's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
National |
National Stock Analysis Notes
About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.05. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. National CineMedia recorded earning per share (EPS) of 14.34. The entity last dividend was issued on the 19th of August 2022. The firm had 1:10 split on the 4th of August 2023. National CineMedia, Inc., through its subsidiary, National CineMedia, LLC, operates cinema advertising network in North America. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Centennial, Colorado. National Cinemedia operates under Advertising Agencies classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 346 people. To find out more about National CineMedia contact Thomas Lesinski at 303 792 3600 or learn more at https://www.ncm.com.National CineMedia Quarterly Total Revenue |
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National CineMedia Investment Alerts
Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. National CineMedia's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding National CineMedia or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
National CineMedia had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
The company currently holds 16 M in liabilities. National CineMedia has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist National CineMedia until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, National CineMedia's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like National CineMedia sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for National to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about National CineMedia's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
National CineMedia currently holds about 73.4 M in cash with (7.9 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.9. | |
National CineMedia has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
Roughly 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
Latest headline from news.google.com: National CineMedia Rating Increased to Hold at StockNews.com - Defense World |
National CineMedia Upcoming and Recent Events
Earnings reports are used by National CineMedia to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to National CineMedia previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
6th of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
14th of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
6th of February 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
National Largest EPS Surprises
Earnings surprises can significantly impact National CineMedia's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2013-05-02 | 2013-03-31 | -0.01 | -0.0183 | -0.0083 | 83 | ||
2022-03-03 | 2021-12-31 | -0.04 | -0.05 | -0.01 | 25 | ||
2020-05-05 | 2020-03-31 | -0.04 | -0.05 | -0.01 | 25 |
National CineMedia Thematic Classifications
In addition to having National CineMedia stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
EntertainmentUSA Equities from Entertainment industry as classified by Fama & French | ||
AdvertisingAdvertising and advertising agencies | ||
Communication ServicesNetworking, telecom, long distance carriers, and other communication services | ||
CompulsionAddiction driven consumer products and services |
National Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as National CineMedia is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading National CineMedia backward and forwards among themselves. National CineMedia's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase National CineMedia's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares | Whitebox Advisors, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.5 M | Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder Advisers, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.4 M | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2023-12-31 | 1.3 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 980.2 K | Ancora Advisors Llc | 2023-12-31 | 692 K | Psquared Asset Management Ag | 2023-12-31 | 683.1 K | Citigroup Inc | 2023-12-31 | 609.1 K | Manatuck Hill Partners Llc | 2023-12-31 | 600 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2023-12-31 | 572.6 K | Blantyre Capital Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 26.7 M | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2023-12-31 | 6 M |
National Market Capitalization
The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 438.55 M. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate National CineMedia's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by National CineMedia's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.National Profitablity
National CineMedia's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase National CineMedia's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, National CineMedia is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, National CineMedia's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of National CineMedia's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of National CineMedia's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 4.27 %, which can signify that it executes well on its competitive strategies and has good control over its expenditures. This is normal as compared to the sector avarege. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.22 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.22. Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Return On Tangible Assets | (0.49) | (0.46) | |
Return On Capital Employed | (0.07) | (0.07) | |
Return On Assets | (0.14) | (0.14) | |
Return On Equity | 0.47 | 0.49 |
Management Efficiency
National CineMedia has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0251) % which means that it has lost $0.0251 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. National CineMedia's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well National CineMedia manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The National CineMedia's current Return On Equity is estimated to increase to 0.49, while Return On Tangible Assets are forecasted to increase to (0.46). As of now, National CineMedia's Intangible Assets are increasing as compared to previous years. The National CineMedia's current Non Current Assets Total is estimated to increase to about 708.9 M, while Non Currrent Assets Other are projected to decrease to under 8.4 M.Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Book Value Per Share | (34.46) | (36.18) | |
Net Current Asset Value | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
Tangible Asset Value | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
Tangible Book Value Per Share | (114.99) | (120.74) | |
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | (54.81) | (52.07) | |
Price Book Value Ratio | (1.08) | (1.03) | |
Enterprise Value Multiple | (54.81) | (52.07) | |
Price Fair Value | (1.08) | (1.03) | |
Enterprise Value | 1.2 B | 1.5 B |
The analysis of National CineMedia's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze National CineMedia's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of National Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Beta 1.91 |
Technical Drivers
As of the 24th of April, National CineMedia secures the Downside Deviation of 3.21, mean deviation of 2.68, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0373. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of National CineMedia, as well as the relationship between them. Strictly speaking, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of past prices, or the prices will eventually revert. We have collected data for nineteen technical drivers for National CineMedia, which can be compared to its peers in the industry. Please verify National CineMedia information ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and expected short fall to decide if National CineMedia is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 4.66 per share. Given that National CineMedia has jensen alpha of 0.0368, we recommend you to check National CineMedia's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.National CineMedia Price Movement Analysis
Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. National CineMedia middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for National CineMedia. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.
