Penumbra Stock Analysis

PEN
 Stock
  

USD 171.85  2.00  1.18%   

The latest rise in Penumbra short term price appreciation may encourage institutional investors to take a closer look at the company as it is trading at a share price of 171.85 on 42,282 in trading volume. The company directors and management have successfully maneuvered the company at convenient times to take advantage of all market conditions in July. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 3.78. The above-average risk is mostly attributed to market volatility and speculations regarding some of the upcoming earning calls from Penumbra partners.
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The Penumbra stock analysis report makes it easy to digest most publicly released information about Penumbra and get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, and announcements. Penumbra Stock analysis module also helps to analyze the Penumbra price relationship with some important fundamental indicators such as market cap and management efficiency.

Penumbra Stock Analysis Notes

About 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 185.37. Penumbra had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:10 split on the 16th of November 2014. Penumbra, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and markets medical devices in the United States and internationally. Penumbra, Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Alameda, California. Penumbra operates under Medical Devices classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 3800 people. To find out more about Penumbra contact Adam Elsesser at 510 748-3200 or learn more at www.penumbrainc.com.

Penumbra Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Penumbra's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Penumbra or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Penumbra has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Penumbra is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 782.28 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (6.47 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 475.38 M.
Penumbra has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Following a 37 percent decline over last year, recent gains may please Penumbra, Inc. institutional owners - Simply Wall St

Penumbra Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Penumbra to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Penumbra previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
Upcoming Quarterly Report22nd of February 2022
Next Financial Report3rd of May 2022
Next Fiscal Quarter End31st of December 2021
Next Fiscal Year End22nd of February 2022
Last Quarter Report30th of September 2021
Last Financial Announcement31st of December 2020

Penumbra Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Penumbra's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2017-02-28
2016-12-31-0.09-0.080.0111 
2020-02-25
2019-12-310.20.220.0210 
2017-08-08
2017-06-30-0.03-0.05-0.0266 
View All Earnings Estimates

Penumbra Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with total capitalization of 6.23 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Penumbra's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Penumbra's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and these looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Penumbra Profitablity

Penumbra's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Penumbra's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Penumbra is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Penumbra's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Penumbra's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Penumbra's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Net Profit Margin of (0.83) %, which means that it does not effectively control expenditures or properly executes on its pricing strategies. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of (3.2) %, which entails that for every $100 of revenue, it lost -0.03.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Return on Investment(0.91) (0.93) 
Return on Average Assets 0.51  0.53 
Return on Average Equity 0.66  0.68 
Return on Invested Capital 0.13  0.13 
Return on Sales 0.11  0.11 

Management Efficiency

The entity has Return on Asset of (1.46) % which means that on every $100 spent on asset, it lost $1.46. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows return on shareholders equity (ROE) of (1.02) %, meaning that it generated no profit with money invested by stockholders. Penumbra management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well penumbra manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Penumbra Return on Average Assets are quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Return on Average Assets is estimated at 0.53. Return on Average Equity is expected to rise to 0.68 this year, although the value of Return on Investment will most likely fall to (0.93) . Penumbra Total Assets Per Share are quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Total Assets Per Share is estimated at 35.73. Net Current Assets as percentage of Total Assets is expected to rise to 62.10 this year, although the value of Tax Assets will most likely fall to about 30.2 M.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Book Value per Share 16.08  13.60 
Enterprise Value over EBIT 126.50  129.83 
Enterprise Value over EBITDA 85.54  87.79 
Price to Book Value 13.57  12.27 
Tangible Assets Book Value per Share 16.39  15.89 
Enterprise Value6.5 B5.3 B
Tangible Asset Value727.8 M575.1 M

Technical Drivers

As of the 12th of August 2022, Penumbra holds the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1386, coefficient of variation of 943.35, and Semi Deviation of 2.85. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Penumbra, as well as the relationship between them. Put it differently, you can use this information to find out if the company will indeed mirror its model of past market data, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to analyze and collect data for nineteen technical drivers for Penumbra, which can be compared to its competitors. Please check Penumbra standard deviation, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and expected short fall to decide if Penumbra is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 171.85 per share. Given that Penumbra has jensen alpha of 0.3109, we recommend you to check out Penumbra's recent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Penumbra Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Mid-point Price over period is an average of Penumbra highest and lowest prices attained during the given period.
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Penumbra Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Penumbra insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Penumbra's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Penumbra insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Penumbra Predictive Daily Indicators

Penumbra intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Penumbra stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Penumbra Forecast Models

Penumbra time-series forecasting models is one of many Penumbra's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Penumbra's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Penumbra Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Penumbra stock is reacting to, or reflecting on a current stock market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Penumbra shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas, a specific sector, or an individual stock such as Penumbra. By using and applying Penumbra Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Penumbra entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Operating Margin(1.00) (1.03) 
EBITDA Margin(0.15) (0.15) 
Gross Margin 63.59  71.12 
Profit Margin 0.71  0.72 
Penumbra, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and markets medical devices in the United States and internationally. Penumbra, Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Alameda, California. Penumbra operates under Medical Devices classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 3800 people.

Current Penumbra Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Penumbra analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Penumbra analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
323.6Strong Buy5Odds
Penumbra current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Penumbra analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Penumbra stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Penumbra, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Penumbra conference calls.
Penumbra Analyst Advice Details

Penumbra Stock Analysis Indicators

Penumbra stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Penumbra stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Penumbra shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Penumbra stock analysis, traders can identify Penumbra position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Quick Ratio2.95
Fifty Two Week Low114.86
Revenue Growth20.50%
Shares Short Prior Month1.83M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day445.52k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month401.47k
Earnings Growth-99.40%
Shares Percent Shares Out5.93%
Earnings Quarterly Growth-99.30%
Gross Margins62.82%
Short Percent Of Float7.31%
Forward Price Earnings123.58
Float Shares35.58M
Fifty Two Week High293.20
Enterprise Value To Ebitda-711.88
Fifty Day Average132.84
Two Hundred Day Average202.24
Enterprise Value To Revenue6.69
Please check Your Equity Center. Note that the Penumbra information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Penumbra's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

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When running Penumbra price analysis, check to measure Penumbra's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Penumbra is operating at the current time. Most of Penumbra's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Penumbra's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Penumbra's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Penumbra to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Penumbra's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Penumbra. If investors know Penumbra will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Penumbra listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.99
Market Capitalization
6.6 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.13
Return On Assets
-0.0198
Return On Equity
-0.0246
The market value of Penumbra is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Penumbra that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Penumbra's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Penumbra's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Penumbra's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Penumbra's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Penumbra's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Penumbra value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Penumbra's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.