Natura Stock Analysis

NTCO
 Stock
  

USD 4.37  0.10  2.24%   

The latest slide in stock price may encourage institutional investors to take a closer look at the firm as it is trading at a share price of 4.37 on 343,544 in trading volume. The company directors and management have failed to build on market volatilities in November. However, diversifying your overall positions with Natura Co may protect your principal portfolio during upcoming market swings. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 4.48. This high volatility is attributed to the latest market swings and not-so-good earnings reports for some of the Natura Co Holding partners.
Additionally, see Correlation Analysis.
  
The Natura Co stock analysis report makes it easy to digest most publicly released information about Natura Co and get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, and announcements. Natura Stock analysis module also helps to analyze the Natura Co price relationship with some important fundamental indicators such as market cap and management efficiency.

Natura Stock Analysis Notes

The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.69. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Natura Co Holding last dividend was issued on the 22nd of April 2022. Natura Co Holding S.A. develops, manufactures, distributes, and sells cosmetics, fragrances, and personal hygiene products. Natura Co Holding S.A. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in So Paulo, Brazil. Natura Co operates under Household Personal Products classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. To find out more about Natura Co Holding contact Joao Ferreira at 55 11 4389 7881 or learn more at https://ri.naturaeco.com/en.

Natura Co Holding Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Natura Co's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Natura Co Holding or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Natura Co Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Natura Co Holding has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Natura Co Holding currently holds about 4.28 B in cash with (114.17 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.23, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Natura Co Holding has a very strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from news.google.com: Natura Co Holding S.A. Q3 2022 Earnings Call Transcript - Seeking Alpha

Natura Co Holding Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Natura Co to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Natura Co previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
Upcoming Quarterly Report17th of May 2021
Next Financial Report13th of August 2021
Next Fiscal Quarter End31st of March 2021
Next Fiscal Year End3rd of March 2022
Last Quarter Report31st of December 2020
Last Financial Announcement31st of March 2020

Natura Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Natura Co's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-03-10
2021-12-310.08470.0653-0.019422 
2020-08-13
2020-06-30-0.07-0.0967-0.026738 
2020-11-12
2020-09-300.05040.12250.0721143 
View All Earnings Estimates

Natura Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with current market capitalization of 3.11 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Natura Co's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Natura Co's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and these looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Natura Profitablity

Natura Co's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Natura Co's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Natura Co is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Natura Co's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Natura Co's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Natura Co's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.03) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.03 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of 0.0.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Return on Average Assets 0.0081  0.008313 
Return on Average Equity 0.0468  0.0481 
Return on Invested Capital 0.18  0.19 
Return on Sales 0.19  0.19 

Management Efficiency

The entity has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0123 % which means that it generated profit of $0.0123 on every $100 spent on asset. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows return on stockholders equity (ROE) of (0.0403) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Natura Co management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well natura co holding manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return on Average Assets is expected to rise to 0.008313 this year. Return on Average Equity is expected to rise to 0.0481 this year. Natura Co Goodwill and Intangible Assets are quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Goodwill and Intangible Assets is estimated at 5.87 Billion. Asset Turnover is expected to rise to 0.73 this year, although the value of Total Assets will most likely fall to about 22.8 B.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Book Value per Share 6.31  6.12 
Tangible Assets Book Value per Share 30.22  28.44 
Tangible Asset Value18.5 B16.9 B

Technical Drivers

As of the 2nd of December, Natura Co secures the mean deviation of 3.5, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.10). In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Natura Co Holding, as well as the relationship between them. Strictly speaking, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of past prices, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to break down nineteen technical drivers for Natura Co, which can be compared to its peers in the industry. Please verify Natura Co Holding information ratio, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the Potential Upside and kurtosis to decide if Natura Co Holding is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 4.37 per share. Given that Natura Co Holding has jensen alpha of (0.44), we recommend you to check Natura Co's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Natura Co Holding Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was twenty-three with a total number of output elements of thirty-eight. The Triangular Moving Average shows Natura Co double smoothed mean price over a specified number of previous prices (i.e., averaged twice).
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Natura Co Predictive Daily Indicators

Natura Co intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Natura Co stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Natura Co Forecast Models

Natura Co time-series forecasting models is one of many Natura Co's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Natura Co's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Natura Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Natura Co prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Natura shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas, a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Natura Co. By using and applying Natura Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Natura entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
EBITDA Margin 0.34  0.34 
Gross Margin 0.83  0.85 
Profit Margin 0.0099  0.0102 

Current Natura Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Natura analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Natura analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
16.0Strong Sell1Odds
Natura Co Holding current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Natura analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Natura stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Natura Co Holding, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Natura conference calls.
Natura Analyst Advice Details

Natura Stock Analysis Indicators

Natura Co Holding stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Natura Co stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Natura Co shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Natura Co stock analysis, traders can identify Natura Co position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow5821672000.00
Common Stock Shares Outstanding687579318.00
Total Stockholder Equity28545570000.00
DescriptionNatura Co Holding S.A. develops, manufactures, distributes, and sells cosmetics, fragrances, and personal hygiene products. The companys products portfolio includes body care, face care, makeup, soaps, hair care, deodorants, oils, and other products, as well as deodorants, mens gr
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-652039000.00
Tax Provision-1047986000.00
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y2.748
Property Plant And Equipment Net8473377000.00
Retained Earnings1073900000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments5985997000.00
Cash4007257000.00
CodeNTCO
Accounts Payable6770579000.00
Net Debt12257437000.00
50 Day M A5.222
Total Current Liabilities13693877000.00
Currency CodeUSD
Other Operating Expenses37693977000.00
Non Current Assets Total42998613000.00
Forward Price Earnings20.9205
Non Currrent Assets Other4676658000.00
Additionally, see Correlation Analysis. Note that the Natura Co Holding information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Natura Co's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.

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When running Natura Co Holding price analysis, check to measure Natura Co's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natura Co is operating at the current time. Most of Natura Co's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natura Co's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natura Co's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natura Co to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Natura Co's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Natura Co. If investors know Natura will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Natura Co listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
2.75
Market Capitalization
3.1 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.06) 
Return On Assets
0.0123
Return On Equity
(0.0403) 
The market value of Natura Co Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Natura that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Natura Co's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Natura Co's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Natura Co's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Natura Co's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Natura Co's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Natura Co value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Natura Co's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.