Natera Stock Analysis


USD 41.08  0.04  0.1%   

The big decline in price over the last few months for Natera Incmay encourage investors to take a closer look at the firm as it is trading at a share price of 41.08 on 353,313 in trading volume. The company executives failed to add value to investors and position the firm supply of money to exploit market volatility in November. However, diversifying your holdings with Natera or similar stocks can still protect your portfolios during high-volatility market scenarios. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 5.32. The very high volatility is mostly attributed to the latest market swings and not very good earnings reports from some of the Natera Inc partners.
Additionally, see Correlation Analysis.
The Natera stock analysis report makes it easy to digest most publicly released information about Natera and get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, and announcements. Natera Stock analysis module also helps to analyze the Natera price relationship with some important fundamental indicators such as market cap and management efficiency.

Natera Stock Analysis Notes

About 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 5.89. Natera Inc had not issued any dividends in recent years. Natera, Inc., a diagnostics company, develops and commercializes molecular testing services worldwide. Natera, Inc. was founded in 2003 and is based in Austin, Texas. Natera operates under Diagnostics Research classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 2670 people. To find out more about Natera Inc contact Steven Chapman at 650 249 9090 or learn more at

Natera Inc Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Natera's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Natera Inc or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Natera Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Natera Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 625.49 M. Net Loss for the year was (471.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 307.07 M.
Natera Inc currently holds about 638.65 M in cash with (335.24 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.59.
Natera Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from Transcript Natera, Inc. Presents at Piper Sandler 34th Annual Healthcare Conference, Nov-30-2022 0300 PM -

Natera Inc Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Natera to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Natera previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
Upcoming Quarterly Report24th of February 2022
Next Financial Report5th of May 2022
Next Fiscal Quarter End31st of December 2021
Next Fiscal Year End24th of February 2022
Last Quarter Report30th of September 2021
Last Financial Announcement31st of December 2020

Natera Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Natera's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
View All Earnings Estimates

Natera Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with current market capitalization of 4.28 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Natera's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Natera's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and these looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Natera Profitablity

Natera's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Natera's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Natera is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Natera's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Natera's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Natera's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.7) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.69) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of -0.01.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Return on Investment(54.36) (58.65) 
Return on Average Assets(43.50) (46.94) 
Return on Average Equity(82.79) (89.33) 
Return on Invested Capital(0.26) (0.28) 
Return on Sales(0.49) (0.53) 

Management Efficiency

The entity has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.2903) % which means that it has lost $0.2903 on every $100 spent on asset. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows return on stockholders equity (ROE) of (0.9741) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Natera management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well natera inc manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of December 1, 2022, Return on Investment is expected to decline to -58.65. In addition to that, Return on Average Assets is expected to decline to -46.94. Natera Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Total Assets were at 1.24 Billion. The current year Current Assets is expected to grow to about 1.2 B, whereas Total Assets Per Share are forecasted to decline to 11.68.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Book Value per Share 6.90  7.45 
Enterprise Value over EBIT(36.00) (36.95) 
Enterprise Value over EBITDA(38.88) (39.90) 
Price to Book Value 20.09  18.43 
Tangible Assets Book Value per Share 10.36  9.88 
Enterprise Value9.8 B10.6 B
Tangible Asset Value1.1 B1.2 B

Technical Drivers

As of the 1st of December, Natera secures the mean deviation of 3.4, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.12). In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Natera Inc, as well as the relationship between them. Strictly speaking, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of past prices, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate data for nineteen technical drivers for Natera, which can be compared to its peers in the industry. Please verify Natera Inc information ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and expected short fall to decide if Natera Inc is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 41.08 per share. Given that Natera Inc has jensen alpha of (1.01), we recommend you to check Natera's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Natera Inc Price Movement Analysis

Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. Natera Inc Triple Exponential Moving Average indicator shows smoothing effect of Natera price series composite of a single exponential moving average, a double exponential moving average and a triple exponential moving average.

Natera Inc Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Natera insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Natera's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Natera insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Jonathan Sheena over a month ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by Jonathan Sheena of 143 shares of Natera subject to Rule 16b-3
Jonathan Sheena over a month ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by Jonathan Sheena of 143 shares of Natera subject to Rule 16b-3
Robert Schueren over a month ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by Robert Schueren of 84 shares of Natera subject to Rule 16b-3
Jonathan Sheena over two months ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by Jonathan Sheena of 447 shares of Natera subject to Rule 16b-3
Chapman Rowan E over two months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Chapman Rowan E of 361 shares of Natera subject to Rule 16b-3
Rabinowitz Daniel over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by Rabinowitz Daniel of 644 shares of Natera subject to Rule 16b-3
Robert Schueren over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by Robert Schueren of 1281 shares of Natera subject to Rule 16b-3
Chapman Rowan E over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Chapman Rowan E of 361 shares of Natera subject to Rule 16b-3
Steve Chapman over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by Steve Chapman of 3125 shares of Natera subject to Rule 16b-3
Rabinowitz Daniel over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by Rabinowitz Daniel of 892 shares of Natera subject to Rule 16b-3
Michael Brophy over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by Michael Brophy of 2291 shares of Natera subject to Rule 16b-3
Chapman Rowan E over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by Chapman Rowan E of 1307 shares of Natera subject to Rule 16b-3

Natera Predictive Daily Indicators

Natera intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Natera stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Natera Forecast Models

Natera time-series forecasting models is one of many Natera's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Natera's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Natera Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Natera prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Natera shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas, a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Natera. By using and applying Natera Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Natera entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Operating Margin(74.85) (80.76) 
EBITDA Margin(71.60) (77.26) 
Gross Margin 49.09  43.14 
Profit Margin(75.42) (81.37) 

Current Natera Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Natera analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Natera analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
Natera Inc current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Natera analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Natera stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Natera Inc, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Natera conference calls.
Natera Analyst Advice Details

Natera Stock Analysis Indicators

Natera Inc stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Natera stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Natera shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Natera stock analysis, traders can identify Natera position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow48855000.00
Logo U R LimglogosUSNTRA.png
Common Stock Shares Outstanding90558000.00
Total Stockholder Equity653304000.00
DescriptionNatera, Inc., a diagnostics company, develops and commercializes molecular testing services worldwide. It offers Panorama, a non-invasive prenatal test that screens for chromosomal abnormalities of a fetus with a blood draw from the mother, as well as twin pr
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-205193000.00
Tax Provision618000.00
Property Plant And Equipment Net124529000.00
Retained Earnings-1394836000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments914282000.00
Retained Earnings Total Equity-1394836000.00
Accounts Payable27206000.00
Net Debt312848000.00
50 Day M A42.2891
Total Current Liabilities218956000.00
Currency CodeUSD
Other Operating Expenses1093660000.00
Non Current Assets Total143349000.00
Common Stock Total Equity10000.00
Non Currrent Assets Other18820000.00
Additionally, see Correlation Analysis. You can also try Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

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When running Natera Inc price analysis, check to measure Natera's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natera is operating at the current time. Most of Natera's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natera's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natera's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natera to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Natera's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Natera. If investors know Natera will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Natera listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
4.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
Return On Assets
Return On Equity
The market value of Natera Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Natera that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Natera's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Natera's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Natera's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Natera's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Natera's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Natera value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Natera's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.