National CineMedia Insider Trading Activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific National CineMedia insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on National CineMedia's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases National CineMedia insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Aulestia Bernadette S. over three weeks ago Acquisition by Aulestia Bernadette S. of 8502 shares of National CineMedia at 4.705 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Standard General Lp over a month ago Purchase by Standard General Lp of 56050 shares of National CineMedia | ||
Scott Felenstein over a month ago Disposition of 253 shares by Scott Felenstein of National CineMedia subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Ronnie Ng over a month ago Disposition of 2233 shares by Ronnie Ng of National CineMedia subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Ronnie Ng over two months ago Disposition of 3422 shares by Ronnie Ng of National CineMedia at 4.1235 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Zalaznick Lauren over three months ago Acquisition by Zalaznick Lauren of 6889 shares of National CineMedia subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Maria Woods over six months ago Exercise or conversion by Maria Woods of 1641 shares of National CineMedia subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Zalaznick Lauren over six months ago Acquisition by Zalaznick Lauren of 28450 shares of National CineMedia subject to Rule 16b-3 |
National CineMedia Predictive Daily Indicators
National CineMedia intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of National CineMedia stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Accumulation Distribution | 37193.21 | |||
Daily Balance Of Power | 0.5833 | |||
Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | |||
Day Median Price | 4.65 | |||
Day Typical Price | 4.65 | |||
Price Action Indicator | 0.08 | |||
Period Momentum Indicator | 0.14 |
National CineMedia Corporate Filings
28th of March 2024 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
8K | 22nd of March 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
8K | 18th of March 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
F4 | 27th of February 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 13th of February 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
8K | 2nd of February 2024 An amendment to a previously filed Form 8-K | ViewVerify |
F4 | 22nd of January 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 16th of November 2023 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
National CineMedia Forecast Models
National CineMedia's time-series forecasting models are one of many National CineMedia's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary National CineMedia's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.About National Stock Analysis
Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how National CineMedia prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling National shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as National CineMedia. By using and applying National Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying National entry and exit points for their positions.
Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Pretax Profit Margin | 0.40 | 0.30 | |
Operating Profit Margin | (0.66) | (0.62) | |
Net Loss | (1.40) | (1.33) | |
Gross Profit Margin | 0.89 | 0.62 |
Current National Analysis - Recommendations
We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. National analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. National analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
4.85 | Buy | 4 | Odds |
Most National analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand National stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of National CineMedia, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to National conference calls.
National Stock Analysis Indicators
National CineMedia stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how National CineMedia stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading National CineMedia shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying National CineMedia stock analysis, traders can identify National CineMedia position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow | 63.8 M | |
Long Term Debt | 10 M | |
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 48.6 M | |
Total Stockholder Equity | 434.5 M | |
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | -0.666 | |
Property Plant And Equipment Net | 20.1 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 37.6 M | |
Cash | 37.6 M | |
Accounts Payable | 21.7 M | |
Net Debt | -21.6 M | |
50 Day M A | 4.5456 | |
Total Current Liabilities | 58.4 M | |
Other Operating Expenses | 192.5 M | |
Non Current Assets Total | 423.9 M | |
Forward Price Earnings | 52.356 | |
Non Currrent Assets Other | 8.8 M | |
Stock Based Compensation | 4.5 M |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in National CineMedia. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population. For more detail on how to invest in National Stock please use our How to Invest in National CineMedia guide.You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
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When running National CineMedia's price analysis, check to measure National CineMedia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National CineMedia is operating at the current time. Most of National CineMedia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National CineMedia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National CineMedia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National CineMedia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is National CineMedia's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National CineMedia. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National CineMedia listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.67) | Earnings Share 14.34 | Revenue Per Share 3.45 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets (0.03) |
The market value of National CineMedia is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National CineMedia's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National CineMedia's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National CineMedia's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National CineMedia's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between National CineMedia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if National CineMedia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National CineMedia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.