Orchid Stock Analysis

ORC -  USA Stock  

USD 3.95  0.08  2.07%

The current slip in stock price may encourage investors to take a closer look at the company as it is trading at a share price of 3.95 on 7,240,475 in trading volume. The company directors and management have failed to build on market volatilities in December. However, diversifying your overall positions with Orchid Island Capital may protect your principal portfolio during upcoming market swings. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 1.84. The below-average Stock volatility is a good sign for longer-term investment options and for buy-and-hold investors.
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Orchid Stock Analysis 

 
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The Orchid Island stock analysis report makes it easy to digest most publicly released information about Orchid Island and get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, and announcements. Orchid Stock analysis module also helps to analyze the Orchid Island price relationship with some important fundamental indicators such as market cap and management efficiency.

Orchid Stock Analysis Notes

About 26.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.84. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Orchid Island Capital recorded a loss per share of 0.04. The entity next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 30th of December 2021. Orchid Island Capital, Inc., a specialty finance company, invests in residential mortgage-backed securities in the United States. Orchid Island Capital, Inc. was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Vero Beach, Florida. Orchid Island is traded on New York Stock Exchange in the United States. To find out more about Orchid Island Capital contact Robert Cauley at 772 231-1400 or learn more at www.orchidislandcapital.com.

Orchid Island Capital Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Orchid Island's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Orchid Island Capital or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Orchid Island generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has 5.22 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 7.15, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Orchid Island Capital has a current ratio of 0.1, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 9.97 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (3.72 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 10.1 M.
Latest headline from www.investorsobserver.com: Premarket Mover Orchid Island Capital Inc Up 1.49 percent - InvestorsObserver

Orchid Island Capital Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Orchid Island to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Orchid Island previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
Upcoming Quarterly Report24th of February 2022
Next Earnings Report5th of May 2022
Next Fiscal Quarter End31st of December 2021
Next Fiscal Year End24th of February 2022
Last Quarter Report30th of September 2021
Last Earning Announcement31st of December 2020

Orchid Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Orchid Island's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2013-05-01
2013-03-310.180.20.0211 
2021-10-28
2021-09-300.250.2249-0.025110 
2019-07-25
2019-06-300.240.213-0.02711 
View All Earnings Estimates

Orchid Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with total capitalization of 707.97 M. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Orchid Island's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Orchid Island's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and these looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Orchid Profitablity

Orchid Island's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Orchid Island's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Orchid Island is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Orchid Island's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Orchid Island's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Orchid Island's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Net Profit Margin of (37.29) %, which means that it does not effectively control expenditures or properly executes on its pricing strategies. This is way below average.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Return on Investment(12.79) (13.13) 
Return on Average Assets 0.0482  0.05 
Return on Average Equity 0.47  0.44 
Return on Invested Capital 0.0027  0.002263 
Return on Sales 0.81  0.87 

Management Efficiency

The entity has Return on Asset of (0.07) % which means that on every $100 spent on asset, it lost $0.07. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows return on shareholders equity (ROE) of (0.67) %, meaning that it generated no profit with money invested by stockholders. Orchid Island management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well orchid island capital manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Orchid Island Return on Average Assets are projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Return on Average Assets were at 0.0482. The current year Return on Sales is expected to grow to 0.87, whereas Return on Investment is forecasted to decline to (13.13) . Orchid Island Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Total Assets were at 3.65 Billion. The current year Current Assets is expected to grow to about 151.9 M, whereas Net Current Assets as percentage of Total Assets are forecasted to decline to (105.44) .
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Book Value per Share 6.32  8.75 
Enterprise Value over EBIT 188.60  193.56 
Enterprise Value over EBITDA 188.66  193.62 
Price to Book Value 1.07  1.08 
Tangible Assets Book Value per Share 62.03  79.08 
Enterprise Value4.6 B3.9 B
Tangible Asset Value4.5 B3.6 B

Technical Drivers

As of the 25th of January, Orchid Island holds the risk adjusted performance of (0.12), and Coefficient Of Variation of (641.96). Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Orchid Island, as well as the relationship between them. Put it differently, you can use this information to find out if the company will indeed mirror its model of past market data, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate data for nineteen technical drivers for Orchid Island Capital, which can be compared to its competitors. Please check Orchid Island Capital treynor ratio, and the relationship between the standard deviation and downside variance to decide if Orchid Island Capital is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 3.95 per share. Given that Orchid Island has jensen alpha of (0.20), we recommend you to check out Orchid Island Capital's recent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Orchid Island Capital Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Orchid Island middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Orchid Island Capital. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target. View also all equity analysis or get more info about bollinger bands overlap studies indicator.

