Trevena Stock Analysis

TRVN
 Stock
  

USD 3.46  0.01  0.29%   

The latest slide in stock price created some momentum for institutional investors as it was traded today as low as 3.31 and as high as 3.52 per share. The company directors and management have failed to build on market volatilities in November. However, diversifying your overall positions with Trevena may protect your principal portfolio during upcoming market swings. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 6.47. The very high volatility is mostly attributed to the latest market swings and not very good earnings reports from some of the Trevena partners.
Additionally, take a look at World Market Map.
  
The Trevena stock analysis report makes it easy to digest most publicly released information about Trevena and get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, and announcements. Trevena Stock analysis module also helps to analyze the Trevena price relationship with some important fundamental indicators such as market cap and management efficiency.

Trevena Stock Analysis Notes

The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.1. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Trevena recorded a loss per share of 0.35. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:25 split on the 10th of November 2022. Trevena, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of novel medicines for patients affected by central nervous system disorders. Trevena, Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Chesterbrook, Pennsylvania. Trevena operates under Biotechnology classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 43 people. To find out more about Trevena contact Maxine Gowen at 610 354 8840 or learn more at https://www.trevena.com.

Trevena Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Trevena's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Trevena or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Trevena generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Trevena has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 567. Net Loss for the year was (51.59 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (387 K).
Trevena currently holds about 49.52 M in cash with (50.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.28.
Trevena has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: Trevena, Inc. Announces 8.0 M - GuruFocus.com

Trevena Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Trevena to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Trevena previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
Upcoming Quarterly Report8th of March 2022
Next Financial Report5th of May 2022
Next Fiscal Quarter End31st of December 2021
Next Fiscal Year End8th of March 2022
Last Quarter Report30th of September 2021
Last Financial Announcement31st of December 2020

Trevena Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Trevena's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-03-12
2019-12-31-0.08-0.070.0112 
2019-11-04
2019-09-30-0.07-0.09-0.0228 
2019-05-10
2019-03-31-0.08-0.060.0225 
View All Earnings Estimates

Trevena Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Trevena stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.

Trevena Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Micro-Cap' category with current market capitalization of 24.01 M. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Trevena's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Trevena's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and these looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Trevena Profitablity

Trevena's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Trevena's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Trevena is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Trevena's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Trevena's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Trevena's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Return on Investment(61.56) (66.42) 
Return on Average Assets(49.64) (53.56) 
Return on Average Equity(61.16) (65.99) 
Return on Invested Capital(0.49) (0.53) 
Return on Sales(7.23) (7.80) 

Management Efficiency

The entity has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.5311) % which means that it has lost $0.5311 on every $100 spent on asset. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows return on stockholders equity (ROE) of (1.2175) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Trevena management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well trevena manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The value of Return on Investment is estimated to slide to -66.42. The value of Return on Average Assets is estimated to slide to -53.56. Trevena Tangible Asset Value is quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current Tangible Asset Value is estimated at 170.26 Million
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Book Value per Share 2.53  2.73 
Enterprise Value over EBIT(10.35) (11.17) 
Enterprise Value over EBITDA(11.36) (12.26) 
Price to Book Value 3.35  2.88 
Tangible Assets Book Value per Share 3.97  4.07 
Enterprise Value444.5 M356.3 M
Tangible Asset Value157.8 M170.3 M

Technical Drivers

As of the 2nd of December, Trevena has the coefficient of variation of (1,505), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09). In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Trevena, as well as the relationship between them. In other words, you can use this information to find out if the company will indeed mirror its model of past prices and volume data, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate and analyze data for nineteen technical drivers for Trevena, which can be compared to its competition. Please validate Trevena semi deviation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the Jensen Alpha and semi variance to decide if Trevena is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 3.46 per share. Given that Trevena has jensen alpha of (0.50), we advise you to double-check Trevena's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Trevena Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was twenty-three with a total number of output elements of thirty-eight. The Triangular Moving Average shows Trevena double smoothed mean price over a specified number of previous prices (i.e., averaged twice).
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Trevena Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Trevena insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Trevena's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Trevena insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Trevena Technical and Predictive Indicators

Trevena Forecast Models

Trevena time-series forecasting models is one of many Trevena's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Trevena's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Trevena Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Trevena prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Trevena shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas, a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Trevena. By using and applying Trevena Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Trevena entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Gross Margin(68.25) (70.05) 

Current Trevena Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Trevena analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Trevena analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
5.0Buy2Odds
Trevena current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Trevena analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Trevena stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Trevena, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Trevena conference calls.
Trevena Analyst Advice Details

Trevena Stock Analysis Indicators

Trevena stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Trevena stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Trevena shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Trevena stock analysis, traders can identify Trevena position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow110713000.00
Logo U R LimglogosUSTRVN.png
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5104954.36
Total Stockholder Equity64629.00
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-16000.00
Property Plant And Equipment Net6547.00
Retained Earnings-494102.00
Cash And Short Term Investments66923.00
Cash66923.00
CodeTRVN
Accounts Payable4547.00
Net Debt-66923.00
50 Day M A4.038
Total Current Liabilities9186.00
Currency CodeUSD
Other Operating Expenses53446.00
Non Current Assets Total9401.00
Non Currrent Assets Other2854.00
Additionally, take a look at World Market Map. You can also try Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

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When running Trevena price analysis, check to measure Trevena's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Trevena is operating at the current time. Most of Trevena's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Trevena's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Trevena's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Trevena to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Trevena's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Trevena. If investors know Trevena will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Trevena listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
24 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.90) 
Return On Assets
(0.53) 
Return On Equity
(1.22) 
The market value of Trevena is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Trevena that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Trevena's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Trevena's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Trevena's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Trevena's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Trevena's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Trevena value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Trevena's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.