Party Stock Analysis

PRTY
 Stock
  

USD 2.36  0.33  16.26%   

The current price rise of Party City Holdco may encourage investors to take a closer look at the company as it is trading at a share price of 2.36 on 36,547,900 in trading volume. The company management teams may have good odds in positioning the company resources to exploit market volatility in September. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 7.19. The very high volatility is mostly attributed to the latest market swings and not very good earnings reports from some of the Party City partners.
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The Party City stock analysis report makes it easy to digest most publicly released information about Party City and get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, and announcements. Party Stock analysis module also helps to analyze the Party City price relationship with some important fundamental indicators such as market cap and management efficiency.

Party Stock Analysis Notes

About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.04. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Party City Holdco has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.25. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Party City Holdco Inc. designs, manufactures, sources, and distributes party goods worldwide. The company was founded in 1947 and is headquartered in Elmsford, New York. Party City operates under Specialty Retail classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 6400 people. To find out more about Party City Holdco contact Bradley Weston at 914 345-2020 or learn more at www.partycity.com.

Party City Holdco Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Party City's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Party City Holdco or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Party City Holdco is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Party City Holdco appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Party City Holdco currently holds about 39.24 M in cash with (60.98 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.35.
Roughly 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Some Investors May Be Worried About Party City Holdcos Returns On Capital - Simply Wall St

Party City Holdco Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Party City to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Party City previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
Upcoming Quarterly Report10th of March 2022
Next Financial Report9th of May 2022
Next Fiscal Quarter End31st of December 2021
Next Fiscal Year End10th of March 2022
Last Quarter Report30th of September 2021
Last Financial Announcement31st of December 2020

Party Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Party City's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2021-11-09
2021-09-300.010.020.01100 
2017-05-09
2017-03-310.040.050.0125 
2016-05-12
2016-03-310.030.040.0133 
View All Earnings Estimates

Party City Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Party City stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Aggressive Defence
Small capitalization, high growth potential companies

Party Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with current market capitalization of 229.38 M. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Party City's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Party City's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and these looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Party Profitablity

Party City's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Party City's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Party City is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Party City's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Party City's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Party City's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 5.21 %, which can signify that it executes well on its competitive strategies and has good control over its expenditures. This is normal as compared to the sector avarege. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 3.91 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of 0.04.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Return on Investment 5.69  6.14 
Return on Average Assets(0.24) (0.26) 
Return on Average Equity(9.78) (10.55) 
Return on Invested Capital 0.06  0.07 
Return on Sales 0.07  0.08 

Management Efficiency

The entity has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.48 % which means that it generated profit of $0.48 on every $100 spent on asset. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows return on stockholders equity (ROE) of 68.96 %, meaning that it created $68.96 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Party City management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well party city holdco manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Party City Return on Investment is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Party City reported Return on Investment of 5.69 in 2021. Return on Invested Capital is likely to rise to 0.07 in 2022, whereas Return on Average Assets are likely to drop (0.26)  in 2022. Party City Total Assets are fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Party City reported Total Assets of 2.71 Billion in 2021. Current Assets is likely to rise to about 855.7 M in 2022, whereas Revenue to Assets are likely to drop 0.71 in 2022.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Book Value per Share 7.34  6.42 
Enterprise Value over EBIT 21.60  21.47 
Enterprise Value over EBITDA 14.32  14.24 
Price to Book Value 1.52  1.51 
Tangible Assets Book Value per Share 11.02  12.11 
Enterprise Value3.2 B3.2 B
Tangible Asset Value964.8 M962.7 M

