Napco Security Technologies Stock Analysis
NSSC Stock | USD 44.00 0.68 1.57% |
NAPCO Security Technologies is overvalued with Real Value of 38.47 and Target Price of 28.8. The main objective of NAPCO Security stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what NAPCO Security Technologies is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of NAPCO Security's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect NAPCO Security's performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of NAPCO Security's stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The NAPCO Security stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. NAPCO Security is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. NAPCO Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and NAPCO Security's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
NAPCO |
NAPCO Stock Analysis Notes
About 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 29th of February 2024. NAPCO Security Techn had 2:1 split on the 5th of January 2022. Napco Security Technologies, Inc. develops, manufactures, and sells electronic security products in the United States and internationally. Napco Security Technologies, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Amityville, New York. Napco Sec operates under Security Protection Services classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1149 people. To find out more about NAPCO Security Technologies contact Richard Soloway at 631 842 9400 or learn more at https://www.napcosecurity.com.NAPCO Security Quarterly Total Revenue |
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NAPCO Security Techn Investment Alerts
Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. NAPCO Security's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding NAPCO Security Technologies or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
NAPCO Security Techn had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
On 22nd of March 2024 NAPCO Security paid $ 0.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
Latest headline from news.google.com: How the price action is used to our Advantage - News Stock Traders Daily |
NAPCO Security Techn Upcoming and Recent Events
Earnings reports are used by NAPCO Security to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to NAPCO Security previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
5th of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
13th of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
3rd of September 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
30th of June 2023 Last Financial Announcement | View |
NAPCO Largest EPS Surprises
Earnings surprises can significantly impact NAPCO Security's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-05-09 | 2022-03-31 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 14 | ||
2020-02-03 | 2019-12-31 | 0.09 | 0.1 | 0.01 | 11 | ||
2018-05-07 | 2018-03-31 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 25 |
NAPCO Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as NAPCO Security is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NAPCO Security Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. NAPCO Security's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase NAPCO Security's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares | State Street Corporation | 2023-12-31 | 696.1 K | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2023-12-31 | 691.1 K | Granite Investment Partners, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 674.1 K | Divisadero Street Capital Management, Lp | 2023-12-31 | 659.5 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 576 K | Wasatch Advisors Lp | 2023-12-31 | 571.4 K | Handelsbanken Fonder Ab | 2023-12-31 | 570 K | Royal Bank Of Canada | 2023-12-31 | 536.3 K | Kennedy Capital Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 462.7 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 2.5 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 2.5 M |
NAPCO Market Capitalization
The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 1.59 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate NAPCO Security's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by NAPCO Security's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.NAPCO Profitablity
NAPCO Security's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase NAPCO Security's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, NAPCO Security is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, NAPCO Security's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of NAPCO Security's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of NAPCO Security's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.24 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.29 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.29. Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Return On Tangible Assets | 0.15 | 0.16 | |
Return On Capital Employed | 0.24 | 0.25 | |
Return On Assets | 0.16 | 0.15 | |
Return On Equity | 0.22 | 0.23 |
Management Efficiency
NAPCO Security Techn has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.1736 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.1736 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.3006 %, meaning that it created $0.3006 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. NAPCO Security's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well NAPCO Security manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At present, NAPCO Security's Return On Capital Employed is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Return On Equity is expected to grow to 0.23, whereas Return On Assets are forecasted to decline to 0.15. At present, NAPCO Security's Non Currrent Assets Other are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Other Current Assets is expected to grow to about 4.1 M, whereas Non Current Assets Total are forecasted to decline to about 21.6 M.Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Book Value Per Share | 3.41 | 3.58 | |
Net Current Asset Value | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
Tangible Asset Value | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
Tangible Book Value Per Share | 3.31 | 3.48 | |
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 34.93 | 36.68 | |
Price Book Value Ratio | 8.23 | 8.64 | |
Enterprise Value Multiple | 34.93 | 36.68 | |
Price Fair Value | 8.23 | 8.64 | |
Enterprise Value | 103.3 M | 108.5 M |
The analysis of NAPCO Security's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze NAPCO Security's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of NAPCO Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Dividend Yield 0.0092 | Forward Dividend Yield 0.0092 | Forward Dividend Rate 0.4 | Beta 1.524 |
Technical Drivers
As of the 25th of April, NAPCO Security secures the Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.3828, downside deviation of 2.1, and Mean Deviation of 1.7. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check helpful technical drivers of NAPCO Security Techn, as well as the relationship between them. Strictly speaking, you can use this information to find out if the entity will indeed mirror its model of past prices, or the prices will eventually revert. We are able to interpolate and collect nineteen technical drivers for NAPCO Security, which can be compared to its peers in the industry. Please verify NAPCO Security Techn variance, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and semi variance to decide if NAPCO Security Technologies is priced fairly, providing market reflects its recent price of 44.0 per share. Given that NAPCO Security Techn has jensen alpha of 0.3138, we recommend you to check NAPCO Security's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself in the future.NAPCO Security Techn Price Movement Analysis
The output start index for this execution was nine with a total number of output elements of fifty-two. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. NAPCO Security middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for NAPCO Security Techn. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.
