Virgin Galactic Holdings Stock Analysis
SPCE Stock | USD 2.34 0.11 4.93% |
The main objective of Virgin Galactic stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Virgin Galactic Holdings is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Virgin Galactic's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Virgin Galactic's performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Virgin Galactic's stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Virgin Galactic stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Virgin Galactic is usually not traded on Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day. Virgin Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Virgin Galactic's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
Virgin |
Virgin Stock Analysis Notes
About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.56. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Virgin Galactic Holdings recorded a loss per share of 1.81. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. focuses on the development, manufacture, and operation of spaceships and related technologies for conducting commercial human spaceflight and flying commercial research and development payloads into space. Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. was a former subsidiary of Virgin Orbit Holdings, Inc. Virgin Galactic operates under Aerospace Defense classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 804 people. To find out more about Virgin Galactic Holdings contact Michael Colglazier at 575 424 2100 or learn more at https://www.virgingalactic.com.Virgin Galactic Quarterly Cost of Revenue |
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Virgin Galactic Holdings Investment Alerts
Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Virgin Galactic's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Virgin Galactic Holdings or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Virgin Galactic had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
Virgin Galactic has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.31 M. Net Loss for the year was (500.15 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 406 K. | |
Virgin Galactic Holdings currently holds about 917.57 M in cash with (380.24 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.55, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
Virgin Galactic has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
Roughly 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
Latest headline from news.google.com: Where Will Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc Stock Go Next After It Is Up 10.05 percent in a Week - InvestorsObserver |
Virgin Galactic Holdings Upcoming and Recent Events
Earnings reports are used by Virgin Galactic to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Virgin Galactic previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
27th of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
14th of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
27th of February 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Virgin Largest EPS Surprises
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Virgin Galactic's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
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2022-05-05 | 2022-03-31 | -0.32 | -0.36 | -0.04 | 12 | ||
2021-11-08 | 2021-09-30 | -0.28 | -0.32 | -0.04 | 14 | ||
2020-08-03 | 2020-06-30 | -0.26 | -0.3 | -0.04 | 15 |
Virgin Galactic SEC Filings
SEC filings are important regulatory documents required of all public companies to provide to potential investors. Virgin Galactic prospectus issued under the guidelines of SEC is a legal declaration of facts and statements to ensure that Virgin Galactic investors are not misled. SEC filings are required by law to meet strict transparency standards and other important legal constraints. Although many companies may choose careful wording to disguise some material information, SEC filings make crucial Virgin Galactic Holdings specific information freely available to individual and institutional investors to make a timely investment decision.
13th of November 2023 Financial Statements and Exhibits. Other Events. Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers: Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers | View | |
8th of November 2023 Financial Statements and Exhibits. Regulation FD Disclosure. Cost Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities. Results of Operations and Financial Condition | View | |
3rd of November 2023 Unclassified Corporate Event | View | |
24th of August 2023 Financial Statements and Exhibits. Other Events. Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers: Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers | View | |
1st of August 2023 Financial Statements and Exhibits. Results of Operations and Financial Condition | View | |
22nd of June 2023 Financial Statements and Exhibits. Other Events | View | |
21st of June 2023 Financial Statements and Exhibits. Other Events | View | |
9th of June 2023 Financial Statements and Exhibits. Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders. Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers: Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers | View |
Virgin Market Capitalization
The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 935.33 M. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Virgin Galactic's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Virgin Galactic's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.Virgin Profitablity
Virgin Galactic's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Virgin Galactic's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Virgin Galactic is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Virgin Galactic's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Virgin Galactic's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Virgin Galactic's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
Last Reported | Projected for 2023 | ||
Return on Average Assets | (0.40) | (0.43) | |
Return on Average Equity | (0.80) | (0.86) | |
Return on Invested Capital | (0.46) | (0.49) | |
Return on Sales | (210.82) | (227.47) |
Management Efficiency
Virgin Galactic Holdings has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.2822) % which means that it has lost $0.2822 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.9056) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Virgin Galactic's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Virgin Galactic manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of December 4, 2023, Return on Average Assets is expected to decline to -0.43. In addition to that, Return on Average Equity is expected to decline to -0.86. At present, Virgin Galactic's Asset Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting.Last Reported | Projected for 2023 | ||
Book Value per Share | 1.82 | 1.92 | |
Enterprise Value over EBIT | (2.00) | (2.16) | |
Enterprise Value over EBITDA | (1.97) | (2.12) | |
Price to Book Value | 1.99 | 2.04 | |
Tangible Assets Book Value per Share | 4.32 | 3.90 | |
Enterprise Value | 936.3 M | 960.9 M | |
Tangible Asset Value | 1.1 B | 977.1 M |
The analysis of Virgin Galactic's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Virgin Galactic's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Virgin Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Beta 1.569 |
Technical Drivers
As of the 4th of December, Virgin Galactic has the Coefficient Of Variation of (111,185), variance of 37.81, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.008. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Virgin Galactic Holdings, as well as the relationship between them. In other words, you can use this information to find out if the company will indeed mirror its model of past prices and volume data, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to break down thirteen technical drivers for Virgin Galactic Holdings, which can be compared to its competition. Please validate Virgin Galactic Holdings information ratio, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and value at risk to decide if Virgin Galactic is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 2.34 per share. Please also confirm Virgin Galactic Holdings jensen alpha, which is currently at (0.06) to double-check the company can sustain itself at a future point.Virgin Galactic Holdings Price Movement Analysis
The output start index for this execution was thirty-five with a total number of output elements of twenty-six. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Virgin Galactic middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Virgin Galactic Holdings. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target..