Technical Drivers

As of the 18th of August 2022, Party City holds the Semi Deviation of 4.88, risk adjusted performance of 0.1886, and Coefficient Of Variation of 685.9. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Party City, as well as the relationship between them. Put it differently, you can use this information to find out if the company will indeed mirror its model of past market data, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate and analyze data for nineteen technical drivers for Party City Holdco, which can be compared to its competitors. Please check Party City Holdco maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and skewness to decide if Party City Holdco is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 2.36 per share. Please also confirm Party City Holdco total risk alpha, which is currently at 0.5641 to check out the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Party City Holdco Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was thirty-five with a total number of output elements of twenty-six. The Triangular Moving Average shows Party City double smoothed mean price over a specified number of previous prices (i.e., averaged twice).
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Party City Holdco Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Party City insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Party City's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Party City insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
De Mesa Graziano Cheryl six days ago via Macroaxis 
Payment of 1444 shares by De Mesa Graziano Cheryl of Party City subject to Rule 16b-3
De Mesa Graziano Cheryl over two weeks ago via Macroaxis 
Payment of 553 shares by De Mesa Graziano Cheryl of Party City subject to Rule 16b-3
Jennifer Fleiss over two months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Jennifer Fleiss of 30000 shares of Party City subject to Rule 16b-3
Joel Alsfine over two months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Joel Alsfine of 30000 shares of Party City subject to Rule 16b-3
Millstone Shroff Michelle over two months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Millstone Shroff Michelle of 30000 shares of Party City subject to Rule 16b-3
William Creekmuir over two months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by William Creekmuir of 30000 shares of Party City subject to Rule 16b-3
Joel Alsfine over two months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Joel Alsfine of 30000 shares of Party City subject to Rule 16b-3
James Conroy over two months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by James Conroy of 30000 shares of Party City subject to Rule 16b-3
John Frascotti over two months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by John Frascotti of 30000 shares of Party City subject to Rule 16b-3
Steven Collins over two months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Steven Collins of 30000 shares of Party City subject to Rule 16b-3
William Creekmuir over two months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by William Creekmuir of 30000 shares of Party City subject to Rule 16b-3
Millstone Shroff Michelle over two months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Millstone Shroff Michelle of 30000 shares of Party City subject to Rule 16b-3

Party City Predictive Daily Indicators

Party City intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Party City stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Party City Forecast Models

Party City time-series forecasting models is one of many Party City's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Party City's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Party Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Party City prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Party shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas, a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Party City. By using and applying Party Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Party entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Operating Margin 4.05  4.37 
EBITDA Margin 6.56  6.03 
Gross Margin 35.38  38.17 
Profit Margin(0.30) (0.33) 
Party City Holdco Inc. designs, manufactures, sources, and distributes party goods worldwide. The company was founded in 1947 and is headquartered in Elmsford, New York. Party City operates under Specialty Retail classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 6400 people.

Current Party Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Party analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Party analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
9.0Hold2Odds
Party City Holdco current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Party analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Party stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Party City Holdco, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Party conference calls.
Party Analyst Advice Details

Party Stock Analysis Indicators

Party City Holdco stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Party City stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Party City shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Party City stock analysis, traders can identify Party City position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Quick Ratio0.16
Fifty Two Week Low1.0400
Revenue Growth-1.50%
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day4M
Shares Short Prior Month10.55M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month3.35M
Earnings Growth446.20%
Shares Percent Shares Out9.47%
Earnings Quarterly Growth444.00%
Gross Margins15.56%
Forward Price Earnings2.42
Short Percent Of Float18.22%
Float Shares86.76M
Fifty Two Week High9.2100
Fifty Day Average1.3324
Enterprise Value To Ebitda29.64
Two Hundred Day Average3.7101
Enterprise Value To Revenue1.16
Please check Your Equity Center. Note that the Party City Holdco information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Party City's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.

Complementary Tools for Party Stock analysis

When running Party City Holdco price analysis, check to measure Party City's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Party City is operating at the current time. Most of Party City's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Party City's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Party City's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Party City to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Party City's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Party City. If investors know Party will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Party City listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
4.46
Market Capitalization
265.5 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.015
Return On Assets
0.0048
Return On Equity
0.69
The market value of Party City Holdco is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Party that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Party City's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Party City's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Party City's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Party City's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Party City's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Party City value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Party City's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.