Northwest Natural Gas Stock Analysis

NWN Stock  USD 37.68  1.09  2.98%   
Northwest Natural Gas is undervalued with Real Value of 43.17 and Target Price of 49.33. The main objective of Northwest Natural stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Northwest Natural Gas is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Northwest Natural's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Northwest Natural's performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Northwest Natural's stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Northwest Natural stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Northwest Natural is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Northwest Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Northwest Natural's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Northwest Natural Gas. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing.

Northwest Stock Analysis Notes

About 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.07. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Northwest Natural Gas has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.74. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of April 2024. The firm had 3:2 split on the 9th of September 1996. Northwest Natural Holding Company, through its subsidiary, Northwest Natural Gas Company, provides regulated natural gas distribution services to residential, commercial, industrial, and transportation customers in Oregon and Southwest Washington. Northwest Natural Holding Company was founded in 1859 and is headquartered in Portland, Oregon. Northwest Natural operates under UtilitiesRegulated Gas classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 1237 people. To find out more about Northwest Natural Gas contact David Anderson at 503 226 4211 or learn more at https://www.nwnaturalholdings.com.

Northwest Natural Quarterly Total Revenue

355.71 Million

Northwest Natural Gas Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Northwest Natural's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Northwest Natural Gas or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Northwest Natural generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has 1.75 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.18, which is OK given its current industry classification. Northwest Natural Gas has a current ratio of 0.65, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Northwest Natural until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Northwest Natural's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Northwest Natural Gas sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Northwest to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Northwest Natural's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Northwest Natural has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 79.0% of Northwest Natural shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: NW Naturals proposed 18 percent rate hike sparks public hearing

Northwest Natural Gas Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Northwest Natural to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Northwest Natural previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
23rd of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
23rd of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Northwest Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Northwest Natural's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2016-08-02
2016-06-300.060.070.0116 
2013-08-07
2013-06-300.090.08-0.0111 
2015-08-04
2015-06-300.060.080.0233 
View All Earnings Estimates

Northwest Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Northwest Natural is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Northwest Natural Gas backward and forwards among themselves. Northwest Natural's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Northwest Natural's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
454.8 K
Gabelli Funds Llc2023-12-31
448 K
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2023-12-31
409.6 K
Victory Capital Management Inc.2023-12-31
392.5 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
384.2 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2023-12-31
364 K
American Century Companies Inc2023-12-31
354.5 K
Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc2023-12-31
298.8 K
Empower Advisory Group Llc2023-12-31
295.4 K
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
6.5 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
4.4 M
Note, although Northwest Natural's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Northwest Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 1.39 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Northwest Natural's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Northwest Natural's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Northwest Profitablity

Northwest Natural's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Northwest Natural's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Northwest Natural is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Northwest Natural's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Northwest Natural's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Northwest Natural's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.08 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.21 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.21 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.02  0.03 
Return On Capital Employed 0.01  0.01 
Return On Assets 0.02  0.03 
Return On Equity 0.07  0.09 

Management Efficiency

Northwest Natural Gas has Return on Asset of 0.0244 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0244 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.0763 %, implying that it generated $0.0763 on every 100 dollars invested. Northwest Natural's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Northwest Natural manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Northwest Natural's Return On Tangible Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 19th of April 2024, Return On Assets is likely to grow to 0.03, while Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop 0.01. At this time, Northwest Natural's Return On Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 19th of April 2024, Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 0.37, while Non Current Assets Total are likely to drop about 2.3 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 35.45  19.93 
Net Current Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 30.94  19.54 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 16.02  16.82 
Price Book Value Ratio 1.10  1.30 
Enterprise Value Multiple 16.02  16.82 
Price Fair Value 1.10  1.30 
Enterprise ValueB1.8 B
The analysis of Northwest Natural's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Northwest Natural's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Northwest Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Dividend Yield
0.0543
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0543
Forward Dividend Rate
1.95
Beta
0.554

Technical Drivers

As of the 19th of April, Northwest Natural secures the Standard Deviation of 2.13, risk adjusted performance of 0.0045, and Mean Deviation of 1.41. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Northwest Natural Gas, as well as the relationship between them. Strictly speaking, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of past prices, or the prices will eventually revert. We are able to interpolate and break down thirteen technical drivers for Northwest Natural, which can be compared to its peers in the industry. Please verify Northwest Natural Gas risk adjusted performance, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the Information Ratio and kurtosis to decide if Northwest Natural Gas is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 37.68 per share. Given that Northwest Natural Gas has information ratio of (0.04), we recommend you to check Northwest Natural's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Northwest Natural Gas Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Northwest Natural middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Northwest Natural Gas. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Northwest Natural Gas Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Northwest Natural insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Northwest Natural's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Northwest Natural insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Northwest Natural Predictive Daily Indicators

Northwest Natural intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Northwest Natural stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Northwest Natural Corporate Filings

11th of April 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
15th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
5th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
28th of February 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
23rd of February 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
19th of January 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
F4
16th of January 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
11th of January 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

Northwest Natural Forecast Models

Northwest Natural's time-series forecasting models are one of many Northwest Natural's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Northwest Natural's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Northwest Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Northwest Natural prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Northwest shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Northwest Natural. By using and applying Northwest Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Northwest entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.11  0.14 
Operating Profit Margin 0.04  0.04 
Net Profit Margin 0.08  0.09 
Gross Profit Margin 0.13  0.12 

Current Northwest Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Northwest analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Northwest analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
49.33Buy5Odds
Northwest Natural Gas current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Northwest analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Northwest stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Northwest Natural Gas, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Northwest conference calls.
Northwest Analyst Advice Details

Northwest Stock Analysis Indicators

Northwest Natural Gas stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Northwest Natural stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Northwest Natural shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Northwest Natural stock analysis, traders can identify Northwest Natural position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow41 M
Total Stockholder Equity1.3 B
Capital Lease Obligations79.5 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net3.4 B
Cash And Short Term Investments61 M
Cash49.6 M
50 Day M A36.6482
Net Interest Income-73.8 M
Total Current Liabilities696.9 M
Forward Price Earnings14.245
Investments-429 M
Interest Expense76.6 M
Stock Based Compensation-296.5 M
Long Term Debt1.4 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding36.3 M
Tax Provision33.6 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.114
Accounts Payable145.4 M
Net Debt1.7 B
Other Operating Expenses1.1 B
Non Current Assets Total4.3 B
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity4.9 B
Non Currrent Assets Other439.7 M
When determining whether Northwest Natural Gas offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Northwest Natural's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Northwest Natural Gas Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Northwest Natural Gas Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Northwest Natural Gas. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

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When running Northwest Natural's price analysis, check to measure Northwest Natural's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Northwest Natural is operating at the current time. Most of Northwest Natural's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Northwest Natural's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Northwest Natural's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Northwest Natural to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Northwest Natural's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Northwest Natural. If investors know Northwest will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Northwest Natural listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.11)
Dividend Share
1.943
Earnings Share
2.59
Revenue Per Share
33.068
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05)
The market value of Northwest Natural Gas is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Northwest that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Northwest Natural's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Northwest Natural's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Northwest Natural's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Northwest Natural's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Northwest Natural's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Northwest Natural is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Northwest Natural's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.