Paychex Stock Analysis

PAYX Stock  USD 122.45  0.55  0.45%   
Paychex is fairly valued with Real Value of 121.26 and Target Price of 119.92. The main objective of Paychex stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Paychex is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Paychex's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Paychex's performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Paychex's stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Paychex stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Paychex is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Paychex Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Paychex's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Paychex. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.
For more information on how to buy Paychex Stock please use our How to Invest in Paychex guide.

Paychex Stock Analysis Notes

About 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 12th of February 2024. Paychex had 3:2 split on the 23rd of May 2000. Paychex, Inc. provides integrated human capital management solutions for human resources , payroll, benefits, and insurance services for small to medium-sized businesses in the United States, Europe, and India. The company was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Rochester, New York. Paychex operates under Staffing Employment Services classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 16000 people. To find out more about Paychex contact Martin Mucci at 585 385 6666 or learn more at https://www.paychex.com.

Paychex Quarterly Total Revenue

1.44 Billion

Paychex Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Paychex's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Paychex or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 27th of February 2024 Paychex paid $ 0.89 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 1960 shares by Christopher Simmons of Paychex at 117.98 subject to Rule 16b-3

Paychex Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Paychex to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Paychex previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
3rd of April 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
4th of July 2024
Next Financial Report
View
29th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
4th of July 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of November 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of May 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View

Paychex Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Paychex's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
1999-03-17
1999-02-280.090.10.0111 
1998-06-30
1998-05-310.070.080.0114 
1997-12-18
1997-11-300.060.070.0116 
View All Earnings Estimates

Paychex Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Paychex stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Hedge Favorites Idea
Hedge Favorites
Investment assets that are popular or favored by hedge funds

Paychex Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Paychex is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Paychex backward and forwards among themselves. Paychex's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Paychex's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
4.3 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
3.9 M
Legal & General Group Plc2023-12-31
3.2 M
Envestnet Asset Management Inc2023-12-31
2.7 M
Fidelity International Ltd2023-12-31
2.5 M
Amvescap Plc.2023-12-31
2.5 M
Select Equity Group Lp2023-12-31
2.4 M
Royal Bank Of Canada2023-12-31
2.3 M
First Trust Advisors L.p.2023-12-31
2.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
30.4 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
28 M
Note, although Paychex's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Paychex Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 44.28 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Paychex's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Paychex's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Paychex Profitablity

Paychex's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Paychex's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Paychex is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Paychex's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Paychex's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Paychex's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.32 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.45 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.45.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.21  0.14 
Return On Capital Employed 0.39  0.33 
Return On Assets 0.17  0.13 
Return On Equity 0.40  0.26 

Management Efficiency

Paychex has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.1135 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.1135 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.4647 %, meaning that it created $0.4647 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Paychex's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Paychex manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to 0.14 in 2024. Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to 0.33 in 2024. At this time, Paychex's Total Assets are fairly stable compared to the past year. Non Current Assets Total is likely to rise to about 3.6 B in 2024, whereas Other Current Assets are likely to drop slightly above 316.6 M in 2024.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 8.72  9.16 
Net Current Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 3.68  3.86 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 19.50  25.39 
Price Book Value Ratio 12.45  12.57 
Enterprise Value Multiple 19.50  25.39 
Price Fair Value 12.45  12.57 
Enterprise Value27.8 B29.2 B
The analysis of Paychex's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Paychex's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Paychex Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Dividend Yield
0.0289
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0289
Forward Dividend Rate
3.56
Beta
0.932

