Twilio Stock Analysis

TWLO
 Stock
  

USD 86.90  1.32  1.54%   

The small slide in market price for the last few months created some momentum for institutional investors as it was traded today as low as 85.11 and as high as 87.67 per share. The company directors and management did not add much value to Twilio investors in July. However, diversifying your holdings with Twilio or similar stocks can still protect your portfolio during high-volatility market scenarios. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 5.04. The very high volatility is mostly attributed to the latest market swings and not very good earnings reports from some of the Twilio partners.
Additionally, take a look at World Market Map.
  
The Twilio stock analysis report makes it easy to digest most publicly released information about Twilio and get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, and announcements. Twilio Stock analysis module also helps to analyze the Twilio price relationship with some important fundamental indicators such as market cap and management efficiency.

Twilio Stock Analysis Notes

About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.4. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Twilio recorded a loss per share of 4.96. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:20 split on the December 12, 2007. Twilio Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides a cloud communications platform that enables developers to build, scale, and operate customer engagement within software applications in the United States and internationally. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California. Twilio operates under Internet Content Information classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 8199 people. To find out more about Twilio contact Jeff Lawson at 415 390 2337 or learn more at https://www.twilio.com.

Twilio Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Twilio's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Twilio or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Twilio generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Twilio has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Twilio is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.13 B. Net Loss for the year was (964.99 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.39 B.
Twilio currently holds about 5.22 B in cash with (80.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 28.75.
Twilio has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Acquisition by Suzuki Miyuki of 6354 shares of Twilio subject to Rule 16b-3

Twilio Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Twilio to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Twilio previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
Upcoming Quarterly Report9th of February 2022
Next Financial Report4th of May 2022
Next Fiscal Quarter End31st of December 2021
Next Fiscal Year End9th of February 2022
Last Quarter Report30th of September 2021
Last Financial Announcement31st of December 2020

Twilio Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Twilio's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2021-07-29
2021-06-30-0.13-0.110.0215 
2020-02-05
2019-12-310.020.040.02100 
2019-10-30
2019-09-300.010.030.02200 
View All Earnings Estimates

Twilio Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Twilio stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
ISP
Internet Service Providers
Disruptive Technologies
Firms and ETFs that are involved or betting on industries or trends that are projected to experience exponential growth

Twilio Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with current market capitalization of 15.5 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Twilio's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Twilio's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and these looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Twilio Profitablity

Twilio's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Twilio's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Twilio is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Twilio's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Twilio's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Twilio's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (30.86) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (30.0) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of -0.3.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Return on Investment(8.79) (9.48) 
Return on Average Assets(8.45) (9.12) 
Return on Average Equity(9.75) (10.52) 
Return on Invested Capital(6.90) (7.08) 
Return on Sales(0.13) (0.14) 

Management Efficiency

The entity has return on total asset (ROA) of (4.67) % which means that it has lost $4.67 on every $100 spent on asset. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows return on stockholders equity (ROE) of (9.12) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Twilio management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well twilio manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The value of Return on Investment is estimated to slide to -9.48. The value of Return on Average Assets is estimated to slide to -9.12. Twilio Total Assets Per Share are quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Total Assets Per Share is estimated at 77.71. Net Current Assets as percentage of Total Assets is expected to rise to 50.82 this year, although the value of Return on Average Assets will most likely fall to (9.12) .
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Book Value per Share 5.58  5.03 
Enterprise Value over EBIT(48.60) (52.44) 
Enterprise Value over EBITDA(62.04) (66.94) 
Price to Book Value 6.87  6.83 
Tangible Assets Book Value per Share 6.76  6.32 
Enterprise ValueBB
Tangible Asset Value359 M387.3 M