Orchid Island Capital Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Orchid Island insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Orchid Island's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Orchid Island insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Paula Morabito over two weeks ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Paula Morabito of 3333 shares of Orchid Island subject to Rule 16b-3
Paula Morabito over a month ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Paula Morabito of 530 shares of Orchid Island subject to Rule 16b-3
Paula Morabito over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Paula Morabito of 3067 shares of Orchid Island subject to Rule 16b-3
Ava Parker over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Ava Parker of 441 shares of Orchid Island subject to Rule 16b-3
Paula Morabito over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Paula Morabito of 400 shares of Orchid Island subject to Rule 16b-3
Paula Morabito over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Paula Morabito of 2890 shares of Orchid Island subject to Rule 16b-3
Paula Morabito over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Paula Morabito of 325 shares of Orchid Island subject to Rule 16b-3
Ava Parker over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Ava Parker of 2155 shares of Orchid Island subject to Rule 16b-3
Paula Morabito over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Paula Morabito of 2495 shares of Orchid Island subject to Rule 16b-3
Haas G Hunter Iv over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Haas G Hunter Iv of 47785 shares of Orchid Island subject to Rule 16b-3
Haas G Hunter Iv over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Haas G Hunter Iv of 47785 shares of Orchid Island subject to Rule 16b-3
Paula Morabito over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Paula Morabito of 303 shares of Orchid Island subject to Rule 16b-3

Orchid Island Technical and Predictive Indicators

Orchid Island Forecast Models

Orchid Island time-series forecasting models is one of many Orchid Island's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Orchid Island's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Orchid Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Orchid Island stock is reacting to, or reflecting on a current stock market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Orchid shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas, a specific sector, or an individual stock such as Orchid Island. By using and applying Orchid Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Orchid entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Operating Margin 3.29  3.38 
EBITDA Margin 3.29  3.38 
Profit Margin 6.49  6.66 
Orchid Island Capital, Inc., a specialty finance company, invests in residential mortgage-backed securities in the United States. Orchid Island Capital, Inc. was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Vero Beach, Florida. Orchid Island is traded on New York Stock Exchange in the United States.

Current Orchid Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Orchid analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Orchid analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
6.0Buy1Odds
Orchid Island Capital current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Orchid analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Orchid stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Orchid Island Capital, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Orchid conference calls.
Orchid Analyst Advice Details

Orchid Stock Analysis Indicators

Orchid Island Capital stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Orchid Island stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Orchid Island shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Orchid Island stock analysis, traders can identify Orchid Island position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Quick Ratio0.09
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.78
Fifty Two Week Low4.0000
Revenue Growth-3.90%
Payout Ratio1,300.00%
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day4.71M
Shares Short Prior Month9.59M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month4.97M
Earnings Growth-52.10%
Shares Percent Shares Out5.04%
Earnings Quarterly Growth-7.30%
Gross Margins71.31%
Forward Price Earnings4.21
Short Percent Of Float5.15%
Float Shares160.85M
Fifty Two Week High6.2200
Fifty Day Average4.6158
Two Hundred Day Average5.0756
Enterprise Value To Revenue551.86
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield19.31%
Please check Your Equity Center. Note that the Orchid Island Capital information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Orchid Island's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

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When running Orchid Island Capital price analysis, check to measure Orchid Island's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orchid Island is operating at the current time. Most of Orchid Island's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orchid Island's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orchid Island's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orchid Island to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Orchid Island's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Orchid Island. If investors know Orchid will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Orchid Island listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Orchid Island Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Orchid that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Orchid Island's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Orchid Island's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Orchid Island's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Orchid Island's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Orchid Island's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Orchid Island value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Orchid Island's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.