Technical Drivers

As of the 15th of April 2024, Paychex holds the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0512, coefficient of variation of 1286.22, and Semi Deviation of 0.819. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Paychex, as well as the relationship between them. Put it differently, you can use this information to find out if the company will indeed mirror its model of past market data, or the prices will eventually revert. We have analyzed and interpolated nineteen technical drivers for Paychex, which can be compared to its competitors. Please check Paychex standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis to decide if Paychex is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 122.45 per share. Given that Paychex has jensen alpha of 0.0096, we recommend you to check out Paychex's recent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Paychex Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was nineteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-two. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Paychex middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Paychex. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Paychex Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Paychex insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Paychex's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Paychex insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
Christopher Simmons 22 hours ago
Disposition of 1960 shares by Christopher Simmons of Paychex at 117.98 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Christopher Simmons a day ago
Disposition of 1960 shares by Christopher Simmons of Paychex at 117.98 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Christopher Simmons 3 days ago
Disposition of 1960 shares by Christopher Simmons of Paychex at 117.98 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Christopher Simmons few days ago
Disposition of 1960 shares by Christopher Simmons of Paychex at 117.98 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Christopher Simmons over a week ago
Disposition of 1960 shares by Christopher Simmons of Paychex at 117.98 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Christopher Simmons over a week ago
Disposition of 1960 shares by Christopher Simmons of Paychex at 117.98 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Christopher Simmons over two weeks ago
Disposition of 1960 shares by Christopher Simmons of Paychex at 117.98 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Christopher Simmons over two weeks ago
Disposition of 1960 shares by Christopher Simmons of Paychex at 117.98 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Christopher Simmons over three weeks ago
Disposition of 1960 shares by Christopher Simmons of Paychex at 117.98 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Christopher Simmons over three weeks ago
Disposition of 1960 shares by Christopher Simmons of Paychex at 117.98 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Christopher Simmons over three weeks ago
Disposition of 1960 shares by Christopher Simmons of Paychex at 117.98 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Christopher Simmons over three weeks ago
Disposition of 1960 shares by Christopher Simmons of Paychex at 117.98 subject to Rule 16b-3

Paychex Predictive Daily Indicators

Paychex intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Paychex stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Paychex Corporate Filings

8K
2nd of April 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F3
14th of March 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
F4
8th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
6th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
13A
9th of February 2024
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
ViewVerify
F4
8th of February 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
31st of January 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
13A
26th of January 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify

Paychex Forecast Models

Paychex's time-series forecasting models are one of many Paychex's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Paychex's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Paychex Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Paychex prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Paychex shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Paychex. By using and applying Paychex Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Paychex entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.37  0.24 
Operating Profit Margin 0.37  0.23 
Net Profit Margin 0.28  0.17 
Gross Profit Margin 0.64  0.55 

Current Paychex Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Paychex analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Paychex analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
119.92Hold21Odds
Paychex current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Paychex analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Paychex stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Paychex, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Paychex conference calls.
Paychex Analyst Advice Details

Paychex Stock Analysis Indicators

Paychex stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Paychex stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Paychex shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Paychex stock analysis, traders can identify Paychex position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow928.4 M
Long Term Debt798.2 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding362.3 M
Total Stockholder Equity3.5 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities218.5 M
Tax Provision490.9 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.07
Property Plant And Equipment Net457.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.6 B
Cash1.2 B
Accounts Payable84.7 M
Net Debt-356.3 M
50 Day M A122.1636
Total Current Liabilities5.8 B
Other Operating ExpensesB
Non Current Assets TotalB
Forward Price Earnings24.3309
Common Stock Total Equity3.6 M
Non Currrent Assets Other65.2 M
Stock Based Compensation62.6 M
When determining whether Paychex offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Paychex's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Paychex Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Paychex Stock:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Paychex. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.
For more information on how to buy Paychex Stock please use our How to Invest in Paychex guide.
You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.

Complementary Tools for Paychex Stock analysis

When running Paychex's price analysis, check to measure Paychex's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Paychex is operating at the current time. Most of Paychex's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Paychex's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Paychex's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Paychex to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Paychex's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Paychex. If investors know Paychex will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Paychex listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.07
Dividend Share
3.56
Earnings Share
4.59
Revenue Per Share
14.461
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.042
The market value of Paychex is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Paychex that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Paychex's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Paychex's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Paychex's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Paychex's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Paychex's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Paychex is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Paychex's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.