Technical Drivers

As of the 14th of August 2022, Twilio has the risk adjusted performance of 4.0E-4, and Coefficient Of Variation of (17,143). In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Twilio, as well as the relationship between them. In other words, you can use this information to find out if the company will indeed mirror its model of past prices and volume data, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to break down and interpolate nineteen technical drivers for Twilio, which can be compared to its competition. Please validate Twilio coefficient of variation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the Treynor Ratio and semi variance to decide if Twilio is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 86.9 per share. Given that Twilio has jensen alpha of (0.21), we advise you to double-check Twilio's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Twilio Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was twenty-nine with a total number of output elements of thirty-two.
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Twilio Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Twilio insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Twilio's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Twilio insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Manor Eyal over three weeks ago via Macroaxis 
Sale by Manor Eyal of 853 shares of Twilio
Khozema Shipchandler over a month ago via Macroaxis 
Sale by Khozema Shipchandler of 1454 shares of Twilio
Khozema Shipchandler over a month ago via Macroaxis 
Sale by Khozema Shipchandler of tradable shares of Twilio
Elena Donio over a month ago via Macroaxis 
Twilio exotic insider transaction detected
Manor Eyal over a month ago via Macroaxis 
Sale by Manor Eyal of 853 shares of Twilio
Khozema Shipchandler over two months ago via Macroaxis 
Sale by Khozema Shipchandler of 3330 shares of Twilio
Manor Eyal over two months ago via Macroaxis 
Sale by Manor Eyal of 186 shares of Twilio
Khozema Shipchandler over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Sale by Khozema Shipchandler of 1614 shares of Twilio
Khozema Shipchandler over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Sale by Khozema Shipchandler of 170 shares of Twilio
Manor Eyal over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Manor Eyal of 43776 shares of Twilio subject to Rule 16b-3
Donna Dubinsky over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Bona fide gift to Donna Dubinsky of 436 shares of Twilio subject to Section 16
Boroditsky Marc over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Twilio exotic insider transaction detected

Twilio Predictive Daily Indicators

Twilio intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Twilio stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Twilio Forecast Models

Twilio time-series forecasting models is one of many Twilio's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Twilio's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Twilio Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Twilio stock is reacting to, or reflecting on a current stock market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Twilio shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas, a specific sector, or an individual stock such as Twilio. By using and applying Twilio Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Twilio entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Operating Margin(32.22) (34.76) 
EBITDA Margin(31.72) (34.22) 
Gross Margin 48.94  56.38 
Profit Margin(33.43) (36.07) 
Twilio Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides a cloud communications platform that enables developers to build, scale, and operate customer engagement within software applications in the United States and internationally. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California. Twilio operates under Internet Content Information classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 8199 people.

Current Twilio Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Twilio analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Twilio analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
434.4Buy25Odds
Twilio current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Twilio analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Twilio stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Twilio, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Twilio conference calls.
Twilio Analyst Advice Details

Twilio Stock Analysis Indicators

Twilio stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Twilio stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Twilio shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Twilio stock analysis, traders can identify Twilio position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Quick Ratio7.82
Fifty Two Week Low77.14
Revenue Growth48.40%
Shares Short Prior Month7.63M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day6.73M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month3.94M
Shares Percent Shares Out4.01%
Gross Margins48.53%
Short Percent Of Float4.26%
Forward Price Earnings395.00
Float Shares170.75M
Fifty Two Week High373.00
Enterprise Value To Ebitda-17.07
Fifty Day Average89.72
Two Hundred Day Average169.21
Enterprise Value To Revenue3.66
Additionally, take a look at World Market Map. Note that the Twilio information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Twilio's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

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When running Twilio price analysis, check to measure Twilio's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Twilio is operating at the current time. Most of Twilio's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Twilio's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Twilio's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Twilio to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Twilio's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Twilio. If investors know Twilio will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Twilio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
15.9 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.41
Return On Assets
-0.0515
Return On Equity
-0.0984
The market value of Twilio is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Twilio that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Twilio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Twilio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Twilio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Twilio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Twilio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Twilio value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Twilio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.