Oncternal Therapeutics Stock Analysis

ONCT Stock  USD 8.55  0.22  2.51%   
Oncternal Therapeutics is overvalued with Real Value of 4.69 and Target Price of 1.93. The main objective of Oncternal Therapeutics stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Oncternal Therapeutics is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Oncternal Therapeutics' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Oncternal Therapeutics' performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Oncternal Therapeutics' stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Oncternal Therapeutics stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Oncternal Therapeutics is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Oncternal Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Oncternal Therapeutics' ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Oncternal Therapeutics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
For more information on how to buy Oncternal Stock please use our How to Invest in Oncternal Therapeutics guide.

Oncternal Stock Analysis Notes

About 15.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.93. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Oncternal Therapeutics recorded a loss per share of 13.43. The entity last dividend was issued on the 10th of June 2019. The firm had 1:20 split on the 8th of January 2024. Oncternal Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of oncology therapies for cancers with critical unmet medical needs. Oncternal Therapeutics, Inc. has a research collaboration with Celularity Inc. to evaluate placental derived-cellular therapies targeting ROR1. Oncternal Therapeutics operates under Biotechnology classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 26 people. To find out more about Oncternal Therapeutics contact James Breitmeyer at 858 434 1113 or learn more at https://www.oncternal.com.

Oncternal Therapeutics Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Oncternal Therapeutics' investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Oncternal Therapeutics or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Oncternal Therapeutics had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 785 K. Net Loss for the year was (39.48 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (31.49 M).
Oncternal Therapeutics currently holds about 78.9 M in cash with (32.16 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.48.
Oncternal Therapeutics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Oncternal Announces First Patient Dosed in Fourth Cohort of Phase 12 Study of ONCT-534 for the Treatment of RR Metastatic Castration-Resistant Prostate Cancer

Oncternal Therapeutics Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Oncternal Therapeutics to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Oncternal Therapeutics previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
14th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
14th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Oncternal Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Oncternal Therapeutics' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2021-08-05
2021-06-30-0.14-0.16-0.0214 
2021-05-06
2021-03-31-0.1-0.12-0.0220 
2023-11-09
2023-09-30-0.14-0.17-0.0321 
View All Earnings Estimates

Oncternal Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Oncternal Therapeutics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Oncternal Therapeutics backward and forwards among themselves. Oncternal Therapeutics' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Oncternal Therapeutics' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Two Sigma Investments Llc2023-12-31
74.7 K
Acadian Asset Management Llc2023-12-31
72.8 K
Axxcess Wealth Management, Llc2023-12-31
70.4 K
Two Sigma Securities, Llc2023-12-31
58.8 K
Regents Of The University Of California2023-12-31
53.6 K
Balboa Wealth Partners2023-12-31
47.5 K
Creative Planning Inc2023-12-31
39.3 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2023-12-31
32.2 K
Beta Wealth Group, Inc2023-12-31
32 K
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
2.9 M
Millennium Management Llc2023-12-31
2.1 M
Note, although Oncternal Therapeutics' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Oncternal Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Micro-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 25.94 M. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Oncternal Therapeutics's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Oncternal Therapeutics's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Oncternal Profitablity

Oncternal Therapeutics' profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Oncternal Therapeutics' ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Oncternal Therapeutics is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Oncternal Therapeutics' executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Oncternal Therapeutics' profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Oncternal Therapeutics' financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(1.07)(1.13)
Return On Capital Employed(1.32)(1.39)
Return On Assets(1.07)(1.13)
Return On Equity(1.31)(1.38)

Management Efficiency

Oncternal Therapeutics has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.4948) % which means that it has lost $0.4948 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.8675) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Oncternal Therapeutics' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Oncternal Therapeutics manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -1.13 in 2024. Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to -1.39 in 2024. Change To Liabilities is likely to gain to about 2.1 M in 2024, whereas Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is likely to drop slightly above 31.8 M in 2024.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 10.22  10.73 
Net Current Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 10.22  10.73 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(0.60)(0.63)
Price Book Value Ratio 1.05  1.00 
Enterprise Value Multiple(0.60)(0.63)
Price Fair Value 1.05  1.00 
Enterprise Value28.9 M27.5 M
The analysis of Oncternal Therapeutics' management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Oncternal Therapeutics' future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Oncternal Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Beta
1.368