Virgin Galactic Holdings Insider Trading Activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Virgin Galactic insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Virgin Galactic's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Virgin Galactic insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Virgin Investments Ltd over a month ago Virgin Galactic exotic insider transaction detected | ||
Virgin Investments Ltd over three months ago Sale by Virgin Investments Ltd of 1619290 shares of Virgin Galactic | ||
Wanda Sigur over three months ago Acquisition by Wanda Sigur of 30414 shares of Virgin Galactic subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Virgin Galactic Technical and Predictive Indicators
Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.008 | |||
Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.006 | |||
Mean Deviation | 5.03 | |||
Coefficient Of Variation | (111,185) | |||
Standard Deviation | 6.15 | |||
Variance | 37.81 | |||
Information Ratio | (0.004271) | |||
Jensen Alpha | (0.06) | |||
Total Risk Alpha | (0.10) | |||
Treynor Ratio | (0.003962) | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 25.8 | |||
Value At Risk | (8.78) | |||
Potential Upside | 11.11 | |||
Skewness | 0.5816 | |||
Kurtosis | 0.3742 |
Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.008 | |||
Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.006 | |||
Mean Deviation | 5.03 | |||
Coefficient Of Variation | (111,185) | |||
Standard Deviation | 6.15 | |||
Variance | 37.81 | |||
Information Ratio | (0.004271) | |||
Jensen Alpha | (0.06) | |||
Total Risk Alpha | (0.10) | |||
Treynor Ratio | (0.003962) | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 25.8 | |||
Value At Risk | (8.78) | |||
Potential Upside | 11.11 | |||
Skewness | 0.5816 | |||
Kurtosis | 0.3742 |
Virgin Galactic Forecast Models
Virgin Galactic's time-series forecasting models are one of many Virgin Galactic's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Virgin Galactic's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.About Virgin Stock Analysis
Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Virgin Galactic prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Virgin shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Virgin Galactic. By using and applying Virgin Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Virgin entry and exit points for their positions.
Last Reported | Projected for 2023 | ||
EBITDA Margin | (63.28) | (68.27) | |
Gross Margin | 0.18 | 0.18 | |
Profit Margin | (65.43) | (70.59) |
Current Virgin Analysis - Recommendations
We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Virgin analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Virgin analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
2.63 | Sell | 8 | Odds |
Most Virgin analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Virgin stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Virgin Galactic Holdings, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Virgin conference calls.
Virgin Stock Analysis Indicators
Virgin Galactic Holdings stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Virgin Galactic stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Virgin Galactic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Virgin Galactic stock analysis, traders can identify Virgin Galactic position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow | 550 M | |
Long Term Debt | 415.7 M | |
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 263.9 M | |
Total Stockholder Equity | 480.2 M | |
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -286.2 M | |
Tax Provision | 598 K | |
Property Plant And Equipment Net | 53.7 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 909 M | |
Cash | 302.3 M | |
Accounts Payable | 16.3 M | |
Net Debt | 113.4 M | |
50 Day M A | 1.783 | |
Total Current Liabilities | 184.1 M | |
Other Operating Expenses | 502.3 M | |
Non Current Assets Total | 138.3 M | |
Non Currrent Assets Other | 54.3 M | |
Stock Based Compensation | 45.7 M |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Virgin Galactic Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in interest. Note that the Virgin Galactic Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Virgin Galactic's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Complementary Tools for Virgin Stock analysis
When running Virgin Galactic's price analysis, check to measure Virgin Galactic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Virgin Galactic is operating at the current time. Most of Virgin Galactic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Virgin Galactic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Virgin Galactic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Virgin Galactic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Virgin Galactic's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Virgin Galactic. If investors know Virgin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Virgin Galactic listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.81) | Revenue Per Share 0.016 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.253 | Return On Assets (0.28) | Return On Equity (0.91) |
The market value of Virgin Galactic Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Virgin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Virgin Galactic's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Virgin Galactic's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Virgin Galactic's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Virgin Galactic's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Virgin Galactic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Virgin Galactic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Virgin Galactic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.