NAPCO Security Techn Insider Trading Activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific NAPCO Security insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on NAPCO Security's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases NAPCO Security insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Richard Soloway over a month ago Disposition of 2000000 shares by Richard Soloway of NAPCO Security at 40.75 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Richard Soloway over two months ago Sale by Richard Soloway of 28000 shares of NAPCO Security | ||
Andrew Wilder over a year ago Exercise or conversion by Andrew Wilder of 5000 shares of NAPCO Security subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Richard Soloway over a year ago Sale by Richard Soloway of 2012500 shares of NAPCO Security |
NAPCO Security Predictive Daily Indicators
NAPCO Security intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of NAPCO Security stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
NAPCO Security Corporate Filings
F4 | 10th of April 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 14th of March 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 12th of March 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
7th of March 2024 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
ASR | 5th of March 2024 Automatic Shelf Registration Statement under Rule 415 filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) | ViewVerify |
F4 | 15th of February 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
14th of February 2024 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
8K | 13th of February 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
NAPCO Security Forecast Models
NAPCO Security's time-series forecasting models are one of many NAPCO Security's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary NAPCO Security's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.About NAPCO Stock Analysis
Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how NAPCO Security prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling NAPCO shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as NAPCO Security. By using and applying NAPCO Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying NAPCO entry and exit points for their positions.
Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Pretax Profit Margin | 0.18 | 0.17 | |
Operating Profit Margin | 0.21 | 0.22 | |
Net Profit Margin | 0.14 | 0.15 | |
Gross Profit Margin | 0.39 | 0.26 |
Current NAPCO Analysis - Recommendations
We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. NAPCO analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. NAPCO analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
28.8 | Buy | 5 | Odds |
Most NAPCO analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand NAPCO stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of NAPCO Security Techn, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to NAPCO conference calls.
NAPCO Stock Analysis Indicators
NAPCO Security Technologies stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how NAPCO Security stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading NAPCO Security shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying NAPCO Security stock analysis, traders can identify NAPCO Security position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow | 41.7 M | |
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37 M | |
Total Stockholder Equity | 140.2 M | |
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -28.3 M | |
Tax Provision | 4.1 M | |
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | 2.182 | |
Property Plant And Equipment Net | 15.1 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 66.8 M | |
Cash | 36 M | |
Accounts Payable | 8.1 M | |
Net Debt | -30.3 M | |
50 Day M A | 41.4198 | |
Total Current Liabilities | 19.7 M | |
Other Operating Expenses | 139.7 M | |
Non Current Assets Total | 35.3 M | |
Forward Price Earnings | 33.0033 | |
Non Currrent Assets Other | 13.6 M | |
Stock Based Compensation | 1.5 M |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in NAPCO Security Technologies. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state. You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
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When running NAPCO Security's price analysis, check to measure NAPCO Security's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NAPCO Security is operating at the current time. Most of NAPCO Security's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NAPCO Security's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NAPCO Security's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NAPCO Security to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is NAPCO Security's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NAPCO Security. If investors know NAPCO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NAPCO Security listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.182 | Dividend Share 0.223 | Earnings Share 1.16 | Revenue Per Share 4.828 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.124 |
The market value of NAPCO Security Techn is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NAPCO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NAPCO Security's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NAPCO Security's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NAPCO Security's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NAPCO Security's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NAPCO Security's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NAPCO Security is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NAPCO Security's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.