Northern Oil Gas Stock Analysis

NOG Stock  USD 43.11  0.45  1.05%   
Northern Oil Gas is undervalued with Real Value of 49.29 and Target Price of 51.17. The main objective of Northern Oil stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Northern Oil Gas is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Northern Oil's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Northern Oil's performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Northern Oil's stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Northern Oil stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Northern Oil is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Northern Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Northern Oil's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Northern Oil Gas. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.

Northern Stock Analysis Notes

About 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Northern Oil was now reported as 20.42. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.32. Northern Oil Gas recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.03. The entity last dividend was issued on the 27th of March 2024. The firm had 1:10 split on the 21st of September 2020. Northern Oil and Gas, Inc., an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, exploitation, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas properties in the United States. As of December 31, 2021, it owned working interests in 7,436 gross producing wells and had proved reserves of 287,682 million barrels of oil equivalent. Northern Oil operates under Oil Gas EP classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 25 people. To find out more about Northern Oil Gas contact Michael Reger at 952 476 9800 or learn more at https://www.noginc.com.

Northern Oil Gas Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Northern Oil's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Northern Oil Gas or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
The company has 1.84 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 7.22, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Northern Oil Gas has a current ratio of 0.59, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Northern Oil until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Northern Oil's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Northern Oil Gas sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Northern to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Northern Oil's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 93.0% of Northern Oil shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Arizona State Retirement System Grows Stock Position in Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. - Defense World

Northern Oil Gas Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Northern Oil to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Northern Oil previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
22nd of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
22nd of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Northern Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Northern Oil's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2021-05-07
2021-03-310.560.620.0610 
2020-05-11
2020-03-310.340.40.0617 
2017-08-08
2017-06-30-0.14-0.05860.081458 
View All Earnings Estimates

Northern Oil Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Northern Oil stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Millennials Best Idea
Millennials Best
Firms that are involved in making products or providing services to millennials
SRI Sustainable Growth Idea
SRI Sustainable Growth
Large and mid-sized companies that operate under the guidelines of socially responsible investing - SRI

Northern Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Northern Oil is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Northern Oil Gas backward and forwards among themselves. Northern Oil's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Northern Oil's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Westfield Capital Management Company, Lp2023-12-31
1.5 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
1.5 M
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2023-12-31
1.4 M
Principal Financial Group Inc2023-12-31
1.4 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
1.4 M
Allspring Global Investments Holdings, Llc2023-12-31
1.4 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
1.2 M
Alliancebernstein L.p.2023-12-31
1.1 M
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
1.1 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
13.7 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
10.6 M
Note, although Northern Oil's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Northern Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 4.31 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Northern Oil's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Northern Oil's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Northern Profitablity

Northern Oil's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Northern Oil's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Northern Oil is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Northern Oil's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Northern Oil's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Northern Oil's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.53 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.97 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.97 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.21  0.22 
Return On Capital Employed 0.21  0.22 
Return On Assets 0.21  0.22 
Return On Equity 0.45  0.46 

Management Efficiency

Northern Oil Gas has Return on Asset of 0.1932 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.1932 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.6609 %, implying that it generated $0.6609 on every 100 dollars invested. Northern Oil's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Northern Oil manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The Northern Oil's current Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to increase to 0.22. The Northern Oil's current Return On Capital Employed is estimated to increase to 0.22. At this time, Northern Oil's Other Current Assets are most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Northern Oil's current Total Current Assets is estimated to increase to about 534.9 M, while Intangibles To Total Assets are projected to decrease to (0.01).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 22.38  18.94 
Net Current Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 22.38  18.94 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 3.84  4.03 
Price Book Value Ratio 1.66  1.74 
Enterprise Value Multiple 3.84  4.03 
Price Fair Value 1.66  1.74 
Enterprise Value5.2 B5.5 B
The analysis of Northern Oil's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Northern Oil's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Northern Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Dividend Yield
0.0375
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0375
Forward Dividend Rate
1.6
Beta
1.884

Technical Drivers

As of the 23rd of April, Northern Oil secures the Downside Deviation of 1.59, risk adjusted performance of 0.1576, and Mean Deviation of 1.1. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Northern Oil Gas, as well as the relationship between them. Strictly speaking, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of past prices, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to break down and interpolate data for nineteen technical drivers for Northern Oil, which can be compared to its peers in the industry. Please verify Northern Oil Gas information ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and expected short fall to decide if Northern Oil Gas is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 43.11 per share. Given that Northern Oil Gas has jensen alpha of 0.2869, we recommend you to check Northern Oil's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Northern Oil Gas Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Northern Oil middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Northern Oil Gas. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Northern Oil Outstanding Bonds

Northern Oil issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Northern Oil Gas uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Northern bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Northern Oil Gas has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Northern Oil Predictive Daily Indicators

Northern Oil intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Northern Oil stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Northern Oil Corporate Filings

8K
16th of April 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
11th of April 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
9th of April 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
4th of April 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
3rd of April 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
1st of April 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
19th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
5th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Northern Oil Forecast Models

Northern Oil's time-series forecasting models are one of many Northern Oil's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Northern Oil's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Northern Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Northern Oil prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Northern shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Northern Oil. By using and applying Northern Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Northern entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.52  0.55 
Operating Profit Margin 0.46  0.48 
Net Profit Margin 0.48  0.51 
Gross Profit Margin 0.48  0.55 

Current Northern Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Northern analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Northern analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
51.17Strong Buy12Odds
Northern Oil Gas current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Northern analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Northern stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Northern Oil Gas, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Northern conference calls.
Northern Analyst Advice Details

Northern Stock Analysis Indicators

Northern Oil Gas stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Northern Oil stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Northern Oil shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Northern Oil stock analysis, traders can identify Northern Oil position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow2.5 M
Long Term Debt1.8 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding92.1 M
Total Stockholder EquityB
Tax Provision19 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y1.379
Property Plant And Equipment Net3.9 B
Cash And Short Term Investments8.2 M
Cash8.2 M
Accounts Payable192.7 M
Net Debt1.8 B
50 Day M A38.0276
Total Current Liabilities385.8 M
Other Operating ExpensesB
Non Current Assets TotalB
Forward Price Earnings7.9491
Non Currrent Assets Other30.2 M
Stock Based Compensation5.7 M
When determining whether Northern Oil Gas is a strong investment it is important to analyze Northern Oil's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Northern Oil's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Northern Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Northern Oil Gas. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

Complementary Tools for Northern Stock analysis

When running Northern Oil's price analysis, check to measure Northern Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Northern Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Northern Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Northern Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Northern Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Northern Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Analyst Advice
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
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Is Northern Oil's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Northern Oil. If investors know Northern will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Northern Oil listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.379
Dividend Share
1.49
Earnings Share
10.03
Revenue Per Share
19.095
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.226
The market value of Northern Oil Gas is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Northern that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Northern Oil's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Northern Oil's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Northern Oil's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Northern Oil's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Northern Oil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Northern Oil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Northern Oil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.