Technical Drivers

As of the 25th of April, Oncternal Therapeutics holds the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0564, semi deviation of 4.29, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1312.76. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Oncternal Therapeutics, as well as the relationship between them. Put it differently, you can use this information to find out if the company will indeed mirror its model of past market data, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to break down nineteen technical drivers for Oncternal Therapeutics, which can be compared to its competitors. Please check Oncternal Therapeutics variance, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and skewness to decide if Oncternal Therapeutics is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 8.55 per share. Given that Oncternal Therapeutics has jensen alpha of 0.3692, we recommend you to check out Oncternal Therapeutics's recent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Oncternal Therapeutics Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was two with a total number of output elements of fifty-nine. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Oncternal Therapeutics middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Oncternal Therapeutics. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Oncternal Therapeutics Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Oncternal Therapeutics insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Oncternal Therapeutics' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Oncternal Therapeutics insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Oncternal Therapeutics Predictive Daily Indicators

Oncternal Therapeutics intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Oncternal Therapeutics stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Oncternal Therapeutics Corporate Filings

F4
10th of April 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
1st of April 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8th of March 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
7th of March 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
27th of February 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
15th of February 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
23rd of January 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
5th of January 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

Oncternal Therapeutics Forecast Models

Oncternal Therapeutics' time-series forecasting models are one of many Oncternal Therapeutics' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Oncternal Therapeutics' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Oncternal Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Oncternal Therapeutics prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Oncternal shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Oncternal Therapeutics. By using and applying Oncternal Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Oncternal entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(50.29)(47.78)
Operating Profit Margin(53.14)(50.48)
Net Loss(50.29)(47.78)
Gross Profit Margin(36.90)(35.06)

Current Oncternal Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Oncternal analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Oncternal analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
1.93Strong Buy4Odds
Oncternal Therapeutics current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Oncternal analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Oncternal stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Oncternal Therapeutics, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Oncternal conference calls.
Oncternal Analyst Advice Details

Oncternal Stock Analysis Indicators

Oncternal Therapeutics stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Oncternal Therapeutics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Oncternal Therapeutics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Oncternal Therapeutics stock analysis, traders can identify Oncternal Therapeutics position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow37.1 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.9 M
Total Stockholder Equity30.1 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net258 K
Cash And Short Term Investments34.3 M
Cash6.7 M
Accounts Payable1.1 M
Net Debt-6.4 M
50 Day M A8.9072
Total Current Liabilities5.2 M
Other Operating Expenses42.5 M
Non Current Assets Total670 K
Non Currrent Assets Other412 K
Stock Based Compensation7.5 M
When determining whether Oncternal Therapeutics is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Oncternal Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Oncternal Therapeutics Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Oncternal Therapeutics Stock:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Oncternal Therapeutics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
For more information on how to buy Oncternal Stock please use our How to Invest in Oncternal Therapeutics guide.
Note that the Oncternal Therapeutics information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Oncternal Therapeutics' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.

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When running Oncternal Therapeutics' price analysis, check to measure Oncternal Therapeutics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oncternal Therapeutics is operating at the current time. Most of Oncternal Therapeutics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oncternal Therapeutics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oncternal Therapeutics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oncternal Therapeutics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Oncternal Therapeutics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Oncternal Therapeutics. If investors know Oncternal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Oncternal Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(13.43)
Revenue Per Share
0.267
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.737
Return On Assets
(0.49)
Return On Equity
(0.87)
The market value of Oncternal Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Oncternal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Oncternal Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Oncternal Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Oncternal Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Oncternal Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Oncternal Therapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Oncternal Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oncternal Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.